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SAT - Churchill Downs (Derby Day Entire Card)
Churchill Downs - Happy Derby Day POST SCRATCHES - FAST / FIRM 90% RAIN
R1 - OC 62k/N2X #3 Glamour Puss (2-1) WON $7.40 #4 Flashy American (8-1) 4TH #1 Apropos (8-5) 3RD #6 Honey Hues (6-1) R2 - OC 75k/N1X #5 Finn's Quest (6-1) - Could end being a nice closing sprinter. #2 Gombey Dancer (7-2) 4TH #8 Slan Abhaile (5-2) 2ND #1 River Rocks (3-1) 3RD R3 - OC 80k/N3X (Turf 8.5F) #3 Atigun (4-1) WON $13.00 #6 Screenplay (3-1) 3RD #4 Under Control (6-1) 2ND #1 Old Time Hockey (5-2) 4TH R4 - MSW 50k #4 King of Broadway (5-1) #3 Saint X. (3-1) 3RD #12 Troubadour Tango (5-1) 2ND #2 Indy Awesome (8-1) R5 - OC 75k/N1X #12 Hard Aces (12-1) #8 Code West (7-5) 2ND #3 Perfect Title (6-1) 4TH #4 Bellarmine (8-1) WON $25.20 PK4 - 2 5 / 1 3 5 6 / 3 4 5 8 12 / 8 12 = $40 for $.50 R6 - G3 Turf Sprint (Turf 5F) #4 Ghost Is Clear (9-2) #2 Havelock (7-2) #8 Icon Ike (3-1) #1 Southern Dude (10-1) 3RD R7 - G1 Humana Distaff #8 Byrama (GB) (5-1) #2 Rumor (5-2) #3 Same Cross (8-1) #6 Aubby K (7-2) WON $9.20 R8 - Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (Turf 8F) #5 Hungry Island (4-1) - BEST BET - Absolutely love her chances and should sit a perfect trip. 2ND #7 Karlovy Vary (12-1) - #4 Frontside (30-1) #3 Daisy Devine (3-1) 3RD R9 - G2 Churchill Downs #2 Hierro (10-1) - It feels that this has been the plan all along and a big performance is expected on favorite surface. #5 Unbridled Note (5-1) #9 Delaunay (2-1) WON $5.80 #7 Politicallycorrect (15-1) R10 - Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (Turf 9F) - Fantastic race with two of the best horses in training. #9 Point of Entry (7-5) - Handled Animal Kingdom at Gulfstream and it doesn't get any easier with Horse of the Year to his inside. LATE SCRATCH #8 Wise Dan (6-5) - Champ will stretchout a bit and give his best. WON $3.20 #2 Slim Shadey (GB) (12-1) - Has the remote possibility to sneak away from top two and score at a big number. #3 Optimizer (20-1) - Return to Turf helps. 2ND PK3 - 5 / 2 5 / 2 8 9 = Punch it a few times R11 - G1 Kentucky Derby #1 Black Onyx - SCRATCHED #2 Oxbow (30-1) - Post obviously hurts chances, but expect Stevens to send right away and splash the others. #3 Revolutionary (10-1) - Has shown the killer instinct of getting to the wire first after a few maiden tries. Borel factor will bring down the price. 3RD #4 Golden Soul (50-1) - Should relish the extra distance and don't discount ability to blow up the bottom of a Super or Super High Five. 2ND #5 Normandy Invasion (12-1) - Strong finish in Wood Memorial attracted plenty of bandwagoners. Logical contender. 4TH #6 Mylute (15-1) - A big question with the extra furlong to deal with. #7 Giant Finish (50-1) - New York bred is in deep waters. #8 Goldencents (5-1) - Coming off Big Santa Anita Derby win. Interesting to see how 1st time Derby jockey will handle the situation. #9 Overanalyze (15-1) - Has a pattern going - Good race - Bad race throughout his running lines and unfortunately it's time for a Bad race. #10 Palice Malice (20-1) - Adds hood and should not be ignored to round out bottom of exotics. #11 Lines of Battle (30-1) - Complete wildcard, add Lasix and there's a bunch of talent from the Dam's family. Interesting especially at a huge price. #12 Itsmyluckyday (15-1) - Has shown the ability and seems to be peaking at the right moment. #13 Falling Sky (50-1) - Speedster will take them as long as he can before the anchor comes out. #14 Verrazano (4-1) - Undefeated talented runner has never seen the whip and I have the feeling there's more in the tank. Dangerous #15 Charming Kitten (20-1) - Turf horse will probably finish mid pack at best. #16 Orb (7-2) - He's the one everyone will fear late with legitimate reasons. Just needs to work out a trip. WON #17 Will Take Charge (20-1) - 9 week layoff is a concern for this type of race. Pass #18 Frac Daddy (50-1) - Ridiculous price for a runner that seems to be improving and loves the surface. Playable. #19 Java's War (15-1) - Usually walks out of the gate, but has lethal closing kick that could make things interesting late. #20 Vyjack (15-1) - Has only one lost in career and it was encouraging to see him continue running to the wire in Wood Memorial. Tough post to deal with. Selections #12 Itsmyluckyday (15-1) #14 Verrazano (4-1) #16 Orb (7-2) WON #11 Lines of Battle (30-1) #18 Frac Daddy (50-1) Super High Five - 12 / 11 14 16 18 PK6 - 1 2 4 8 / 2 8 / 5 / 2 5 / 9 / 11 12 14 16 18 = $160 PK5 - 1 2 3 6 8 / 5 / 2 5 9 / 2 8 9 / 11 12 14 16 = $90 for $.50 PK4 - 4 5 7 / 2 5 9 / 2 8 9 / 11 12 14 16 = $54 for $.50 R12 - OC 62k/N2X #6 Looking Cool (10-1) #2 Rightfully So (3-1) #8 Bull Dozer (4-1) #1 Wash Park (15-1) R13 - MSW 50k #1 Pontiff (7-2) #12 To the Stars (6-1) #6 Best Request (10-1) #8 Lifes Reward (6-1) PK4 - 2 8 9 / 11 12 14 16 18 / 2 6 / 1 6 12 = $45 for $.50 Good Racing Luck
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Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them Last edited by Bogey : 05-04-2013 at 08:40 PM. |
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Gus in the 3rd Under Control is the #4.
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Thanks, RHT - I'm assuming you like him. Good luck today.
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Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them |
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No. Just checking your picks out and noticed. I'm going to use 3,5,6 in the 3rd. Nothing clever. Good luck to you.
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