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Old 05-11-2013, 08:25 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 5/11: Belmont Park (6th-10th); Hollywood Park (6th-9th)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD)

As discussed with Nick Tammaro, some serious pedigrees on view here including High Five Again (full to Awesome Feather); Encode (half to Algorithims, Justin Phillip and Successful Mission); Howie's Tiz (full to Rush Now)..

Most Likely: #2 Town Extension 7-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Encode 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Howie's Tiz 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Bad Hombre 3-1 WON ($8.50)


7th: NY-MDN CLM ($50k), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Joe Alan 7-2 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #6 Joe Mooch 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Gold Buffalo 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Thingamajigger 12-1 5th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Very good group of state breds here with at least 5 having opportunity. Can Quiet Power be counted on to run another 'A' race? He's frequently reacted to big tries and has not been able to impact NY-ALW company previously..

Most Likely: #4 Irish Moon 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Quiet Power 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 Greeley's Law 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Amberjack 7-2 WON ($4.90)
Super Add: #3 Ego Friendly 8-1 5th

<$5 DIME SUPER PLAY: 2-4 with 1-2-4 with 1-2-3-4-9 with 1-2-3-4-9 (2x2x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)


9th: 59th Peter Pan (G2), 9f (DD)

Day's most interesting race pits 11 sophs in audition for Belmont Stakes 4 weeks hence. A lot of ways to go here with any number of questions needing to be answered: How overbet will Incognito (5-1) & Freedom Child (12-1) be off trouble lines in respective last starts? Can Bay Shore winner Declan's Warrior (4-1) stretch out the additional quarter mile? Is NY bred Go Get the Basil (20-1) just a $50k claimer or is nose beat 2 back a race he can reproduce today? Has My Name Is Michael (10-1) wanted the main track all along? How much improvement can we expect from 6/4-2-0 private purchase Battier (8-1) SCRATCHED with the move to Pletcher? Is Andy Serling wearing a new Boss suit?

Most Likely: #10 Incognito 5-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Declan's Warrior Late SCRATCH (2:00pm)
Best Value: #9 Go Get the Basil 20-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Freedom Child 12-1 WON ($9.20)


10th: MDN CLM ($25k), 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #15 Derby Watch 7-2 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #14 Economic Forecast 2-1 5th
Best Value: #16 Dapper Draper Late SCRATCH (2:00pm)
Exotics Use: #6 Freight 4-1 3rd


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-6
8: 2-4
9: 1-2-4-5-7-9-10
10: 14-15

3x2x7x2 = 84 x .50 = $42



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 1st Came Home, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Nothing to bet here, but plenty to see. Let Em Shine and Treasury Bill are both headed to bigger things..

Most Likely: #1 Let Em Shine 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #3 Tresury Bill 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Belvin 7-2 4th


6th: 45th Senorita (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Sophomore filly turf division terrific on both coasts. Can't get past Scarlet Strike unfortunately though the next 4-5 are well within striking distance. Interesting that import Charlie Em lures Gomez..

Most Likely: #8 Scarlet Strike 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Lilbourne Eliza 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Disko Dasko 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Charlie Em 6-1 WON ($21.40)


7th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Some pedigrees of note here with debuting Simon Says Go a half to Win Willy and overdue Syndicated a half to Ultimate Eagle..

Most Likely: #6 A Red Tie Day 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Spectrus 15-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Stormin Late 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Major Affair 3-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-T (DD)

Good set..

Most Likely: #7 Sirocco Strike 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 No Silent 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #1 Royal F J 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Innocent Man 4-1 6th


9th: MDN CLM ($20k), 3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Billy Win 3-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #13 The Gatekeeper 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Dark Timbers 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #15 Majestic Desert 15-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7-8
7: 2-4-6-7
8: 1-2-7
9: 2-3-13

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-11-2013 at 09:03 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-11-2013, 11:38 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-11-2013, 12:21 PM
lazytom lazytom is offline
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steve- wanted to thank you for all of the derby action you gave. made for a fun weekend.thanks again.
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  #4  
Old 05-11-2013, 12:51 PM
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AlreadyHome AlreadyHome is offline
Louisiana Downs
 
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Location: New York
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Thumbs up Steve

Quote:
Originally Posted by lazytom View Post
steve- wanted to thank you for all of the derby action you gave. made for a fun weekend.thanks again.
me2 Steve thank u, thank u, thank u you do great work...


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  #5  
Old 05-11-2013, 01:11 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lazytom View Post
steve- wanted to thank you for all of the derby action you gave. made for a fun weekend. thanks again.
Tom..

Quite welcome... My pleasure. Making it fun is the goal daily. Proud that so many here and so many listening to ATR are interested in enjoying the game.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #6  
Old 05-11-2013, 01:13 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AlreadyHome View Post
me2 Steve thank u, thank u, thank u you do great work...
A/H..

Very kind.. Thank you. Hope we're going to get to see 2 more graphics of Orb from Baltimore and Elmont!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-11-2013 at 04:59 PM.
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  #7  
Old 05-11-2013, 04:59 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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HOL SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #8  
Old 05-11-2013, 05:58 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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BELMONT C/O SUNDAY: $43k
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 05-11-2013, 07:51 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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HOL P6 C/O SUNDAY: $120k
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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