8/15: Saratoga (Day 19-Carryover)

[Kasept]

First half of meet closed out Monday with good enough day featuring large exotics hit in the 4th. Find my own bankroll down $200.00 after 3 weeks necessitating a post-halftime rally. Carryover of $60,000 to start Week Four.


SARATOGA


Selections Key:

1. "Best value win candidate"
2. "Most likely winner"
A. "Possible winner/Exotics include"
B. "Exotics include"


1st: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

1. #6 Queen Amira 8-1: Runback to 5/25 stake hit would score for Kent D.-Mott..
2. #3 Zaynab 5-2: Clement-Gomez bay tactical, always around money..
A. #2 Astronomia 10-1 WON
B. #7 Flankers Lady 15-1


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, P4)

1. #1 Happening 6-1: Bromans have been making hay with Hook and Ladder babies..
2. #5 Dana Dew 3-1: $280k Sugar Maple FuPeg has advantage of bow under belt..
A. #2 Winning Punch 4-1
B. #7 Desaloot 15-1


3rd: OC/C, 4+, 6f (P3)

1. #2 Fleet Valid 4-1: "Pork Chop" off last three; Appears the controlling speed..
2. #1 Will He Shine 3-1: Reacted to huge True North (Gr. II) win; Rebound likely..
A. #6 Roman Candles 15-1
B. #7 Council Member 5-2 WON


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, P6)

1. #6 Macho Again 10-1: West Point baby half to Rojo Toro; has even drills for bow..
2. #3 INNER LIGHT 5-2: Mott-Desormeaux no secret; firster cost $650k..
A. #7 Devereux 5-1
B. #8 Paint 3-1 WON


5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, GS)

VERY contentious Empire-bred grass mile..

1. #4 Stormy Success 8-1:
2. #5 Tobruk 4-1: Caught in gate at break last; Sciacca live here, 9th..
A. #6 I'll Make It Up 5-1: Schettino 9/0-0-0 meet; red draws better; 3rd lifetime stat eye-opening..
B. #3 Typhoon Tycoon 2-1: Looks underlaid from trainer who 'doesn't win'..

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS USE: #9 A Rose Like Us 10-1: Last OK v. these; gets plus jock switch..


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-5-7-8
3: 1-2
4: 3
5: 3-4-5-6-9

5x2x1x5 = $50


6th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, DD, Super)

1. #5 Palace Episode 8-1: bin Suroor a stunning 9 for 18 these layoffs.. WON
2. #3 Electric Light 5-2: Win shy 5yo from Reynolds well-spotted; Chased Shakespeare..
A. #1 Stream of Gold 8-1: Lightly-raced KMc acquiree attracts Edgar..
B. #8 Yate's Black Cat 3-1: ML 2nd choice loses ground, won't get target; underlay..

SUPER ADD: #9 Salinja 6-1


7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3)

If Cliff Meadows flops, this becomes impossible heat to decipher..

1. #10 Sultry Approval 4-1: Live Oak homebred from Clement gets lawn, drops..
2. #3 Cliff Meadows 2-1: $300k Melnyk War Chant being given away.. WON
A. #8 Out of Aces 15-1
B. #1e Serpe entry 12-1

LONGSHOT: #5 Tu Sandy 20-1: Bulleted 'round 'dogs' prepping first under Barbara; intriguing..


8th: The Adirondack (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super)

1. #4 Sky Mom 5-1: Three poly runs but best try by far came on dirt..
2. #6 MORE HAPPY 2-1: A female Maimonides? Baffert; Vindication; Bejarano; Sikura-Gentry-Gaines..
A. #7 Yonagucci 15-1: Grab tab on Azpurua bay being showcased for sale..
B. #8 Phantom Income 4-1: Klaravich-Violette ran off in debut..


9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (Super)

1. #2 Josefina's Pride 8-1: Schosberg red popular tagger; threat on best under Prado..
2. #3 Ohbeegeewhyn 6-1: Sciacca tabs Kent D.; solid 6yo mare 2nd/break, saves ground..
A. #8 Broken Treaty 5-1
B. #7 Madam Manguy 7-2

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #6 Irish Ballerina 15-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5
7: 3-5-8-10
8: 4-6
9: 2-3-8

3x4x2x3 = $72


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-6
5: 4-5-6
6: 3-5
7: 3-8-10
8: 4-6
9: 3

2x3x2x3x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


Good luck!
Steve

[Riot]

In the Adirondack, look out for Passion ....

[PSH]

Originally Posted by Riot

In the Adirondack, look out for Passion ....

Love Passion here. Won for fun first time out and was under wraps the last 1/16 of a mile. Her figure was just as fast as anyone else here and expect her to move forward off that effort. 6-1 ML is too enticing not to play her here. Baffert's Filly More Happy was all out to win at Del Mar and ships here off a quicker turnaround.

PSH

[pmacdaddy]

Thanks Steve!

Just playing one race today (7th). I will be betting Cliff Meadows is damaged goods. This is some spot for a $310K purchase who put up an 83 Beyer last time off long layoff. By posting this, he is sure to romp...

Like Sultry Approval a lot. Gets Turf and class drop after getting washed off / slop run in debut. Potential for big triple if Cliff doesn't fire.

R7 - Triple
10 / 1,3,5,7,8,9 / 1,3,5,7,8,9

Good Luck Today!!!

[philcski]

Originally Posted by PSH

Love Passion here. Won for fun first time out and was under wraps the last 1/16 of a mile. Her figure was just as fast as anyone else here and expect her to move forward off that effort. 6-1 ML is too enticing not to play her here. Baffert's Filly More Happy was all out to win at Del Mar and ships here off a quicker turnaround.

PSH

Agree... was at Del Mar for More Happy's debut and was not that impressed. She could move way up on the dirt, but at 2-1 I'd stand against.

[pmacdaddy]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Isn't it possible that Sultry Approval is damaged goods as well? With the bloodlines and just one start in the slop, why the rush to claimers? I'm going to try and get through this leg with Cliff Meadows, who like you said might have something wrong, but Stall won with a horse making a suspicious drop opening day. I'll also use Absolute Return who with some improvement can be right there.

Fair enough.

Guess that is always a concern with MSW/Mcl. To me Sultry Approval's drop looks well intentioned after washed off debut. Cliff Meadows' drop looks panicky.

If they were looking to steal one with Cliff, why not run him with a tag right off the bench. Have to think claiming risk would have been less with 4YO dropping in off year and a half layoff. Now that supposed cat is out of the bag with 83 Beyer in last, they drop in for tag?

As I said, could be wrong based on trainer numbers. Right or wrong, I will make hime beat me.

[VOL JACK]

steve, if u are only down $200. U are having a hell of a meet, congrats.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by VOL JACK

steve, if u are only down $200. U are having a hell of a meet, congrats.

Was just about to say that, I dream of only being down $200 the last two months

[Unstable]

Originally Posted by Scav

Was just about to say that, I dream of only being down $200 the last two months

Are you kidding? I dream of only being down $200 for Sumwon's last race.