8/24: Saratoga (Day 30; Ballerina)

[Kasept]

After making something out of modest mutuels Wednesday, could not find the right prices to hook up with the overwhelming parade of logicals Thursday. So despite cashing a number of tickets, no money was made. You know it's a short-armed afternoon when hitting the P4 costs you $25... Meanwhile at DMR, one winner negotiated the carryover sequence for a $482,000 score. Nice.. Hope everyone did OK. Ballerina Day at the Spa ahead of great looking Travers-Personal Ensign/Pacific Classic Weekend.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Magical Moon 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #4 Grenoble 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Lighthouse Bay 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 K to the Croft 8-1 6th


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Big SCR of Chifa here..

Most Likely: #7 Go the Distance 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Pure Treasure 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 No More Fives 5-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Desert Traveler 10-1 6th


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Professor Fate 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 P J's Magical Wink 12-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Reserved Quality 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #6 Fusa Code 8-1 3rd


4th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Esthers Classy Lass 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Azasecret 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Bridgetta 6-5 WON ($3.30)
Super Add: #5 Kellster 10-1 4th


5th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Consider adding #1 Hear the Footsteps to the multi & exotics plays, but how about Linda Rice 0/23 last two seasons (DRF J/T stats)with Ramon Dominguez? That doesn't seem possible..

Best Value: #3 Barrel of Love 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Ampersand 3-1 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #5 The Thinker 2-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Gimme Credit 7-2 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-7-8
3: 2-4-6-9
4: 3-4-8
5: 2-3-5-8

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$2 Pick 4 (1/4/6-9-2/8-8) Paid $34.50


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Catinatree broke her maiden in a turf sprint that's off her page. In receipt of Wilmer's 7# (114) on all but Madame Giry (117). May get more than the 5-1 listed..

Best Value: #6 Catinatree 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Button Girl 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Revenue 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Ballistic Sue 6-1 7th


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Tough, deep, confusing group. Something clever is immersed in here and I can't tell you exactly what it is. Don't think any notion you might have isn't worth trying..

Most Likely: #5 Little Red Rider 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Skip's Prospect 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Zeenut 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Frivolous Alex 6-1 4th


8th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Layoff returnees and droppers -- including another Repole buy-and-bye -- make this tricky..

Most Likely: #1 Isn'tlovejustgrand 5-2 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #9 Saints Alive 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Silver Timber 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Coronation Day 15-1 7th


9th: 34th Ballerina (G1), 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Turbulent Descent 9-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #7 Derwin's Star 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Nicole H 4-1 5th


10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Wild nightcap. Let's hope the utterly boring ML faves Let the Kitten Run and Picture Book don't dominate and reach for prices..

Best Value: #11 Any Given Moment 20-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Picture Book 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Ginagain 10-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Let the Kitten Run 3-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-6-8-9
8: 1-2-3-9
9: 6
10: 1-2-3-7-8-11

6x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S