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#61
07-02-2008, 08:39 PM
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amoss yes
thanks to all these posts, i drove to suffolk downs with only the race 8 form and some cash. watched a couple of races live...slop AND hail! waited for the odds to post and bet amoss, sinister and mena (feed said he was winning today). couldn't stay to watch but seeing the results posted here...many thanks for making me laugh and cash!
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#62
07-02-2008, 09:32 PM
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Well.. I guess this concept worked. We'll do it again during mid-week lulls. Congrats to those that saw it well and to those who understood the rationales that proved rewarding....
NOW... there needs to be a healthy discussion POST-RACE about WHY it happened... Few spend enough time analyzing what about the race didn't go the way they anticipated.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#63
07-03-2008, 12:01 AM
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The Darp - makes it 3 for 3 , running good races when asked to do something within his ability. Maybe they randomly try him in a series of tough stakes and polytrack races now that he is looking good again?
 Speed was back got a good trip with other speed being weak. Was the 2nd best in the race and ran a pretty good one. I underestimated him here. I knew his last 3 were tosses, but I kind of bought the idea that he was being conditioned to fail and maybe losing some of the speed, as well as the "bad" placement decisions never being a good sign. Tip my hat to Werner for having him ready to run. Knock out Cat - was no factor whatsoever. It was a mistake for me to over-analyze and think that Asmussen/Bridgmohan would have him significantly more off the pace today. He was still kind of stalking. Bridgmohan was patient, even hesitant coming off the turn, and when finally asked he was checked pretty good. By that time the better horses had already took over the race. If Asmussen moves him up, he could still turn out ok. Other than trying to toss the favorite and liking a non-factor 2nd time starter looked pretty formful and/or as expected.
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#64
07-03-2008, 01:09 AM
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Post Race.....The pace, for me, was faster than I thought it would have been for the first quarter 22.41. They slowed it down during the next quarter 45.07. But I thought it would be more like 23 and 46. I thought Coach Ryan would have been more forwardly placed. I would not have imagined that he would be 9th at the 1/2. When he made a move down the backstretch, I thought Calvin was making up for lost ground at the start. As expected, Coach Ryan got a nice rail trip. Borel likes the rail and he dropped back. He did come off the pace as expected. The Darp ran a heck of a race. Pressed the early pace and held everyone, but Coach Ryan off. I guess since the 1st place and 3rd place horses were last and second to last the race set up for closers. I didnt see any races from Churchill today so I do not know if the track was favoring closers or not.
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#65
07-03-2008, 02:29 PM
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From a pedigree handicap I came up with EZ Phone Home, The Darp, and longshots Coach Ryan and Siena Canyon. Chuck debunked the cheap speed of EZ, shooulda tossed. Did not include Sinister, 2-0-1 at CD, because his pedigree was not as pretty as the rest. You still need to take a peek at some racing basics if you do a pedigree handicap, I learned. It's a fine line.
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