Arc upset

I was amazed to see Deep Impact open at 1/10. That was crazy. Tabor all week was fearing Rail Link. Three year olds have performed very well in the ARC over the past few years. Deep Impact performed better than I thought but he still doesnt compare to was Europe has to offer. I wonder if Shirrocco will even come over to the US for any Breeders Cup race. The connections cannot be happy about his performace. Hurrican Run had an opening but was unable to accelerate through the opening like he did last year so he has zero excuse. I wonder if Hurrican Run will now come over. I also wonder if Rail Link will come over. If I was the connections of Rail Link I would not come over. If Shirrocco and Hurrican Run are healthy and I owened them I was send on over for some redemption.

[Rileyoriley]

Connections of Rail Link are thinking of putting him away for the rest of the year. I'm hoping Pride comes over for the Filly and Mare B.C..

[King Glorious]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

I was amazed to see Deep Impact open at 1/10. That was crazy. Tabor all week was fearing Rail Link. Three year olds have performed very well in the ARC over the past few years. Deep Impact performed better than I thought but he still doesnt compare to was Europe has to offer. I wonder if Shirrocco will even come over to the US for any Breeders Cup race. The connections cannot be happy about his performace. Hurrican Run had an opening but was unable to accelerate through the opening like he did last year so he has zero excuse. I wonder if Hurrican Run will now come over. I also wonder if Rail Link will come over. If I was the connections of Rail Link I would not come over. If Shirrocco and Hurrican Run are healthy and I owened them I was send on over for some redemption.

I'd not come over with any of them. I'd head to the Japan Cup.

[SundayStar]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

I was amazed to see Deep Impact open at 1/10. That was crazy. Tabor all week was fearing Rail Link. Three year olds have performed very well in the ARC over the past few years. Deep Impact performed better than I thought but he still doesnt compare to was Europe has to offer. I wonder if Shirrocco will even come over to the US for any Breeders Cup race. The connections cannot be happy about his performace. Hurrican Run had an opening but was unable to accelerate through the opening like he did last year so he has zero excuse. I wonder if Hurrican Run will now come over. I also wonder if Rail Link will come over. If I was the connections of Rail Link I would not come over. If Shirrocco and Hurrican Run are healthy and I owened them I was send on over for some redemption.

what are you talking about? he didn't even run his race and was only beat a length.

Originally Posted by SundayStar

what are you talking about? he didn't even run his race and was only beat a length.

The same could be said for Hurrican Run and Shirrocco. They didnt run their race. Deep Impact ran about as well as he possible could. He had the lead and let TWO horses go by and one of the horses was a mare.

[copying]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

The same could be said for Hurrican Run and Shirrocco. They didnt run their race. Deep Impact ran about as well as he possible could. He had the lead and let TWO horses go by and one of the horses was a mare.

If none of the big three ran their races, and Deep Impact outran them off a 3 month layoff, travel to the other side of the world, up closer than his liking due to lack of pace and lost to a horse which won it's last 4 in a row (3 at Longchamp), doesn't that make him their superior?

[1st_Saturday_in_May]

Give Deep Impact a prep race, a pace, and his usual positioning toward the back of the field and he's the winner IMO.

[SundayStar]

Originally Posted by copying

If none of the big three ran their races, and Deep Impact outran them off a 3 month layoff, travel to the other side of the world, up closer than his liking due to lack of pace and lost to a horse which won it's last 4 in a row (3 at Longchamp), doesn't that make him their superior?

now don't go bringing logic into this argument....

[kentuckyrosesinmay]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

The same could be said for Hurrican Run and Shirrocco. They didnt run their race. Deep Impact ran about as well as he possible could. He had the lead and let TWO horses go by and one of the horses was a mare.

That same mare, Pride, beat Hurricane Run earlier in this year and just lost by a half length to Hurricane Run and Shirocco in the Prix Foy. She almost got them in that race as well. She was coming to them at the end. She had every right to fire big time in this race. It didn't surprise me at all that she almost won the race.

