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#1
02-21-2007, 07:24 AM
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2/21: Gulfstream (4th-9th)
Minor Fair Grounds clubhouse bathroom fire results in exacuation of building and cancelling of late P4 races.
$27,000 carryover at GP Wednesday but a trecherous series of races.. Tread lightly.. GULFSTREAM Rolling doubles (4th-8th); Rolling P3's (4th-7th); Supers all races.. 4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P6) 1. #6 Precisely That 8-1: Breen third/break; adds Bejarano.. 2. #5 Seaclipseofthemoon 5-2: White claimed from Walder.. WON A. #1 Tattooed Lady 6-1 4th B. #7 Just Speed 5-1 5th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T 1. #2 Kettle Hill 6-1: Should love turf, stretch and Johnny V.. 2. #11 Kid Wander 8-1 Total guess with tricky Brothers tabbing Edgar.. A. #4 Duveen 3-1 WON B. #6 Sanction 12-1 LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #10 Back to Mandalay 15-1 3rd 6th: ALW/N2x, F&M-3yo, 7f (P4) 1. #5 Debbie Got Even 2-1: Chased tough barnmate Autobahn Girl.. 2. #6 Ticket to Seattle 8-5: Hard to embrace DEL Park form at odds-on.. A. #4 Bianco 4-1 B. #3 The Real Future 6-1 7th: CLM/N2L, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T 1. #2 Star Snuck 3-1: Improved on lawn and Nunley lures Prado.. 2. #4 Always In 8-1: O'Connell bay had stretch blocked last.. A. #5 Tzipi 10-1 B. #7 Queen Shenno 6-1 8th: CLM, 4+, 1m 1. #7 Top Bunk 4-1: 10yo and as tough and game as ever.. WON 2. #5 Kalium 3-1: Lightly-raced 4yo could get loose.. 3rd A. #2 My Snookie's Boy 6-1 2nd B. #4 You Bronze Cat 12-1 LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 Stag's Leap 8-1: Dangerous if repaired.. 4th 9th: MDN CLM, 4yo, 8.5f-T 1. #5 Stradamus 4-1: Flopped as fave in return; seem 'too obvious'.. 2. #3 Marrouche 6-1: Now for sale; Note Desormeaux effort two back.. WON A. #7 Coburn 6-1 B. #8 Gold Warrior 10-1 LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #2 Skip Dattt 15-1: Serpe adds blinks, but why the obscure rider? <$50 P4 Play: 6: 5-6 7: 2-4-5-7 8: 5-7-8 9: 3-5 2x4x3x2 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 02-22-2007 at 06:26 AM. 
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#2
02-21-2007, 07:48 AM
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Joppa Flats in the 5th
Watch out for Joppa Flats in the 5th... I've been following this horse for a while, 1st turf is a ?, but he's been trying to close on the dirt against major rail/speed biases in last 2 (aqu and gulf).. most importantly, I won't be able to play him today, that's when all my watch horses run their best!
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#3
02-21-2007, 07:49 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
02-21-2007, 08:08 AM
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Agreed...Joppa Flats
Interesting to see main Wilkes jock (Castellano) move to the 1st time turfer with a few excuses in his last few races.
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#5
02-21-2007, 08:27 AM
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You think Wilkes reaching for JV 'first ever together' an angle here? Found this event utterly confounding... Wilkes' gelding ran like turf router in dirt sprints, and exits events against some serious sophs... Wilkes and Ribaudo have been equally inept with grass-goers, as is Nick (#1 & #10), making the D2T movers even harder to read.. We'll analyze this all day and then watch Bill Cesare & Ray Fuentes win at 58-1.. (and on that topic, note that Cesare's Big Diesel is the lone entrant in the field as drawn that has gone 9f on any surface... and had four 1 mile works between 12/12-1/15!)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 02-21-2007 at 08:38 AM.
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#6
02-21-2007, 08:35 AM
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Steve,
I am as confounded as you. I know these guys (Wilkes and Nafzger) to be pretty darn loyal to a few jocks for an entire meet....and in Florida that seems to always be Castellano, Castro and Cruz, so I don't know what to make of it. Also, the B. Lynch horse looks the type that may be all right.....and then find his way to Frankel's barn!!
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#7
02-21-2007, 08:43 AM
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Good Luck Steve, My pick 4 is close to yours,you win,I win.You sure have a heart for those 10 year old horses.Gl Last edited by Kasept : 02-21-2007 at 12:31 PM.
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#8
02-21-2007, 08:48 AM
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Good luck too.. I saw we had basic overlap on the play.. Want to see the scratches yet to formulate ticket... Hoping to save some multiples as I agree with you that it's an expensive proposition today to catch this! Think there'll be lots of conversation leading up to the GP card today!!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
02-21-2007, 08:54 AM
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My Snookies Boy is a horse that has really ran well over this surface.Its kind of the home court advantage,as you like to call it.Just dont know what happen his last two outs,or is it a setup for todays win ?
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#10
02-21-2007, 09:18 AM
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in the 5th pp 8 mountain wolf ..second out first turf.. made a huge move then rant to the bleechers
pick 4 race 6 pp 6 ticket to .....corny trombettea... pp 5 debbie got race 7 pp 12 a wonder wins........... pp 9 halos pride pp 5 tizippi race 8 pp 5 kallium raced em 3 times in jan..small break should roll peter walder.. pp 8 stags leap race 9 pp 3 merruch ist tag ist pp 4 soso sixteen 2nd pp 14 festival hall ae if in....russo s end of the shed row ham.lol Last edited by hoovesupsideyourhead : 02-21-2007 at 06:10 PM.
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#11
02-21-2007, 09:48 AM
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I like the 9th race mainly to bet against a few in the race. I can't see Flight West who's had rail trips in all his turf starts. Probably 5/2 in here. I also like the 2, Skip Datt, over Stradmus and Coburn as I think he did more running in that race than the other two although Sierra's ridden a total of three horses over the past 12 months at 65-1, 42-1 and 35-1 without a board finish. This one should be a little shorter, but still 20-1 looks ok to me. I also think the 6, Craig Harris, looks interesting if near 20-1 as well with an ok set, some speed and Coa.
Like a lot of these maiden claiming turf races, I'll go long, deep and look for a trip. I'll play Skip Datt and Craig Harris in exbx's with each other and the 1,3,4. In the 8th, it looks to me like Hydrogen, Top Bunk or Kalium. good luck.
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#12
02-21-2007, 09:55 AM
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#13
02-21-2007, 11:55 AM
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p4 options
Steve,
Any reccomendations for a p4?
__________________
Eddie Mush was a degenerate gambler. He was also the biggest loser in the whole world. They called him Mush because everything he touched turned to mush. He would go to the racetrack and the teller would give him his tickets already ripped up."
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#14
02-21-2007, 12:12 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#15
02-21-2007, 12:13 PM
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Altough I do not play this track, and the turf course is one of the more unique in North America... I see where the temporary rail will be moved DURING the card!! FYI. BBB
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#16
02-21-2007, 12:29 PM
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Quote:
<$50 P4 Play: 6: 5-6 7: 2-4-5-7 8: 5-7-8 9: 3-5 2x4x3x2 = $48
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#17
02-21-2007, 04:29 PM
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#20
02-21-2007, 04:59 PM
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