BEL: $60K C/O (4th-9th)

[sumitas]

Originally Posted by sumitas

i'll go with what i consider the 3 best pedigrees for this race, sunriver, jazil, and steppenwolfer...i'll box the 3 for the ex and tri.

we'll leave the forms for another day.

well, if i had gone to the best 4 pedigrees bluegrass cat would have been the 4th and there you have the superfecta...does anyone not second guess themselves after a race ?

[timmgirvan]

Originally Posted by sumitas

well, if i had gone to the best 4 pedigrees bluegrass cat would have been the 4th and there you have the superfecta...does anyone not second guess themselves after a race ?

This time I used the flava of the day= Oh So Awesome instead of Jazil and it hurt BIGTME in terms of cash and contest!! DOH!!

[Kasept]

The Belmont card was a mixed bag at best Saturday, as two horses in particular destroyed any chance we all had at making money...

Our Pick Four play featured Gorella (Just a Game). Songster (Stephens), Hello Liberty (Acorn) and Jazil (Belmont), and Bushfire's gutty performance against Liberty dashed the $900+ return.

In the Belmont itself, my obstinance regarding Bluegrass Cat AGAIN cost the trifecta. Running 1-3-4 with my Derby and Belmont tri boxes was a tad frustrating.

Hope you did well... More on the Belmont later today on Derby Trail and on "At the Races and Beyond" this evening when Steve Haskin offers his Triple Crown retrospective and Andy Serling delivers his insights on the big weekend at Big Sandy...

SELECTIONS -- Delaware Park (6/13/06) Races 5-9 (P4, P3's)

A really good set of races at Delaware Park today including the 7th which may as well be a Gr. III sprint with 4 of 7 being black type earners..

5th: MSW, 1m, F&M-3+

1. #3 Strong Vows 2-1: Sharp Jones barn goes Pino to Dominguez 3RD
2. #4 Golden Opportunity 3-1: Klesaris firster working well WON
3. #5 Coupled 4-1: Point Given gal tows bullets to debut 2ND

Ex: $13.30
Tri: $31.80

6th: Alw/N1x, 3+, 9f-T

1. #4 Fin Addict 8-1: Gelding close regularly; 3rd off break 5TH?
2. #6 Enroute 7-2: Ramon nice addition to 3/1-1-1 grey WON
A. #5 Agent Danseur 10-1: 2 for 23 but ITM 10 more times 2ND
B. #7 I'm a Fax 10-1: Constant visitor to exotics bottom 6th?

Ex: $13.20

7th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6f

1. #1 The Student 6-1: Slick Lake sprinter doesn't need lead WON
2. #5 Forest Park 4-1: Another that could press, stalk 3RD
A. #6 Crafty Schemer 2-1: Didn't respond to Ramon in last 2ND
B. #3 Saay Mi Name 8-1: Check-casher owns plenty of back class

Ex: $6.50
Tri: $13.00

8th: OC/N4x, F&M-3+, 9f-T

1. #2 Go Robin 4-1: One of 2 from Hennig; Day's top play WON
2. #7 Missmaybe 20-1: Draw line through slop flop ?
A. #8 Frost Princess 6-1: Takes logical next step 4TH?
B. #4 Patriots Image 12-1: High % Alfano's mare an exotics must 3RD

(Include favorite #5 Bend a Little in multi-race wagers)


9th: Clm, 3 yo, 8.5f

1. #3 Harbor Worker 10-1: Stevedore gets pace set up 5TH
2. #2 Stormy Fellow 6-1: Allen took grey gelding; raises tag 3RD
A. #5 Padua's Gift 7-2: Claim box star 2-2 DEL, tough at trip WON
B. #4 Behind Enemy Lines 6-1: 3rd off break; ITM 13-18 distance 2ND

Ex: $14.80
Tri: $88.40

$1 Pick Four:

5: 3
6: 4-6
7: 1-3-5-6
8: 2-5-7

1x2x4x3 = $24


Late $2 Pick Three: PAID $63

7: 1-5-6
8: 2
9: 2-3-4-5

3x1x4 x $2 = $24

Day's wagers: $204
Day's return: $244

A good day though the prices didn't really get in where we wanted them to... Hitting the P4 would have made the difference with a $160+ return... Needed to have gone three deep in the first leg to get it which would have pushed the wagers to $276 and the return to $410..


