Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 06-09-2007, 06:46 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,674
Default 6/9: Belmont Stakes Day

Solid card on tap for Belmont Day, though getting prices on top may be challenging.. $1,000,000 guarantees on P6, P4 and a number of marquee horses on view for what has dawned as a heavily overcast day.. Apologies for a less-than-detailed analysis below, but it's been a rather full week.. Enjoy the end of the Triple Crown season..

BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

1. #2e Houghton-Dutrow entry 5-2 3rd
2. #3 Oh My Stars 10-1 7th
A. #6 Unaffected 8-1 6th
B. #7 Grand Champion 2-1 WON


2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3)

1. #5 Wild Hoots 8-1 4th
2. #8 SCR
A. #9 Prom Party 5-2 WON
B. #10 Come Fly Away 8-1 8th


3rd: The Birdstone, 4+, 9f (P3)

1. #4 Hesanoldsalt 8-5 2nd
2. #1 A.P. Arrow 9-5 3rd
3. #3 Papi Chullo 3-1 WON


4th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3)

1. #3 Berry Bound 5-1 WON
2. #11 Minority Leader 15-1 8th
A #7 Conduct of Honor 20-1 10th
B. #9 Smokey Chimney 8-5 2nd

EX


5th: Foresta, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3)

1. #8 Criminologist 8-1 6th
2. #3 I'm in Love 12-1 2nd
A. #5 Beautiful Danielle 10-1 9th
B. #2 Daytime Promise 20-1 8th


6th: 29th True North H. (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

1. #5 Bordonero 8-5 7th
2. #4 Will He Shine 8-1 WON
A. #7 Joey P. 8-1 6th
B. #1e Houghton entry 6-1 2nd/3rd

EX


7th: 14th Just a Game (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (Grand Slam, P3)

This is a much more intriguing race than it looks on paper.. Wait a While could end up winning easily, but this group is well-matched..

1. #5 Wait a While 6-5 2nd
2. #1 Take the Ribbon 5-1 3rd
A. #3 Miss Shop 15-1 5th
B. #2 My Typhoon 5-2 WON


8th: 23rd Woody Stephens (Gr. II), 3yo, 7f (P4, DD, Super)

1. #2 Deadly Dealer 5-2 7th
2. #6 Most Distinguished 6-1 2nd
A. #8 Street Magician 5-1 5th
B. #5 SCR

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #10 Hobbitontherocks 20-1 8th


9th: 77th Acorn (Gr. I), P3, DD)

1. #1 Dream Rush 7-5 2nd
2. #4 Cotton Blossom 5-1 WON
A. #6 Boca Grande 7-2 4th
B. #2 Princess Janie 12-1 5th

EX


10th: 109th Manhattan H. (Gr. I), 3+, 10f-T (P4, DD, Super)

1. #3 SCR
2. #2 English Channel 5-2 2nd
A. #8 Cosmonaut 5-1 4th
B. #9 Kiss the Kid 20-1 7th


11th: 139th Belmont Stakes (Gr. I), 3yo, 12f (P3, DD, Super)

1. #6 Hard Spun 5-2 4th
2. #3 Curlin 6-5 2nd
A. #7 Rags to Riches 3-1 WON
B. #2 Tiago 10-1 3rd

EX/TRI/SUPER


12th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD)

1. #4 Iron Goddess 8-1 WON
2. #1e Contessa entry 5-2 3rd
A. #5 Quiet Rendition 8-1 2nd
B. #9 Heavenly Anna 5-1 8th

EX/TRI


13th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 9f-T (Super)

1. #8 You Sure 20-1 4th
2. #3 Stately Pegasus 8-5 WON
A. #1 In the Spotlight 15-1 3rd
B. #9 Jackie's Punt 10-1 10th
C. #12 Seittam 8-1 9th


<$50 P4/P3 Plays:

2: 5-(8-SCR)
3: 3-4
4: 3-11
5: 2-3-4-5-7-8 $24 P3 pays $44

2x2x2x6 = $48 (With scratch of 8 in 1st leg, ticket dropped to $24. Using next choice there produced the $127.50 P4)


8: 2-6-8
9: 1-4
10: 2-3-8-9
11: 3-6

3x2x4x2 = $48


10: 2-3
11: 3-6-7
12: 1-4-5-9
13: 3-8 ($24 P3 pays $100.25)

2x3x4x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 06-10-2007 at 07:13 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 06-09-2007, 06:50 AM
golfer's Avatar
golfer golfer is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,608
Default

Steve, you may be in trouble, as we agree on many of the races
Did you ever get a chance to speak to Dan Peitz?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 06-09-2007, 08:17 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,936
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by golfer
Steve, you may be in trouble, as we agree on many of the races
Did you ever get a chance to speak to Dan Peitz?

