Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-29-2007, 08:08 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 11/29: Fair Grounds (R7-10)

Any question as to why the P4 is the best bang for your bucks bet in the game was answered Wednesday at Aqueduct. In a series where winners paid $7.90 (3-1; 3rd choice); $5.60 (2-1; favorite ); $16.00 (7-1; 4th choice) and $13.20 (11-2; 3rd choice), a win parley of under $1,200, the Quad came back $7,143.00 for a $2 wager. $7,143.00.

If you are the most basic $1 P4 player and average one $75 per play a day, you can go 0 for 47 and get even on your 48th attempt with an outrageous overlay in the P4 pool like this quartet produced. And obviously over that same period you're liable to hit several more less lucrative '4's'.

What made this one remarkable was the fact that the only quirky winner in the skien was Nick Zito's Thunders Dove in the 8th; a result produced in wire to wire fashion as she found herself alone up front when other early speed candidate Lady Limit entirely missed the break. Deep P4 players may very well have taken the possibility of the winner finding herself controlling the pace into account.

Fair Grounds enters Week 2, and the Late P4 there looks enticing...


FAIR GROUNDS


7th: CLM/N2L, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #8 Professional Grade 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Lambada 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Double Finesse 6-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Crazy Coyote 5-1 3rd


8th: LA-Bred ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #12 Halo's Bandit 9-2 11th
Most Likely: #7 Pure Bandit 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Kipper's Illusion 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ide's Child 20-1 5th


9th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 GONE OVERBOARD 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #5 Polysheba 9-2 4th
Next Best: #7 SCR
Super Add: #8 SCR


10th: LA-Bred MSW, 2yo, 1m-70y (Super)

Best Value: #4 Kiss My Kriss 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #10 Peteadoris 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Mr. Hunter 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 He's a Slewvescent 8-1 4th


P3/P4 Plays:

7: 2-8-10
8: 7-9-12
9: 5-6
10: 4-10


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 11-29-2007 at 06:59 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-29-2007, 08:32 AM
Payson Dave's Avatar
Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 2,647
Default

Steve, are you capping AQU today...there are a couple of races that I have interest in...
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-29-2007, 09:02 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Payson Dave
Steve, are you capping AQU today...there are a couple of races that I have interest in...
Dave,

I didn't look.. though there is a carry. PMc and Co. will likely get into it, and Andy may have a thought or two to share. I wanted to catch up on FG which is one of my favorite venues though I haven't really ever seriously followed a meet for wagering. There is a strong single tomorrow in the P4, and I wanted to get a handle on how the track is running.

What races are you interested in.. I could glance. Good luck today.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-29-2007, 12:58 PM
Payson Dave's Avatar
Payson Dave Payson Dave is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 2,647
Default

Race 8... see pmac's thread
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:38 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.