Good luck..
Steve

[stevepopyak]

nice pick in the 8th with Go Robin

sp

[zippyneedsawin]

I hit that Pick-4! I did go 3- deep in the first leg and only used The Student and Crafty Schemer in the 7th. --I really like The Student today(man, her just got up!!).

Nice picks Steve!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

I hit that Pick-4! I did go 3- deep in the first leg and only used The Student and Crafty Schemer in the 7th. --I really like The Student today(man, her just got up!!).

Nice picks Steve!

Zip,

Good job.. I thought the firsters would be "there", but was surprised they were "so there"... Had I suggested a different single, it would have been Go Robin who i absolutely LOVED today... But I wanted to cover with the prices there. Today could have been monsterous, but the faves came to run...

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Zip,

Good job.. I thought the firsters would be "there", but was surprised they were "so there"... Had I suggested a different single, it would have been Go Robin who i absolutely LOVED today... But I wanted to cover with the prices there. Today could have been monsterous, but the faves came to run...

Yeah, both firsters showed good works.. in that field they made sense to use. I used Go Robin and Bend a Little in the last. I went fairly deep in the 2nd leg (including having the 3 who scratched--so I was "ok" with having the favorite win)

[Kasept]

It was a pretty strong effort at Delaware Park Tuesday, with 2 on top winners, 2 second choice winners and third tab winner in the 5 races we capped… Those keyed 4 exactas, 3 trifectas and the late Pick 3, and if you added the 2nd selection in the opener of the Pick 4 to my single, you caught the Pick Four as well. The prices weren’t especially juicy, but we’ll take that kind of day happily. Results are below… Hope you did well.

Wednesday’s carryover is $45,000 at Belmont, but it’s a murderous sextet of heats and I don’t know if I’d suggest playing it. The first, second and sixth legs are Maiden Claiming affairs, two state bred, and there are few “standouts”. I’d tread lightly on the day overall…


SELECTIONS – Belmont Park (6/14/06) Races 4-9 (P6, P4, Grand Slam, P3’s)


R4: NYB Mdn Clm, 3+, 1m

1. #8 Sense of Speed 5-1: Morrison returns A.P. Jet gelding who looks steady getting ready
A. #1 Smoke Diamond 8-1: DeMasi grey takes proverbial “biggest drop in racing”
B. #6 Bronxdale 4-1: Gullo adds Gomez to bay that is ITM 4 of 8 tries
C. #3 Judge John B. 8-1: gelding by sire we love a karma include; blinks off, goes turf to dirt and cuts back


R5: Mdn Clm, 3+, 1m-T

1. #7 Tactically Fein 15-1: Will keep trying with Campo red who lures Luzzi after decent grass debut last
2. #9 Good Looking Out 12-1: Cedano gelding hit board first time in career in lawn bow fortnight back
A. #10 Bold Love 5-1: My man Sciacca sends 5yo chestnut again, and should find this field to his liking
B. #4 Gift of Valor 6-1: Hard to ignore anything from Contessa right now, and Calumet bred has back figs
C. #2 Lotsa Smarts 12-1: Manning gelding’s number jumped first time on lawn last time in Tampa


R6: Clm, 4+, 9f-IT

1. #4 A Nice Splash 15-1: Commonly bred Ontario native 10/6-2-0 last 12 months; Bonus tab
2. #1 Privy Seal 3-1: Prado returns on stretchout with Dutrow import on the drop
A. #5 Forget the Judge 8-1: Saw this 7yo by Judge TC win at GP; Hasn’t missed a check in forever
B. #7 Gigli 5-2: Frankel brings horse from Ipanema back after year plus; Was Gr. I placed “back when”


R7: OC/N3X ($100k), 4+, 8.5f-T

1. #7 Golden Commander 6-1: Serpe 6yo a classy customer; just missed Dave in Kingston last out off break
2. #1 Ashkal Way 5-2: Godolphin gelding made NA debut a winner and looks headed for stakes company
A. #2 Dave 4-1: Tagg terror returned to circle after series of misses last but doesn’t get ideal scenario today
B. #9 L’Oiseau d’Argent 12-1: Can’t pass plump price on regular board visitor from sky high KMac shed