Danny told him he would come on when he was running a horse with a chance.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 06-09-2007, 08:54 AM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Danny told him he would come on when he was running a horse with a chance.
Don't bash anyone for picking SW. Your picking Will He Shine!
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 06-09-2007, 10:08 AM
AeWingnut's Avatar
AeWingnut AeWingnut is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Suddenly
Posts: 4,828
Default my inability to cash tickets by AeWingnut

bold denotes use in pick 3's or keying in exotics

Race 1 - tossing fav. Grand Champion<-- mortal lock now so the chalk wins whoopdee do

#1e Greater Fool - can this horse find trouble EVERY race ? probably his fault bobbled start 4 wide up for 3rd
#6 Unaffected - can the 176 layoff leave him unaffected lost whip runs 6th
#2 Lord Snowndon - pace helps chances pace didn't help anyone today 4th
#3 Oh My Stars - rail hurts chances vied inside then quit and ran last

Race 2

#1 Slewfoundmoney - inside post helps chances rank ran 3rd
#6 Enchanted Rock - McGaughey is only 12% with 1st timers - Well bred broke very slow McGaughey not trying again
#4 Anascaul - 2nd off layoff - stretching from 6 to 8f no kick at all runs 5th
#9 Prom Party - favortei with best late kick in for the exotics another win for the chalk 1st

Race 3

no value pass
1 & 4 in pick 3 wtf

Race 4

#1 Dancing Robbins - post a concern but I like odds and early speed couldn't get the lead and quit
#2 Quick and Easy - my kinda girl oh wait these are boys another one that could run with the winner and quit
#3 Berry Bound - beter post than #10 Defrereoftheheart the 4th chalk victory in 4 races 1st
#6 Woodmere - turf to dirt another quitter

Race 5

#3 I'm in Love - when a trainer has more than one entry - take the longest part runs 2nd behind the chalk
#8 Criminologist - Prado sucked on on this not kick sorry pos
#10 Dean's List - could get up scr
#11 Fantastic Shirl - fast and 4th

Race 6

#1&1a Dashboard Drummer & Suave Jazz- running for place hey, I was right they got 2nd and 3rd now... where is the winner
#5 Bordonaro - winner gets taken for a ride and gives up like the chalk normally does only took 6 races for it to happen
#7 Joey P. - if Bordonaro falls down Boronaro fell down but there was no Joey P. to be seen


Race 7

#1 Take The Ribbon - post position and speed sits back and watches My Typhoon walk away idiot
#3 Miss Shop - in exotics in my dreams stupid horses I hate them
#5 Wait A While - hey it's wait a while waited and ran 2nd


Race 8

#1 Bill Place - post hurts chances but an include include in Super 4th
#3 Stormello - cut bak in distance and class and finish 3rd
#5 Sports Town - gets 'em late scr
#6 Most Distinguished - wise guy could only manage 2nd
#9 Not For Money - have to include see pace and odds another stellar nothing Prado not in the money

Race 9

#1 Dream Rush - the one ot catch hey the chalk ran 2nd
#4 Cotton Blossom - no Rags in this race no rags and gets the win too bad I was already out the door with all the chalk wins early #6 Boca Grande - in the exotics

Race 10 1st 3rd 4th and 5th per the usual

#4 Red Zipper - what if gets the lead for a change? Value got the lead and did nothing with it
#6 Shakis - things are looking up 3rd behind the best 2 horses
#7 Better Talk Now - always coming and beats the overrated but took my Super away Engrish Chanell 1st
#8 Cosmonaut - involved early 4th

Race 11
if you throw out all the favorites you get Birdstone .. I mean
#4 CP West had the lead on a speed favoring track just not a 1 1/2 horse

#3 Curlin gets beat by a girl 2nd
#6 Hard Spun got tired AGAIN 4th
#7 Rags to Riches - makes history I guess the Great Colin strikes again get it Strikes again

Race 12

#4 Iron Goddess - Migliore my only selection wins what a coup. I am the greatest handicapper that ever lived
ehhh I've alread gone home


Race 13

good luck didn't stick around to watch another chalk victory.

should've stayed home
__________________
ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ

