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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Fair enough, but the insurance to all that, if you don't think she's a fraud (what is your analysis of the Big Cap in that regard?), is that she's no slam dunk to come back the same anyways given her trainer, her "unique" action, her present injury, etc. In fact, all those little quirky snafus in the Vanity were probably a result of her physical condition.
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Her Big Cap was simply a case of a horse not firing. She was in a 14 horse field against older Males going 10 furlongs without a single race beyond 8.5fs over here under her...and she found herself 12.5 back after a half mile. She's a horse with enough natural speed to be hounding an honest pace sprinting...Rosario took her back and she finished only evenly.
She was exposed in a sense in that she showed a dimension where she isn't as good at. That's no big deal though.
I know she wasn't much horse in Europe after several races there, I know she has really odd action and all that .. but I wouldn't be surprised if she comes back where she left off. Mitchell does hit them with a magic wand - and they often do go sour after a few strong races for him - but he gets them back to the level a lot of times... albeit typically not for any extended period of time.