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#1
09-13-2007, 09:07 AM
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9/13: Belmont (4th-9th; C/O)
Received consistant disappointments at Belmont Wednesday from the outset when Romans' Princess Westly (4-1) fell a head short in 4th and day went downhill from there..
Classic Marilyn (13-1), subject of a detailed angle concept, faded to photo My Nine Rose (4-1) for 4th after taking the 5th race set most of the way.. Quashed a healthy exacta box try with winner Follow My Dream (7-2). The 9th was a fitting end to a bad day as Brogue (7-2), troubled in last at the Spa, got second late under Sleeping Indian (2-1), but trifecta key eluded me with Sam's Marque (8th at 11-1) and Cherokee Flare (6th at 9-2) unable to round the play. Not a good afternoon... Hope you did OK.. Carryover seemed inevitable early on, and $41,000 kitty starts the Thursday sextet.. BELMONT PARK (4th-9th; Carryover) POST SCRATCHES/CHANGES... Selections Key: 1. "Best Value win candidate" 2. "Most Likely Winner" A. "Possibility/Exotics Use" B. "Exotics Inclusion" 4th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P3, P6) Utterly impossible group to start the P6 with nearly all possible.. Watch the board for indicative action of live runners, and spread as wide as you can.. 1. #4 Lava Cat 6-1: Willing to try again after stumble, check in last.. 5th 2. #8 Lucrative Deal 3-1: Ritvo blinks grey exiting decent affair.. 7th A. #10 Best Big Band 12-1 3rd B. #11 True Rebel 10-1 6th 5th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P3, GS, Super) 1. #7 Kaper Lake 12-1: Peitz gelding fought MTH bias last time.. 4th 2. #8 UNRESTRICTED 5-2: Stands out with #2 Joppa; Likeliest on cutback for Albertrani.. DNF-RIP A. #2 Joppa Flat's 3-1 2nd B. #5 Gruffles 6-1 DNF-RIP SUPER ADD: #10 El Medwar 5-1 5th 6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, DD) Fascinating turf route for MDN's with intriguing value everywhere after the Klaravich entry.. 1. #2 Sundaysunday 8-1: Debut was OK and Penna red may get overlooked.. WON 2. #1e Klaravich split entry 4-1: Tagg/"Cohen" send pair with 1a Titan AE.. A. #8 Cosmic 3-1 3rd B. #6 Harbinger 12-1 LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #5 Lieutenant 12-1 2nd $1 Exacta (2-5) $280.00 $1 Trifecta (2-5-8) $1,028.50 7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f-T (P3) 1. #1 Karakorum Tornado 15-1: Return to effort 2 back puts him in this.. 3rd 2. #4 Straight Romance 3-1: Tagg gelding in a sustained form run.. WON A. #8 Pegasse Jem 5-2 B. #10 Keen Spirit 8-1 8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD, Super) 1. #2 Gulch Fever 15-1: Predictably, Contessa winning again after Spa flop.. 2. #4 Defrizz 6-1: Repeat of last scores with return to Empire company.. 2nd A. #5 Striking Rizzi 7-2 B. #3 Zip to the City 3-1 WON 9th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super) 1. #2 Chief Tashamo 9-2 WON 2. #8 Marseillaise 3-1 A. #5 Dr. D. F. C. 6-1 B. #3 Lyke a Hurricane 8-1 <$150 P6 Play: 4: 4-5-8-9-10-11 5: 8 6: 1-2 7: 1-4-8 8: 4 9: 2-8 6x1x2x3x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$50 P4 Play: 6: 1-2-6-8 7: 4 8: 2-3-4-5 9: 2-8 4x1x4x3 = $48 $1 P4 (2-4-3-2) $415.50 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-13-2007 at 05:40 PM. 
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#2
09-13-2007, 10:49 AM
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Keep going over the P6 while awaiting scratches, and it's a VERY tricky group of races.. 4 maiden events (two on the grass) and 2 turf sprints including the super tough NYB ALW as the feature.. Right from the 4th, which is inscrutable as can be, this could easily go unhit... A series of 3rd and 4th choices winning could send it to Friday...
Hoping the scratch board offers some help...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
09-13-2007, 02:45 PM
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RE: Unrestricted, I wasn't impressed with her last race all that much and I think this is an opportunity to bet against her. She obviously had some issues in getting to the races and in this case, I am not too much of a fan of the turnback. I don't think the talent is there, and MR. B just picked her, so anyone that plays this should be golden until the last leg
 5: 4,5 6: 1,7,8,9 7: 4
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#5
09-13-2007, 03:01 PM
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Belmont 5th
I really like the #6: Putnam County. Up against a torrid pace last out for first race after being on the shelf for four months. Also, stumbled out the gate. Weaver has positive ROI sprint to route and Beja up.
And at 13/1 me likes! Spyder
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
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#6
09-13-2007, 03:26 PM
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Well, got a distant third.
6Th race: #5 Lieutenant: Like breeding and trainer's normally low numbers flash up when off lay off, dirt to turf, and turf starts. Looks to have a good race. Spyder
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
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#7
09-13-2007, 03:42 PM
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The 4 in the 6th is a tough one to figure. . . Zito good with firsters but BAD on the lawn. . . Spyder what do you like about Lieutenant's breeding?
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#8
09-13-2007, 03:48 PM
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Quote:
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#10
09-13-2007, 03:51 PM
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Well THAT cleans up yesterday's mess! Key of Sundaysunday solves all ills with the crazy overlay 2nd at 50-1 and logical Cosmic 3rd..
Gives a good start to P4 as well, though I don't like my play at all going forward..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
09-13-2007, 03:58 PM
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Quote:
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#12
09-13-2007, 04:04 PM
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Quote:
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#13
09-13-2007, 04:06 PM
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Hockey,
Like anything out of Danhill and Brisnet had highest turf breeding number. Wish I would have teamed up with Steve's selection for a $560 exacta... Spyder
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
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#15
09-13-2007, 04:16 PM
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Quote:
Fuego
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#16
09-13-2007, 04:55 PM
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if dfc wins ill frigging give up
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#17
09-13-2007, 04:58 PM
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Quote:
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#18
09-13-2007, 05:17 PM
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YES!!! Way to cap!!!!!
What a finish!!!
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#20
09-13-2007, 05:28 PM
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Tashmo a big underlay in p-3 pool and HUGE underlay in late DD. P-4 was the place to be. Nice one Kasept.
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