Deep Impact clearly did not run his race. Quite frankly, I think the horse was short from the layoff, and he obviously was a little closer to the pace than he would have liked to have been. If the big three ever face again, Deep Impact will hand it to them. Deep Impact proved to me that he really is the best turf horse in the world in this race.

With that being said, I don't think Hurricane Run is himself. He wasn't himself in the Prix Foy. He didn't switch leads until he hit the wire in the Prix Foy. His gallop doesn't look as good as it used to. I think that he is having some soundness issues.

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

and one of the horses was a mare.

A partial list.....

Hurricane Run
Shirocco
Alkaased
Oratorio
Rakti
Alexander Goldrun
Scorpion
Warrsan
Cherry Mix
Mubtaker
Pinson
Phoenix Reach
Westerner
Chic
Grey Swallow
Policy Maker
Rob Roy
Epalo
Touch of land
Russian Pearl

Pride has beat some pretty tough horses..... I think she deserves to be called by her name.

[kentuckyrosesinmay]

Yeah, I think he was a little short too, and think that he was much the best in that field of horses considering that he was also incredibly close to the pace. The horse is the real deal. That race only made me believe in his abilities even more.

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by Rileyoriley

Connections of Rail Link are thinking of putting him away for the rest of the year. I'm hoping Pride comes over for the Filly and Mare B.C..

The plan for Pride has been the Arc, the Japan Cup, and Hong Kong in December.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay

Yeah, I think he was a little short too, and think that he was much the best in that field of horses considering that he was also incredibly close to the pace. The horse is the real deal. That race only made me believe in his abilities even more.

Ditto. He was a lot closer to the pace than normal. I was impressed.

[jpops757]

How could anyone train a horse and not have him fully cranked for what is generally considered the top race in the world. Lots od excuses for the also rans. To remind everyone it was Nail and Pride 1/2 and they were honest pace and didnt have the race served up to them.

Rail Link was near 15-1 in the States and 25-1 in Europe.

Deep Impact had run off a long layoff before. I don't think that's an excuse. Not that running 3rd beaten less than a length in this race needs an excuse. That's still one of the finest horses in the world.

I had a whopping $5 win on both Rail Link and Shirocco so I had the field surrounded. Boxed 4 horses in the exacta, ignoring Deep Impact, and still managed to miss Pride in the 2nd spot.

[SundayStar]

Originally Posted by jpops757

How could anyone train a horse and not have him fully cranked for what is generally considered the top race in the world. Lots od excuses for the also rans. To remind everyone it was Nail and Pride 1/2 and they were honest pace and didnt have the race served up to them.

i don't take anything away from rail link and pride. they ran great races and deserve their accolades.

as for deep impact; i don't know if you've seen him run before but what you saw in the arc is not his style of running. he was too keen early, rank , on the muscle...whatever you want to call it. his usual style is to settle back behind horses and come running late. the way he ran in the arc is very typical of a horse coming off of a layoff. i guess the connections didn't think he would react that way but he did. and it cost 'em. big time.

[Cajungator26]

I'm sorry, but Deep Impact hardly ever races that close up to the front... to finish that gamely, I'm impressed. He is one hell of a horse.

[Dunbar]

Apparently (according to either DRF or Bloodstock Journal, I don't remember which) Deep Impact's odds were driven down by a very large group of Japanese fans that came to France just to root for Deep Impact. Once the big part of that money hit the tote board, other money came in on the rest of the field to balance it, but I don't think the "other money" ever fully compensated for the massive Japanese money bet on Deep Impact. It was a good opportunity for anyone looking for an inefficient market.

It reminds me of the good ol' days when pools were not mingled. When there was an East/West confrontation in the Ky Derby, you could get a guaranteed win by betting the East Coast horse at a West Coast track, and vice versa. The most extreme case I remember was Mr. Frisky, who went off at something like 1-10 in Puerto Rico for the Derby. I think he was something like 3-1 at Churchill. (long time ago, numbers could be way off)

--Dunbar