R8: OC/N3X ($75k), 4+, 6.5f

1. #1a Royal Moment 4-1: Asmussen side of entry keeps good company (Spooky, Introspect, Cheetah, etc.)
2. #3 Dashboard Drummer 8-1: Attractive number on good gelding; In super every start since May ‘05
A. #4 Tenthirteen 10-1: More tote goodness available on Ribaudo gelding 7/1-2-2 this strip
B. #2 Rumspringa 5-2: Tagg-Lael contestant possible lone speed here; Must use


R9: Mdn Clm, 3+, 1m-T

1. #3 Dancing Dynamo 6-1: 5yo gelding from IEAH came fast from impossible slot last
2. #4 Really Reilly 7-2: Hushion-Schwartz player ML choice and shows consistency
A. #5 King Hoss 8-1: Kimmel takes goggles off Stronach-bred that is usually close
B. #6 Kris Angel 15-1: Sciacca goes green with Kissin Kris colt that was wide in debut


<$100 P6 Play:

4:1-8
5: 7-9
6: 4-7
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2
9: 3

2x2x2x3x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


$4 Grand Slam:

5: 9
6: 4
7: 7
8: All

1x1x1x6 x $4 = $24


P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2-3
9: 3-5

3x3x3x2 = $54


Good luck on a tough card..
Steve


RESULTS -- Delaware Park (6/13/06) Races 5-9 (P4, P3's)

5th: MSW, 1m, F&M-3+

1. #3 Strong Vows 2-1: 3RD
2. #4 Golden Opportunity 3-1: WON
3. #5 Coupled 4-1: 2ND

Ex: $13.30
Tri: $31.80

6th: Alw/N1x, 3+, 9f-T

1. #4 Fin Addict 8-1: 5TH
2. #6 Enroute 7-2: WON
A. #5 Agent Danseur 10-1: 2ND
B. #7 I'm a Fax 10-1: 7th

Ex: $13.20


7th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6f

1. #1 The Student 6-1: WON
2. #5 Forest Park 4-1: 3RD
A. #6 Crafty Schemer 2-1: 2ND
B. #3 Saay Mi Name 8-1: ?

Ex: $6.50
Tri: $13.00


8th: OC/N4x, F&M-3+, 9f-T

1. #2 Go Robin 4-1: WON
2. #7 Missmaybe 20-1: ?
A. #8 Frost Princess 6-1: 4TH
B. #4 Patriots Image 12-1: 3RD

(Include favorite #5 Bend a Little in multi-race wagers)


9th: Clm, 3 yo, 8.5f

1. #3 Harbor Worker 10-1: 5TH
2. #2 Stormy Fellow 6-1: 3RD
A. #5 Padua's Gift 7-2: WON
B. #4 Behind Enemy Lines 6-1: 2ND

Ex: $14.80
Tri: $88.40

[GPK]

If this rain from Alberto forces me to leave work early today and I have to go home, lay around and play the races all afternoon, I am gonna be HIGHLY UPSET!!!

[Kasept]

Scratched Little Bit O'Gold in the BEL 4th.. Otherwise the selections are "as is"..

[GPK]

big time tri in the 5th with the 7-10-8...I didn't bet the tri, but I did have WP on the 7.
well done Stevo.

[Scav]

I REALLY hope he played this pick six ticket, $22 horse, and a $25 horse to start it off...

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

the 10 hole is less tha 2perc on the widner..could not use him..and he fed up my 3/5...doh...great capping steve...your the man

[Kasept]

If anyone told me this play would be live for the conso I wouldn't have believed it.. Haven't seen the 'will pays', but my guess is the 6 gets hit..

<$100 P6 Play:

4:1-8
5: 7-9
6: 4-7
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2
9: 3

2x2x2x3x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96

[Nostradamus]

Well done. I was all over Tactically Fein myself but I would never have had Smoke Diamond.

[tap]

Nice call on top with Fein. Nice price too.

[Exceller]

Pick Six paid $165,540.00.

[Kasept]

I'm a Goer in the 6th prevents this from being an All-time kind of day... Destroys the multis (6, 4, Slam) with run up the rail...

