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Old 02-20-2012, 06:52 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 2/20: Oaklawn (7th-10th); Santa Anita ($162k C/O)

Gulfstream Sunday P5 was a miss for the reason anticipated, but $204 hit in the P4 and $20 Carnival Ride made it a very nice day. Hope everyone did well. Holiday Monday features a big Santa Anita carryover and the 2 Southwest divisions at Oaklawn!


OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P4)

Most Likely: #4 Shraded Edge 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #2 Obligingly 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1e M. Robertson entry 4-1 5th/7th
Super Add: #6 Don Dulce 5-2 3rd


8th: 47th Southwest (G3), 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

First of 2 and the more compelling and competitive of the editions..

Best Value: #11 Castaway 6-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #5 Longview Drive 5-2 DH-6th
Exotics Use: #2 Unbridled's Note 10-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Reckless Jerry 9-2 3rd


9th: 47th Southwest (G3), 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Secret Circle 1-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #2 Adirondack King 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pee H Dee 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Z Rockstar 20-1 6th


10th: ALW/N2L, 3yo, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #11 Silver Dandy 3-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Inclined to Win 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Corporate Chapel 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Basalt 6-1 8th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-4
8: 2-5-8-11
9: 2-9
10: 4-8-11-12

3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 4+, 12f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Tricky group at tricky trip..

Most Likely: #5 Imponente Purse 7-5 6th
Best Value: #1 Unusual Jazz 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Acafella 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Danderek 15-1 4th


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Mitchell trained fave To the Top will simply try to wire 'em. Kid's Table the one that could go with her and short circuit the plans to wire..

Most Likely: #3 To the Top 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Iva Attitude 8-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Kids Table 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Tiabelle 4-1 5th


6th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Down the hill. Cast your lot and hold your breath..

Best Value: #4 Silver Dragon 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Relentless Heat 3-1 WON ($7.60) (#2, not #3)
Exotics Use: #9 Soi Phet 8-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Lethal Intent 12-1 6th


7th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Good, balanced set of state breds. Top tab beat same condition two back and exits OK open company try. One to beat and not the craziest single idea out there..

Most Likely: #8 Obsess 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #2 Adam Suances 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Caffeine High 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Rule by Force 4-1 5th


8th: Buena Vista H. (G2), F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Excellent group for this and question is how much pace there will be for closers like Cambina and Vamo a Galupiar..

Best Value: #7 Up in Time 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Vamo a Galupiar 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Briecat 8-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Strawberrydaiquiri 4-1 4th


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Always the Same 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #4 Late SCR
Best Value: #8 King Roar 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Outperform 5-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Captain Salt 6-1 8th


<$150 P6 Plays:

4: 1-4-5-8
5: 3
6: 3-4-9
7: 2-7-8
8: 5-7
9: 1

4x1x3x3x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-9 (#2, not #3)
7: 2-5-7-8-9
8: 2-5-7-8-11
9: 1-4

3x5x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-20-2012 at 08:34 PM.
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Old 02-20-2012, 02:12 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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OP SCR/CHG'S

SA SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 02-20-2012 at 05:05 PM.
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Old 02-20-2012, 05:06 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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P6 pool blows past $1,000,000..

G/L all!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 02-20-2012, 07:58 PM
lazytom lazytom is offline
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steve- nice run at it- you had some nice winners and the tough beat of up in time( good race ) thanks for the fun. take care
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Old 02-20-2012, 08:31 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lazytom View Post
steve- nice run at it- you had some nice winners and the tough beat of up in time( good race ) thanks for the fun. take care
Thx Tom. Nothing special but a fun afternoon nonetheless. The team in the 'Clubhouse' showed the way today! Hope you and everybody did OK and enjoyed the holiday.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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