12/2: Aqueduct ($73k C/O); Gulfstream (5th-9th); Hollywood ($111k C/O)

[Kasept]

Laid off any formal decision-making Saturday and glad I did as carryover-inducing results at Aqueduct & Hollywood and quirky Gulfstream Claiming Crown card made for tough some tough multi-race sledding. Solid action at all 3 venues Sunday.

DRF's Mike Welsch & firebrand owner Jerry Jamgotchian join Seth and me on 'Loose on the Lead' this morning. Stream: www.capitalotb.com


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Two day, $73k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Sheza Classy Lady 9/5 (A) WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #3 Aliraven 6-1 (B) 2nd
Next Best: #4 Discreet Lady 8-1 (X) 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Virtually impossible to separate these with much confidence. 2-3-6-7-9-10 seem like the ones that demand attention..

Most Likely: #3 Frosty Bay 4-1 (A) 7th
Next Best: #7 Stellarite 3-1 (A) 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Adriatic Dream 2-1 (A) WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #1e Kelly entry 10-1 (C) 2nd/9th

Backup "C's": #2 Image of Noon 10-1; #10 Transplendid 8-1 (C)


6th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

The dreaded State-bred MDN $20k: Bane of multi-race players everywhere. Galluscio (Nine Cracks) sharp with new barn tenants and biggest class drop there is; Withalittlebit (Bush) gets dry/fast strip for the first time while diving..

Best Value: #2 Nine Cracks 6-1 (A) 3rd
Next Best: #3 Withalittlebit 4-1 (B) 11th
Exotics Use: #7 Buck Stops Here 3-1 (B) 2nd
Super Add: #10 Si Phi Rebel 12-1 (C) 9th


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

#1 Idle American the side of the Kelly entry that runs and decision was very key to this as #1a Yield Bogey would have kept #3 Plainview company up front. Now you have to worry that the DiPrima gelding is loose under Wilmer. Another challenging event with a half dozen (1-2-3-5-8-9-10) all owning potential..

Most Likely: #5 Best Actor 3-1 (A) WON ($9.30)
Next Best: #3 Plainview 5-2 (A) DNF-Lost rider
Best Value: #9 Forecon 15-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Idle American 4-1 (B) 6th

Backup "C's": #1 Recharged 8-1; #10 Carson Hall 10-1 (C)


8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD)

Treacherous group features Roddy Valente West Coast invading claimant (Swiss Tart) and 10 month returnee Ultimo Principe (an expensive Italian men's clothing line) from Rudy. SCR Game Token who ran yesterday..

Most Likely: #2 Hewitts 7-2 (A) 4th
Next Best: #3 Swiss Tart 5-2 (A) WON ($8.20)
Best Value: #8 Nacho Saint 12-1 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Ultimo Principe 4-1 (B) 2nd

Backup "C's": #1 Temecula Creek 10-1; #5 W. W. Lady's Man 5-1 (C)


9th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Brutal finish to demanding sequence with 8 of the 10 looking good enough. And #11 (AE) I Dreamt I Was (10-1) will be eligible for laurels if drawing in..

Most Likely: #3 Downtown Hottie 5-2 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #7 Centrina 8-1 (A) 8th
Next Best: #10 Strike Accord 7-2 (B) 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Yes Its Pink 4-1 (B) WON ($8.40)

Backup "C's": #2 Eurokay by Me 15-1; #4 Chasing Piper 8-1; #5 Porvoo 12-1; #8 Desert Bliss 6-1


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2
5: 3-6-7
6: 2
7: 3-5-9
8: 2-3
9: 3-6-7-10

1x3x1x3x2x4 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 (2,5/6/6/5/3,5/6,11) Paid $103.50 (5OF6)


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3
7: 3-5-9
8: 2-3-8
9: 2-3-4-5-6-7-8-10

2x3x3x8 = 144 x .50 = $72



GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T/108' (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Aunt Martha 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tapicat 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #7 Tokyo Time 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Naked Watch 6-1 8th


6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Macarthur Causeway 5-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Sheriff Ira 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Slammin Slew 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Turbo Cannon 3-1 2nd


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T/48' (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Spectacular Me 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1e Ward entry 3-1 3rd/7th
Exotics Use: #8 Tie Dye 10-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Three Hearts 5-1 2nd


8th: 7th Sunshine State-FL, 3+, 7f (DD)

Restricted to FL breds but a terrifically well-matched cast of hard hitters..

Best Value: #5 Good Lord 4-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Little Drama 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Fort Loudon 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Close It Out 8-1 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/108' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Let the Kitten Run 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 S S Pinafore 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #4 White Lion 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Southern Heights 3-1 4th


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 3-7-9
6: 2-3-6-8
7: 1-4-8
8: 5-7
9: 6-10

3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-6-8
7: 1-4-8
8: 5-7-8
9: 3-4-6-10

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Double Ante 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Demonsterous 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Mary Fildes 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Ricspretentiousgal 7-2 WON ($8.60)


5th: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 JADE WITH ENVY 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Mint Twist 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Sophie's Secret 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Cloudy Moon 6-1 WON ($22.60)


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Folk Dancer 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 True Expectations 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Eyes On the Prize 6-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Include the Baby 3-1 7th


7th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Salah Champ 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #12 Judge Carr 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Crazy Cozy 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Money Makin Sam 9-2 4th


8th: 32nd Vernon O. Underwood (G3), 3+, 6f (DD)

Should be fun. I'll try the new face, first time 4yo Smash at what should be a square price. Starts at 6-1 and if he takes money, it's a positive sign..

Best Value: #2 Smash 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Smiling Tiger 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Bank the Eight 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Capital Account 5-2 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f ('405' HOL/LA Double, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Cotton Belle 12-1 10th
Next Best: #1 Cajun Market 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Letthepartybegin 3-1 9th
Super Add: #13 Bwanadada 5-2 2nd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-4-5
5: 7
6: 5-7
7: 6-12
8: 2-4
9: 1-6-8

3x1x2x2x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 5-7
7: 4-6-10-12
8: 2-4-5
9: 1-6-8-13

2x4x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S

GP SCR/CHG'S

HOL SCR/CHG'S