Three tris though ($815.50, $25.50, $115.75) that make the day a keeper..

But boy..

[Kasept]

It was, by any definition, a VERY good day... One race, Belmont's 6th, stood between us and one of our best days ever Wednesday. Four winners from our first or second choices, one third choice winner, produced three trifectas including a $1,600 ($2) bonanza in the 5th...

Only I'm a Goer eluded us Wednesday when Gary Contessa's charge found room up the rail. That result ruined the P4, Grand Slam and P6 conso... That's how narrow the gap is between a good day and an unforgettable one. On a day where we thought the Pick Six would be a foolhardy investment, we suggested a cheap $96 ticket which caught 4 of 6... The winning play returned $166,000... Details of yesterday are below today's selections.

Thursday we are right back at Belmont before shifting gears towards Saturday's huge Stephen Foster Day stakes card at Churchill... Hope you did well... The ammunition was there!


SELECTIONS -- Belmont Park (6/15/06), Races 4-9 (P6, P4, Grand Slam, P3's)


R4: MSW, NYB-3+ 9f-IT

1. #4 Conrad Crossing 5-1
2. #5 Speaking Out 3-1
A. #10 Soldier of Rome 12-1
B. #2 I Won't Dance 12-1
C. #3 Rodeo Hand 9-2


R5: Clm, F&M-3+, 6f

1. #1 Town Charmer 5-1
2. #2 For What Its Worth 3-1
A. #5 Vicaracci 6-1
B. #9 Sweet La Rizzi 4-1


R6: OC/N2X, NYB 3+, 6f

1. #8 Frank's Fuse 7-2
2. #1 Air Race 5-1
A. #3 Cool Days 3-1
B. #7 The Trip Continues 20-1


R7: OC/N3X, NYB 3+, 1m-T

1. #7 No Parole 7-2
2. #1 Emotrin 3-1
A. #5 Fiddlers Cat 10-1
B. #4 Theconfidenceman 8-1


R8: Alw/N1X, 3+, 9f-IT

1. #9 Museeb 5-2
2. #1 Sweetiewheatie 12-1
A. #3 Federal Number 7-2
B. #5 Builders Option 10-1


R9: Mdn Clm, F&M-3+, 1m-T

1. #3 Princess Langfuhr 15-1
2. #1 Martin entry (A Stroke A Hole) 5-2
A. #11 Kiss On a Star 6-1
B. #6 Griffin Cat 12-1


$4 Grand Slam:

5: 1
6: 8
7: 1
8: 1-3-5-6-9

1x1x1x5 x $4 = $20


$1 Pick Four:

6: 4-8
7: 1-7
8: 3-5-9
9: 1-3-4-11

2x2x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Friday-Saturday: Churchill Downs..



RESULTS – Belmont Park (6/14/06) Races 4-9 (P6, P4, Grand Slam, P3’s)


R4: Good start to day as Smoke Diamond produces at 10-1 to get the P6 rolling.. Siding with Sense of Speed over Meeses to Pieces costs us the tri.

1. #8 Sense of Speed 5-1: 5th @ 5-1
A. #1 Smoke Diamond 8-1: WON @ 10-1
B. #6 Bronxdale 4-1: 3rd @ 2-1
C. #3 Judge John B. 8-1: 4th @ 8-1


R5: Biggest trifecta in NY in a while ($1,631 for $2) as our 1-2-3 comes 1-3-2 at boffo tabs.. On top choice "Fein" keeps the P6 going great paying $25!

1. #7 Tactically Fein 15-1: WON @ 12-1
2. #9 Good Looking Out 12-1: 3rd @ 11-1
A. #10 Bold Love 5-1: 2nd @ 12-1
B. #4 Gift of Valor 6-1: 6th @ 13-1
C. #2 Lotsa Smarts 12-1: 8th @ 7-1


R6: "Splash" photo-ed out of third costing the $125 Grand Slam.. I'm a Goer spoils an otherwise near-perfect day..

1. #4 A Nice Splash 15-1: 4th @ 8-1
2. #1 Privy Seal 3-1: 2nd @ 5-2
A. #5 Forget the Judge 8-1: 5th @ 10-1
B. #7 Gigli 5-2: 3rd @ 5-1


R7: P6 moves to 3 of 4 as 2nd choice "Ashkal" gets up over the #3 that we considered at first pass but dropped when making final call..

