10/9: Belmont Park (6th-9th); Keeneland (5th-9th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Insolvent 9-5 5th
Next Best: #1 Trail Walker 5-2 WON ($8.20)
Best Value: #4 Guyana Princess 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Currency Union 5-1 2nd


7th: MCLM, 2yo-F, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Lemon Point 5-2 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #6 Wonderfully Wild 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Asserted 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Gentle Cat 8-1 6th


8th: Coastal, 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Fun group comes together for this to honor the under-appreciated Coastal..

Most Likely: #6 Midnight Taboo 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tenango 6-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Favor Factor 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Saint Viguer 5-2 2nd


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Best Value: #2 Princess Mara 12-1 WON ($8.30)
Next Best: #1 Satin Sheeks 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 The Lady Says Yes 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Sophie's Turn 6-1 4th


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-5
7: 3-5-6
8: 1-3-6-7
9: 1-2-5

3x3x4x3 = 108 x .50 = $54



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Rogers strong over last 90 days including opening day 10-1 winner and cheapish Too Wild for Words wires with repeat of last; Gung Ho goes first time for tag for win-crazy Ramsey Team; Domenosky does a nice job and Space Traveler had nice summer at AP, but Chicago visitors had weak first week here; Consistent Bergerac was OK over synthetics earlier in career and is a square 5-1 off KD score; Kinmon doesn't win often but Thunder Affair drops down, cuts back and reunites with Bridgmo who placed with him behind Bernie the Maestro (!) in spring. 15-1? That's me..

Most Likely: #9 Bergerac 5-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Thunder Affair 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Gung Ho 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Too Wild for Words 7-2 3rd


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Wide open baby lawn event made more challenging by fact that those with experience mostly want front end. Several exit races that have produced quality including Cov (3rd to Medal Count), Mister Blues (5th to Kendall's Boy), Mygalsal (2nd to Poker Player), Tropic of Artie (5th behind My Conquestadory), etc. Larry Jones sends More Than Ready firster Kilted Cowboy for Calumet, Casse bows Endurable (Spring at Last) for Jack Oxley and Maker-Ramsey offer Perky Kitten..

Most Likely: #4 Cov 8-1 10th
Best Value: #6 Raging Market 12-1 11th
Next Best: #8 Mygalsal 7-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Mister Blues 20-1 6th


7th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Gal About Town 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Big Brown Brookski 5-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Brown Eyes Blue 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Sassy Kiss 5-1 6th


8th: 23rd Jessamine (G3), 2yo-D, 8.5f-T (DD)

Well-matched set forthis and sure feels like pace is going to be hot..

Most Likely: #3 Kitten Kaboodle 4-1 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #1 Shanon Nicole 15-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Runway Giant 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Courtesan 8-1 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Smarten Destiny 4-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Peytonville 15-1 WON ($20.40)
Next Best: #10 Niederzel 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Cool C Note 7-2 2nd


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 1-3-9-10
6: 4
7: 3-6-7
8: 1-2-3-10
9: 6-9-10

4x1x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 4-6
7: 3-6-7
8: 1-2-3-10
9: 1-6-9-10

2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S

[MaTH716]

Calzone before the first

Doug Salvatore ‏@DougieSal 11m I'm taking a stab with Yankee Diva in the opener at Keeneland. 20/1 is a good price.

$48.20

[jms62]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

Calzone before the first

Doug Salvatore ‏@DougieSal 11m I'm taking a stab with Yankee Diva in the opener at Keeneland. 20/1 is a good price.

$48.20

Great Hit

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

Doug Salvatore ‏@DougieSal 11m I'm taking a stab with Yankee Diva in the opener at Keeneland. 20/1 is a good price.

$48.20

Was sweet.. I threw in off Doug's push too.

[Kasept]

$27,800 BEL P6 C/O THURSDAY!

[Kasept]

Aces job by me short-arming the P4 at KEE... Saved $24 to lose $900. Brilliant.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by arizonadave

Still a great try Steve.I chuckled when I read your write up on the 6th at Keenland,"Wide Open". Then you singled the 4. Still a nice P3 in the last three races for over $300.

THX Dave.. Peytonville, whom I pushed on ATR when Jock Agent Jeff called about Niederzel, helped ease the pain. But it was a day that had potential to be really good.

I frequently try to single like that in difficult races if there's a horse I can conceive having an edge. As it turned out, Kitten Kaboodle was the right single.