Last edited by AeWingnut : 06-10-2007 at 08:57 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 06-09-2007, 10:38 AM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Steve, a little surprised that you don't like the Mott entry in the second. Any reason? Good luck to all today.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 06-09-2007, 09:26 AM
golfer's Avatar
golfer golfer is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,608
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Danny told him he would come on when he was running a horse with a chance.
I'd like to hear this from Steve, If you don't mind!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 06-09-2007, 10:00 AM
Storm Cadet's Avatar
Storm Cadet Storm Cadet is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 1,154
Default

BELMONT PARK
SCRATCHES AND PROGRAM CHANGES FOR SATURDAY, 6/9/2007
TRACK CONDITIONS
Weather: CHANCE OF RAIN 78

Track: FAST

Turf: FIRM

Turf Races: 2, 5, 7, 10, 12, 13

Inner: Set at 0 Ft

Widener: Set at 0 Ft

P6 Carryover: NONE Takeout - 15.00 %

SCRATCHES
Race Program # Horse Time Notes
1 1 (poe) Trading Star Early
2B My Dynomite Early
4 Trippi Appeal Early

2 3X Unspoken Vow Early
8 Risky Agenda Early

3 6 Frost Giant Early

5 10 Dean's List Early

8 5 Sports Town Early
7 Out of Gwedda Early

10 3 Sky Conqueror Early

12 2 Sweet Corredor Early
10 Find the Chestnut Early
12 Freakazoid Early
14 Rizzi's Twist Early
15 Court and Spark Early

13 4 Howdyamissthisone Early
13 Raptime Early
14 Topsail Early

JOCKEY CHANGES
Race Program # Horse Changes
2 2B Fascinating Girl C. Hill

12 13 Flying Sappho E. Martin

13 7 Storm Beat J. Ponce

MISCELLANEOUS CHANGES
Race Program # Horse Changes
6 1 Dashboard Drummer +2
6 Sir Five Star +4
__________________
The decisions you make today...dictate the life you'll lead tomorrow!

http://<b>http://www.facebook.com/pr...ef=profile</b>
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 06-09-2007, 01:26 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default The Foresta Race 5

I'm In Love will make some noise at a nice price.

I have Meribel singled in my Pick 3 though.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 06-09-2007, 01:33 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
I'm In Love will make some noise at a nice price.

I have Meribel singled in my Pick 3 though.

Mother......and I don't play the freaking exacta!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 06-09-2007, 01:58 PM
ceejay ceejay is offline
Detroit Race Course
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Oklahoma City
Posts: 289
Default $180 P6 play

5 // 1,3 // 8 // 1 // 1,7 // 2,4,6
5 // 5 // 1,2 // 1 // 1,7 // 2,4,6,3,7
5 // 5 // 8 // 1 // 1,7 // 2,4,6,3,7,1,5
5 // 5 // 4,6 // 1 // 1,7,6 // 2,4,6
5 // 5 // 8 // 1 // 2,5,8 // 2,4,6
5 // 5 // 1,2 // 1 // 6 // 2,4,6
5 // 5 // 8 // 1 // 6 // 2,4,6,3,7
2 // 5 // 8 // 1 // 1,7 // 2,4,6
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 06-09-2007, 10:23 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
I'm In Love will make some noise at a nice price.

I have Meribel singled in my Pick 3 though.
Had I'm In Love for the P4 after singling Papi Chullo (~$1400 vs ~$250 to Meribel), would have made my day. Bummer.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 06-09-2007, 02:46 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default Late Pick 4

races 8-11

2,8/1/2/3,7
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 06-09-2007, 02:55 PM
Gauchos0522 Gauchos0522 is offline
Louisiana Downs
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: PA
Posts: 322
Default

Late 4

$2 2,3,8/1/2,6,7,8/3,6
$2 1/1/2,6,7,8/3,6
$1 2/3,6/2,6,7,8/3,6
$2 2,3,8/1/1/3,6
$2 2/1/2,6,7,8/7

$100 total
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 06-09-2007, 03:06 PM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Ft Lauderdale
Posts: 9,413
Default

$1 pick 4 race 8

238
1
258
37

$1 belmont stakes tri
37 / 23467
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 06-09-2007, 04:12 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,778
Default

Cotton Blossom !!!!

Tuffflesburg!!!!

My Typhoon!!!




Just get me the cyanide now and get my oblong bed ready the end of the world is near!!! The Devil has won....
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 06-09-2007, 05:07 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by docicu3
Cotton Blossom !!!!

Tuffflesburg!!!!

My Typhoon!!!




Just get me the cyanide now and get my oblong bed ready the end of the world is near!!! The Devil has won....
I think it's time for a huge win bet on I'mawildandcrazyguy...
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:17 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.