1. #7 Golden Commander 6-1: 3rd @ 7-1
2. #1 Ashkal Way 5-2: WON @ 3-2
A. #2 Dave 4-1: 5th @ 13-2
B. #9 L’Oiseau d’Argent 12-1: 8th @ 5-2


R8: Other half of entry does the job for us giving the 6 play a shot at the conso. Cheap trifecta ($51) the 2nd of the day...

1. #1a Royal Moment 4-1: POE Entry (#1) WON @ 3-1
2. #3 Dashboard Drummer 8-1: 3rd @ 9-1
A. #4 Tenthirteen 10-1: 4th @ 7-1
B. #2 Rumspringa 5-2: 2nd @ 1-1


R9: Dynamo disappoints but King Hoss, our 2nd use in the P4, wins.. Reilly and Sciacca's 2nd board visitor of the day at a price (17-1) delivers a good tri ($231.50), #3 on the afternoon, to end a good day...

1. #3 Dancing Dynamo 6-1: 9th @ 10-1
2. #4 Really Reilly 7-2: 2nd @ 9-2
A. #5 King Hoss 8-1: WON @ 3-2
B. #6 Kris Angel 15-1: 3rd @ 17-1


<$100 P6 Play: PAYS $166,000

4:1-8
5: 7-9
6: 4-7 (Leaving out 'Goer' kills it..)
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2
9: 3 (Used the winner in the P4 play..)

2x2x2x3x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


$4 Grand Slam:

5: 9
6: 4 (No Goer means missing out on $125 x 2!)
7: 7
8: All

1x1x1x6 x $4 = $24


P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7 (No Goer.. No $192.75 payday..)
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2-3
9: 3-5

3x3x3x2 = $54

[Kasept]

They call baseball a game of redeeming qualities, well horseplaying is a game of humbling qualities... After a monsterous Wednesday at Belmont, Thursday was a blood-letting. Every call was a bad one, and with one chance at redemption in the nightcap, we failed to use hard-considered winner Maria's Locket, from Sciacca no less, which would have bailed out the day and way more...

Friday, we look to Churchill in a move designed to prepare for Saturday's big Foster Day card. It's always a good idea to watch races at an oval a day or two before you intend to wager to get a feel for what's hot and what';s not. Right now, it looks like Churchill is favoring stalker-closers on the main...

SELECTIONS -- CD, 6/16/06 (R7-11) Guaranteed $50k P4


7th: Alw, F&M-3+, 1m

1. #7 Hurricane Isabel 7-5: Imposing..
2. #4 Royal Cup 3-1: Rarely misfires..
A. #3 Lovetheprospect 6-1: 3rd off break..
B. #2 Dane Hall Dreamer 6-1: Sets pace..


8th: MSW, Fillies-2yo, 4.5f

1. #10 Chagall 4-1: Pletcher-Bejarano..
2. #3 Donnie's Madam 8-1: Foley tough 2nd start..
A. #2 Cohiba Miss 5-1: Could smoke 'em..
B. #5 Tora 5-1: Asmussen tore up KEE with juvys..


9th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6f

1. #7 Engineered 3-1: Romans Langfuhr 6yo comes late..
2. #6 Yes Yes Yes 2-1: Almost too obvious..
3. #4 Danieltown 4-1: Flint gelfing exits W. VA stakes..


10th: OC/$100k, 3+, 1m

1. #1 Suave 6-5: Figures to be set now..
2. #4 Second of June 2-1: Cesare brings him back again..
3. #5 Tap Danicing Mauk 15-1: Not far behind top ones on figs.

11th: Clm, F&M-3+, 1m-T

1. #10 Kindling 4-1: Needs to work out trip..
2. #2 Cat's Copy 7-2: Gets target..
A. #5 Sugar Booger 5-1: Stalks or presses under Guidry..
B. #7 Y Country 20-1: Could move up on lawn..


P4 play:

8: 2-3-10
9: 4-6-7
10: 1
11: 2-5-7-10

3x3x1x4 = $36


Good luck.. Huge stakes action from BEL, CD, AP, LS, HOL tomorrow!!

Steve