Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #101  
Old 08-24-2009, 12:04 AM
dalakhani's Avatar
dalakhani dalakhani is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Washington dc
Posts: 5,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
What's ironic is that back in the good old days, these horses would win on a regular basis for Pletcher. They'd stretch out and run HUGE. They'd get the worst trips and run HUGE. I really appreciated Kent sending SB and punishing Munnings, and, of course, Pletcher, around the track. Put a nice smile on my face. Kent is good when it comes to things of this sort. I can imagine Pletcher wondering during/after the race what he did to deserve not being able to 'step' these horses up, like he once did.
Can you give me some examples of these stretched out sprinters on dirt that Pletcher use to win with back in the good old days? I use to bet against those types of his all of the time (with the exception of value plus which i will wear for eternity). Looking back, I dont remember many big races at all Pletcher would win stretching out.

edit- I looked it up on his website and it looks like only left bank could be considered a horse stretching out on dirt for Pletcher that ran big. Can you think of other horses that I am missing?

Last edited by dalakhani : 08-24-2009 at 01:40 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #102  
Old 08-24-2009, 12:05 AM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by chucklestheclown
(I just picked thhis at random to use in my reply). As a betting oppportunity, I would rather see Kensei run than Rachael. Anyone agree?
If you are of the opinion that Quality Road is being asked for too much, Kensei is going to be a halfway decent price.
Reply With Quote
  #103  
Old 08-24-2009, 12:08 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
If you are of the opinion that Quality Road is being asked for too much, Kensei is going to be a halfway decent price.
Kensei will be the second choice, how is he not?
Reply With Quote
  #104  
Old 08-24-2009, 12:19 AM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Kensei will be the second choice, how is he not?
what?
Reply With Quote
  #105  
Old 08-24-2009, 12:46 AM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
what?
I think he will be as well, MTB will be the third choice.
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
Reply With Quote
  #106  
Old 08-24-2009, 12:49 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
what?
Dude sometimes I really don't know about you. You respond with what????
What odds do you expect if they run him instead of Rachel? I
thinking 3-1, 5-2 second choice.
Reply With Quote
  #107  
Old 08-24-2009, 12:53 AM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
I think he will be as well, MTB will be the third choice.
yea we all agree that he will be 2nd choice.

which is a halfway decent price if you think quality road will quit.

whatever it's too late for semantic bullshit
Reply With Quote
  #108  
Old 08-24-2009, 12:55 AM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Dude sometimes I really don't know about you. You respond with what????
What odds do you expect if they run him instead of Rachel? I
thinking 3-1, 5-2 second choice.
exactly , which is why i was confused when you said "Kensei will be the second choice, how is he not?".
it sounded like you were disagreeing.
Reply With Quote
  #109  
Old 08-24-2009, 10:16 AM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Ft Lauderdale
Posts: 9,413
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
You are one of the sharper players/cappers on the net, so i always consider what you say. I just don't think the Preakness was close at all.


not only is Rachel better than her competition, but she also dictates the style to a degree. She can go faster than anybody else that hopes to compete. Unlike Zenyatta, who can conceivably lose vs. lesser horses if they run a tactical race against her, Rachel has to regress, or even less likely someone else has to reach her remarkable level. No one has really been at her level on dirt since Curlin's peak. Big Brown probably wasn't as good, even with as much as he overcame in the Haskel and Florida Derby.

In the Preakness Borel ended the race at the top of the stretch. She reached an insurmountable lead at that point and just had to finish, with the diminishing margin not really reflecting a competitiveness for MTB. It can be debated that Borel asked her for her final bid too early in the Preakness. And then that pace was so brutal with the chasers all collapsing so badly, I know being on the lead can at times be much easier than chasing the lead in a pace like that, but it still has to be considered a very hard pace to be on with MTB having anywhere from a moderate to extreme advantage in setup...


I find some people's reaction to the Preakness hilarious. Rachel ran hard for 1 3/16ths that day and Mine That Bird ran hard for 3 furlongs that day. She's 5 times the horse MTB/Summer Bird/Munnings/anyone she's faced are. I would like to see her and Quality Road at 1 1/8th... though I think she would win by 5 again.. she may only be twice the horse QR is..

the ONLY reason MTB was so close that day is she had to set some big time fractions and put away some real good sprinters (Big Drama) before MTB got within 15 feet of her at the wire.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot View Post
Can I start just making stuff up out of thin air, too?
Reply With Quote
  #110  
Old 08-24-2009, 10:34 AM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by stonegossard
What are you trying to learn ? That he doesn't like you and feels you have horrible capping capabilities.


That seems to be what you will get form the guy.
You'll occasionally get a selection in the daily thread that will run dfl.
Reply With Quote
  #111  
Old 08-24-2009, 03:32 PM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215
I understand and certainly concur that this is a valid point.

I found Bailey's insight about Cigar in his interview on TVG Legends a couple of years ago really interesting. When talking about the Pacific Classic Bailey admitted that he asked Cigar to do something even he was not capable of, which was to hook Siphon and stay on.

