1/26: Gulfstream (3rd-11th); Santa Anita (4th-10th)

[Kasept]

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

SCR #1 Taken by the Storm

Best Value: #3 Sky Captain 2nd
Next Best: #5 El Duro 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Cerro 4-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #6 Wild Billum 15-1 4th


4th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Terrific group of elders including 4yo debuts of O'Prado Again, Yes I'm Awesome, Golden Ticket, River Rush & Rightfully So. Big efforts from any could potentially add to Donn H. cast..

Best Value: #3 Flatter This 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Yes I'm Awesome 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Isutalkintome 12-1 4th
Super Add: #1 O'Prado Again 4-1 2nd


5th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Deeper 2nd division of 3rd race with Fountain of Youth auditions taking place..

Most Likely: #3 Orb 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #1 Sayler's Creek 5-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Looking Cool 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Mountain Eagle 3-1 4th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$637k Rainbow 6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #3 Gigglin' Gal 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Close Hatches 8-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #5 Gadget Girl 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 One Foxy Grey 6-1 5th


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Bold Dance 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Bold Challenger 6-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Thunder Calls 12-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Holiday Star 8-1 WON ($16.20)


8th: 35th Forward Gal (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Just 6 for this but feels slippery even with presence of 4-5 Kauai Katie who is drawn ideally for up close stalking trip. Too much speed here for this not to invite consideration of a meltdown and that gives you first dirt Spring Venture & outsider Ashlee's Princess. Mystery Horse is the Puerto Rican invader Fusaichiswonderful and fact that Rosario lands on her says something..

Most Likely: #6 Kauai Katie 4-5 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #2 Fusaichiswonderful 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Spring Venture 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 My Happy Face 4-1 2nd


9th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T/84' (P3, DD)

Nightmare for multis with nearly all conceivable..

Most Likely: #4 Federal Agent 7-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Overwhelming 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Cowdray Park 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Parnelli 10-1 10th


10th: 26th Holy Bull (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

As demonstrated by Beholder's upset Monday, returning Champions get no quarter from eager foes and Shanghai Bobby will need to come back running here from tricky berth. Frac Daddy, Bern Identity, Dewey Square and Itsmyluckyday the obvious alternatives for those aggressively trying to beat Pletcher/Starlight 2yo hero and Tulira Castle could be magic key to boosting deep exotics. Mike Welsch relayed amazing numbers from the 8.5f Gulfstream races so far this year, showing 14 of 21 contests at the trip have been won by horses from posts 1-3..

Most Likely: #1 Shanghai Bobby 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Bern Identity 4-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Tulira Castle 30-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Itsmyluckyday 6-1 WON ($11.40)


11th: MDN CLM, 4+, 1m-T/24' (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Logan Street 5-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #7 Money's Worth 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Pedro Del Valle 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #11 Vector 8-1 9th


<$30 P6 Play:

6: 3-5-8
7: 2-3-6-7
8: 2-6
9: 3-4-6-8-9-11
10: 1-4
11: 10

3x4x2x6x2x1 = 288 x .10 = $28.80


<$75 P5 Play:

7: 3-6-7
8: 2-6
9: 3-4-6-8-9-11
10: 1-4
11: 7-10

3x2x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 2-6
9: 3-4-6-8-9-11
10: 1-4
11: 7-8-10-11

2x6x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



SANTA ANITA PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


Rain did not abate around Arcadia so non-stake turf events may very well be moving off..


4th: 46th Santa Ysabel (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

SCR #5 Branding

Most Likely: #1 Escape Act 3-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Scarlet Strike 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Fiftyshadesofhay 6-1 WON ($14.40)


5th: 14th Valentine's Dancer-CA, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Tiz Flirtatious 4-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Best Present Ever 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Halo Dolly 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Dancingtothestars 12-1 2nd


6th: 33rd Cal Breeders Champion-CA, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Top pair from Soviet Problem loom likely again here..

Most Likely: #8 Doinghardtimeagain 5-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Unusual Way 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Home Journey 4-1 11th
Super Add: #5 Jade With Envy 12-1 7th


7th: 73rd Cal Breeders Champion-CA, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Omega Star 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Surfcup 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Fighting Hussar 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Weewinnin 7-2 8th


8th: 56th Santa Monica (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (P3, DD)

SCR #6 Byrama & #7 Rumor

Most Likely: #4 Teddy's Promise WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #2 Distracting 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Kindle 3rd
Super Add: #5 Belle of the Hall 5th


9th: 21st Crystal Water-CA, 4+, 9f-T (DD)

Interesting group with key question being what you do with turf-trying John Scott..

Best Value: #1 Jules Journey 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 John Scott 2-1 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Big Bane Theory 5-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Stoney Fleece 6-1 5th


10th: CA-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Hidethegoodstuff 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Cayton 12-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Mark of a Gem 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Rockin Cowgirl 12-1 10th


<$20 P4 Play:

7: 1-6-10
8: 2-4-5-8
9: 1-3-6
10: 5

3x4x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S

[pointman]

Nice run at GP, Steve! Tripped up from a huge score by the same horse I was unfortunately.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by pointman

Nice run at GP, Steve! Tripped up from a huge score by the same horse I was unfortunately.

Thx Nick. Was a fun day at GP. If you heard the chat with Welsch Friday, the only reason he and I both shuffled him down was the post. But the minute I saw Itsmyluckyday come by on the walk to the paddock, I knew there was going to be trouble. Have been kicking myself for hours.

Terrific race from both of them. Winner was dead fit and Shanghai Bobby still working his way back. They'll hook up again in the Florida Derby according to Plesa and Pletcher.