Saratoga Sunday Aug. 17

[Kitan]

Don’t have time for a full write-up today, so I’m going Steve & Gus ™ style.

Race 1:
#9 Queen’s Parade: Good 2nd behind Cat’s Claw two back. Didn’t seem to be as effective on wet but still a good performance last time.
#3 Sally Brown: Sib to two hurdle winners for same outfit. Maybe she belongs there too, but distance not a concern.
#8 Storm Now: Brought as a shipping mate for runner in G1, but competitive herself on return to turf.
#2 Antrim Colleen: Feel like she had her chances to win two and three back. Another that may prefer firm, but she seems a money burner.

Race 2:
#2 Go Olivia Go: Got accustomed to SAR last time and can go better here. Rajiv is world-class in this field.
#5 Rettalfa: In good form off a win and can repeat.
#4 Love to Score: Has run best without the shades and this is easier.
#7 Lady Vivien: Cali shipper finds a weak East Coast field.

Race 3:
#9 Tammy the Torpedo: Chad on fire with these types lately. All over the 6-1 ML. P5 single.
#1 Sweet Maya: These conditions will suit more than last and Dilger is starting to get it going.
#7 Cool Comfort: Can hang on for a share.
#4 Carta de Oro: May need one.

Race 4:
#4 House Rules: Seems like Jerkens can win a race he doesn’t even have a horse in at the moment. Talk about class relief. Not sure what the deal with the turf work is. Could be a single but I’ll cover just in case.
#5 Another Incident: Much the best last time, but Bravo was very lucky that day. You never know with the way he’s been riding…
#3 Madaket Millie: May hook into a duel with #7
#6 Julie Napp: Wasn’t ridden very aggressively in the stretch last time and can see a performance like the maiden breaker again today. Dangerous at odds if that occurs.

Race 5:
#7 Back Flip: Quick works. Super Saver. Pletcher’s only got one in here. Primed for debut.
#3 Top Decile: Stall can win with them young and he’s got this one flying in the AM recently.
#8 Nagzilla: Speightstown FTS with some rapid moves. Kenneally and Leparoux not having great meets.
#5 So It’s True: Expecting a much better run here.

Race 6:
#9 Billy the Bull: Needed the last off the brief layoff. Will run much better here and may be forgotten on the toteboard.

Race 7:
#4 Lemon Song: Wasn’t disgraced in his try for this tag three back. Two quick moves and I expect an improvement with the return to Franco. Sciacca to strike here and make for a fantastic weekend.
#9 Poor Etiquette: Mile will suit better and Violette dangerous third off a layoff.
#3 Ready’s Legend: Hasn’t shown anything for Pletcher, but this is the easiest spot so far.
#8 Chow Fun: Respect the two wins, but these aren’t NY-breds.

Race 8:
Really an ALL race, but that made it too pricey.

Race 9:
#4 Easter Gift: Ignore the MTH tough trip. 4yo form kills these.
#2 Dawly: Short and didn’t handle the MTH surface. Rudy’s got him ready for this.
#1 Alpha: Inconsistent. Missed work. Overrated.

Race 10:
#3 Amira’s Prince: Wasn’t right at BEL. Freshened and ready for the upset.
#5 Imagining: Bounced off the big G1 score. Given time off. Don’t discount Shug.
#2 Perfect Timber: Hasn’t run well shipping before, but is still a neck away from being a G1 winner and Castellano is riding like a madman these days.
#4 may regress off a huge win with a missed work. #7 has never beaten this class, on recent form would prefer Abel riding.

Race 11:
#7 King of Bay: Finally gets on the turf. Trombetta can break his duck here.
#3 Breakeven Analysis: Chad will have him fired up off the long layoff.
#2 Jimmy Fillpot: Improved with the blinkers, and can continue the rise here.
#8 Mambo At the Gym: Ran better than it seems last time. Scorched around the dogs on the 4th.
#10 Day Six: Turnback will suit this third time starter.


$0.60 Pick Five
Race 1: 3, 8, 9
Race 2: 2, 4, 5, 7
Race 3: 9
Race 4: 3, 4, 5, 6
Race 5: 3, 5, 7
$86.40

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 2, 4, 5, 7
Race 3: 1, 9
Race 4: 3, 4, 5, 6
Race 5: 3, 5, 7, 8
$76.80

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 8: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 8
Race 9: 2, 4
Race 10: 2, 3, 5
Race 11: 2, 3, 7, 8, 10
$108.00

Good luck!

[ADJMK]

Like a lot of the same horses today. Hopefully we will both have a good day. Best of luck.

[ADJMK]

First 7 races - 5 on top . Not too shabby Kitan.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by ADJMK

First 7 races - 5 on top . Not too shabby Kitan.

Pretty Awesome actually

[Kitan]

Thanks guys. Ended up with five winners on top, two winners picked second. Only really missed in races 1, 9, and 10, and unfortunately those killed me in the P5 and late P4. Still, with exs and supers and P3s it was a very profitable day. Looking forward to the P6 carryover tomorrow.

Originally Posted by Kitan

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 2, 4, 5, 7
Race 3: 1, 9
Race 4: 3, 4, 5, 6
Race 5: 3, 5, 7, 8
$76.80

I suppose I should mention that I got back, excluding the cheaper ticket due to the SCR of #7 in the 2nd, $169.86 for $0.60. Nothing special here, but small profits always add up.