The funny thing about that, which I thought of right away, was that did Bailey really think Cigar was not capable of running down Siphon simply because Geri was unable to in the Hollywood Gold Cup? Did Bailey think that little of him? Not that Siphon was bad but it made you wonder what type of connection they had.

NT
I remembering watching that at the OTB and my first reaction was Bailey made the right move, I read his book also and I thought he was simply protecting Cigar to no fault of his. Obviously he loves this horse but being a Cigar admirer, I firmly believed he lost a step in 96. He was a great horse though, as honest as the higher power has ever made.
Reply With Quote
  #112  
Old 08-24-2009, 03:53 PM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
yea we all agree that he will be 2nd choice.

which is a halfway decent price if you think quality road will quit.

whatever it's too late for semantic bullshit
Put me down for not agreeing that Kensei will be the 2nd choice.
I am sure Mine that Bird will be.

Kensei may even go as 4th choice behind Summer Bird.
Reply With Quote
  #113  
Old 08-24-2009, 04:10 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

From what I hear Wooley is going home a winner regardless of how Mine That Bird runs considering all of the "action" he is rumored to be getting.
Reply With Quote
  #114  
Old 08-24-2009, 04:17 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
From what I hear Wooley is going home a winner regardless of how Mine That Bird runs considering all of the "action" he is rumored to be getting.



Lol
True.....
Reply With Quote
  #115  
Old 08-24-2009, 04:33 PM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Ft Lauderdale
Posts: 9,413
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
From what I hear Wooley is going home a winner regardless of how Mine That Bird runs considering all of the "action" he is rumored to be getting.

thats my boy!

I only talked to him for a short amount of time but he seemed like the most down to earth dude at Siro's. and I just his belt buckle.. wanted to take a pic of it and him and his buddy thought i just wanted a picture with him... so I got a pic with him & was slightly embarrassed (or not drunk enough) to ask if I could take a pic of his belt so I didnt..
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot View Post
Can I start just making stuff up out of thin air, too?
Reply With Quote
  #116  
Old 08-24-2009, 04:45 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Antitrust32
thats my boy!

I only talked to him for a short amount of time but he seemed like the most down to earth dude at Siro's. and I just his belt buckle.. wanted to take a pic of it and him and his buddy thought i just wanted a picture with him... so I got a pic with him & was slightly embarrassed (or not drunk enough) to ask if I could take a pic of his belt so I didnt..
You don't strike me as the easily embarrassed type! LOL
Reply With Quote
  #117  
Old 08-24-2009, 05:10 PM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Ft Lauderdale
Posts: 9,413
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
You don't strike me as the easily embarrassed type! LOL

lol... true.

Well I wasnt drunk yet and it didnt seem right aiming my phone camera at his crotch... not sure if we was married or not.. lol
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot View Post
Can I start just making stuff up out of thin air, too?
Reply With Quote
  #118  
Old 09-06-2009, 10:32 PM
reese reese is offline
Delaware Park
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: New York
Posts: 192
Default

Originally Posted by Gander
The HOF didnt seem to matter in the West Virginia Derby, Smith didnt time it right at all. Borel gave him a crappy ride in the Belmont. Time before that Smith again didnt give the horse a chance (Preakness).

What makes you so sure a guy not in the HOF like Chavez or Lezcano couldnt do any better aboard this horse? Give me a break, its not like this horse has been give good rides and just come up short.
[b]
I'd like to see what Mike Smith could do day to day riding in NY.


[B]
Quote:
Originally Posted by ARyan
My guess is below Mike Luzzi, slightly above Morales[/
Quote:
Originally Posted by ARyan
B].

Talk about being clueless ..Mike Smith wins Pac Classic on Baffert's 24-1 Richard's Kid
Reply With Quote
  #119  
Old 09-08-2009, 03:06 PM
ALostTexan's Avatar
ALostTexan ALostTexan is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,101
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
From what I hear Wooley is going home a winner regardless of how Mine That Bird runs considering all of the "action" he is rumored to be getting.
You have no idea of how big of a star he is. I was at Ruidoso yesterday for the All-American Futurity and the post-parade by Mine That Bird. The guy was a rockstar. They had a booth of actual Mine That Bird memorabilia, and he was not standing right by it, but close by, and there was a line of people standing around to get a picture with him. The only thing bigger than the grin on his face was the drink in his hand all day.

My question now, though, is how much longer are the crutches going to be with him? Are they going to be a permanent prop?
Reply With Quote
  #120  
Old 09-08-2009, 03:09 PM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by reese
Originally Posted by Gander
The HOF didnt seem to matter in the West Virginia Derby, Smith didnt time it right at all. Borel gave him a crappy ride in the Belmont. Time before that Smith again didnt give the horse a chance (Preakness).

What makes you so sure a guy not in the HOF like Chavez or Lezcano couldnt do any better aboard this horse? Give me a break, its not like this horse has been give good rides and just come up short.
[b]
I'd like to see what Mike Smith could do day to day riding in NY.


[[b]B]


Talk about being clueless ..Mike Smith wins Pac Classic on Baffert's 24-1 Richard's Kid
It was a great win for Mike Smith, but was it really all that great of a ride? The horse had tons coming down the stretch and the only horse that wasnt gasping was Einstein.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:44 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.