10/25 (BC): BC Classic (Final)

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Interesting that Murtagh chose Duke over Henry. . .

I think Henry is EXTREMELY unlikely here. He's 75-1 in this spot as far as I am concerned.
Murtagh has a much better chance on Duke of Marmalade.

[Bobby Fischer]

Originally Posted by miraja2

I think Henry is EXTREMELY unlikely here. He's 75-1 in this spot as far as I am concerned.

WOW "oh my god"

any reasons ?

[GBBob]

Originally Posted by Scav

Welcome to the board.

I think Tiago and Student Council have decent shots at hitting the board

Try and build a Pick 6 ticket and then try and throw out horses in the Classic on your Pick 6 ticket, final leg....ain't easy

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by OkieMax

So I'm hoping this works.

Seems to me that the smart play in this race is the Super. The pool is going to be through the roof, and as long as you have the "order" right underneath Curlin, it might pay a grand or better. I like the Euros in some of these, but in the Classic, I think it's likely they'll be completely off the board. Go for the bombs underneath in 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

Again, hope my initial post works...., and I look forward to visiting this site on a regular basis.

I actually think Fairbanks is a must-include in any exotics. He isn't much, but this race should set up perfectly for him to hang on for a share.
Of course, I'll also be betting against Curlin in this spot, so what do I know.
Welcome to the board.

[Pedigree Ann]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Interesting that Murtagh chose Duke over Henry. . .

Henry hasn't shown he can handle 10f, whereas the Duke is world class at 10f (at least on turf). Not a difficult choice for him, I would think.

[Kasept]

9th (3:45) Breeders' Cup Classic (G1)

1 1/4 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $5,000,000

1 Go Between Gomez G K 126 L
2 Casino Drive Espinoza V 121
3 Tiago Smith M E 126 L
4 Duke of Marmalade (IRE) Murtagh J P 126
5 Henrythenavigator Velazquez J R 121 L
6 Smooth Air Cruz M R 121 L
7 Student Council Bridgmohan S X 126 L
8 Raven's Pass Dettori L 121 L
9 Curlin Albarado R J 126 L
10 Fairbanks Migliore R 126 L
11 Colonel John Prado E S 121 L
12 Champs Elysees (GB) Garcia Alan 126 Blk-On L

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by miraja2

I think Henry is EXTREMELY unlikely here. He's 75-1 in this spot as far as I am concerned.
Murtagh has a much better chance on Duke of Marmalade.

Why exactly?

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann

Henry hasn't shown he can handle 10f, whereas the Duke is world class at 10f (at least on turf). Not a difficult choice for him, I would think.

Has he gone that far?

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Why exactly?

I don't like horses stretching out 2f, & I don't like horses trying a synthetic surface for the first time. He's doing both.
I just can't find any reason to think he will be effective at 10f on this surface.
He has never gone beyond a mile and there is no real reason to think the increase in distance will do anything but hurt him. When you throw in the surface-switch and the fact that he doesn't seem to be in the exact same form he was in when he rattled off those G1s this spring/summer, I think he is very unlikely.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by miraja2

I don't like horses stretching out 2f, & I don't like horses trying a synthetic surface for the first time. He's doing both.
I just can't find any reason to think he will be effective at 10f on this surface.
He has never gone beyond a mile and there is no real reason to think the increase in distance will do anything but hurt him. When you throw in the surface-switch and the fact that he doesn't seem to be in the exact same form he was in when he rattled off those G1s this spring/summer, I think he is very unlikely.

Eh. . . fair enough. . .

[SniperSB23]

This race is simple. Neither Curlin nor Duke of Marmalade have the turn of foot to pass the other. But both have the guts to hold the other off if they take the lead first. So whoever passes Fairbanks off the turn and gets to the lead first is going to win. Figuring out which one of those pinheads will realize that is the priceless question.

[odbaxter]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Eh. . . fair enough. . .

Also, Henry may have already peaked after a really tough campaign.

[alysheba4]

well armed should have gone here.....

[Scav]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

This race is simple. Neither Curlin nor Duke of Marmalade have the turn of foot to pass the other. But both have the guts to hold the other off if they take the lead first. So whoever passes Fairbanks off the turn and gets to the lead first is going to win. Figuring out which one of those pinheads will realize that is the priceless question.

You are assuming that Duke of Marmalade will like the track....

1-2-3 box

[Scav]

Originally Posted by hrfan

1-2-3 box

OMG THANK YOU!!! I have a fighting chance this weekend now

Originally Posted by Scav

OMG THANK YOU!!! I have a fighting chance this weekend now

i have been saying those 3 for a while.
good luck to you.

[GBBob]

I hope everybody tosses Curlin

Originally Posted by GBBob

I hope everybody tosses Curlin

Doubt it, he will be around 3-5

[Scav]

Originally Posted by hrfan

Doubt it, he will be around 3-5

I disagree, with all the doubts, and all the stupid money that people like you will be putting on Casino Drive, he might be above even money for the first time in a semi-dirt race(before the synethic police come and nab me), in a long time.

If I am in the position to play a healthy p6 ticket, I will be singling him, with confidence