7/26: Saratoga (Day 7-Curlin)

[Kasept]

Lost the complete recap and don't have time to repeat it, but suffice to say Thursday provided a rebound from Wednesday's misguided attack of the Saratoga carryover card. Late P4 ($289), big 6th-8th P3 ($281) and Quick Call tri ($195) drove the afternoon high into the plus column after I botched the early quad omitting Clear Pasaj (a horse I like a lot) out of the plays. Hope everyone did well. Nice Friday action east and west ahead of a weekend that is threatened slightly by weather concerns..


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/$100k, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

There's nothing scary about the favorites and Saturday's Charm will get a nice pace set up here..

Most Likely: #2 Saturday's Charm 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Currency Swap 5-2 3rd


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

A lot of hungry types dropping down here..

Most Likely: #6 Seven Dreams 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Unbroken Dream 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Tanglewood Tale 5-1 WON ($17.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Revealing Moment 5-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Anderson still believes as Rosario sticks and Howie's Tiz should like the 9 panels. Zito judicious with addition of the hood and Dyker Beach may be ideal candidate..

Most Likely: #6 Howie's Tiz 7-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Dyker Beach 4-1 4th
Best Value: #2 King of Broadway 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Sliver and Onions 3-1 WON ($7.50)


4th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Read the Research 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Currency Union 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Run a Dubb Dubb 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Nothing But Air 4-1 3rd


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Wildly intriguing group of state bred maidens featuring prices drawn well inside and eligible to set off fireworks..

Best Value: #6 Hooked Again 30-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Sophie's Turn 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 SCR
Super Add: #8 Sakonnet Point 15-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 6-7-9
3: 6
4: 1-2-3-4
5: 1-2-3-4-5/SCR-6-8-10

3x1x4x8 = 96 x .50 = $48


6th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Bernie's Best 3-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Gridiron Great 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1a Ella's Kitten 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Present Course 5-1 4th


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Ugly group..

Most Likely: #1 Centrina 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #2 Delightful Dawn 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Ten K Cat 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 G. A. Empress 20-1 6th


8th: Curlin, 3yo, 9g (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Darley entry 5-2 WON ($4.80)/DQ'd-5th
Best Value: #3 Bad Hombre 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Proud Strike 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Edge of Reality 4-1 3rd


9th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Fun turf sprint group..

Most Likely: #4 Late SCR-Gate
Best Value: #9 Tiz Teresa 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Lawless Miss 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Jonata 20-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Sweet N Discreet 10-1 3rd


10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Next Best: #11 Coach Royal 2-1 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Shertzer 7-2 8th
Best Value: #9 Mr Algebra 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Griffin Rock 8-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-5
8: 1-3
9: 2-4/SCR-7-9-10
10: 4-6-9-11-12

3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[atolunch]

Steve,

Please check the 9th race, I think Quiet Ending is the #4, not #3 as listed.

Thanks as always for your tireless time and efforts and Congrats again on the amazing roll you've been on.

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by atolunch

Steve,

Please check the 9th race, I think Quiet Ending is the #4, not #3 as listed.

Thanks as always for your tireless time and efforts and Congrats again on the amazing roll you've been on.

He has just been printing money...but with the BBQ sidelined he has to step up his earn or Tina will bail...

[pointman]

Originally Posted by freddymo

He has just been printing money...but with the BBQ sidelined he has to step up his earn or Tina will bail...