1/21: Santa Anita (P6); Oaklawn (P4)

[Kasept]

Some terrific racing on tap for the MLK Holiday including the Winkfield at AQU; Smarty Jones as part of a great late P4 at Hot Springs; 2 soph events at FG; strong late quad of ALW's at GP and the Gr. III Palos Verdes at Santa Anita which boasts a $130,000 carryover from Sunday's difficult sextet..

A few winners and nice 2nd race exotics score were highlight of Arcadian Sunday, but big carry pot looks just as tricky here...


SANTA ANITA

.10 Supers in all BUT R8; Rollings DD's thru R9; Rolling P3's thru R8..

5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P6)

Best Value: #5 Dakota Padre 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #12 (AE) In the Woods 5-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Congo King 5-1 WON ($11.60)
Exotics Add: #1 Blowout 6-1 10th

$1 Exacta (7-5) $37.10


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f

Best Value: #11 Stately Appeal 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Most Likely: #4 Dish the Dirt 5-2 9th
Next Best: #6 Clever Cochet 10-1 5th
Exotics Add: #10 Tiza Fast Kat 12-1 8th


7th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P4)

Best Value: #4 Lord Albion 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #1 Smart Hit 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Trail Mix 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Add: #5 Indian Weaver 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-1) $12.70
$1 Trifecta (7-1-5) $229.70


8th: 56th Palos Verdes (Gr. II), $150,000, 4+, 6f

Don't get the fuss over Barbecue Eddie.. Just simply not as fast as the #'s 1-2, and repeat of last by Soul City Slew can get him in the mix at a price..

Best Value: #7 Soul City Slew 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 In Summation 9-5 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #2 Surf Cat 5-2 3rd


9th: CLM, 4yo, 6f

Best Value: #2 Blackfoot Trail 5-1
Most Likely: #3 River Echo 5-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Bitter Bill 7-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #7 American Officer 12-1 5th


10th: Cal-bred MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (Super High 5)

Best Value: #5 Raingear 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #12 Nitro Active 3-1 WON
Next Best: #11 Benchmark Kid 8-1 4th
Exotics Add: #4 Quacker Jack 12-1
High 5 Play: #3 Duradude 8-1


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 12-AE (looks to be running..)
6: 4-6-11
7: 1-4
8: 1-2
9: 2-3
10: 5-11-12

1x3x2x2x2x3 = 74 x $2 = $144



OAKLAWN


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, Super)

Best Value: #1 Makatus 9-2 3rd
Most Likely: #2 Zipped 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Let Me By 6-1 8th
Exotics Add: #7 Racing Bran 12-1 4th


7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

Best Value: #8 Wood Be 8-1 10th
Most Likely: #11 Pompeii City 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Tico Breeze 8-1 5th
Exotics Add: #6 City Hall 6-1 6th


8th: The Smarty Jones, 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Terrific betting race.. Many values to include with solid key play #5 Liberty Bull.. Asmussen ML fave (#2) MUST move up to compete.. Spread wide underneath..

Best Value: #10 Palmerstown 10-1
Most Likely: #5 Liberty Bull 4-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #10 Saratoga Seven 12-1
Exotics Add: #6 Cape of Storms 20-1


9th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #3 Garden Gloves 12-1 2nd
Most Likely: #5 Ginger Bay 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #4 Upcoming Story 8-5
Exotics Add: #2 Funny Girl Rachel 12-1

$1 Exacta (5-3) $62.10


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-7-8-9-10
7: 2-6-8-11
8: 5
9: 4-5

6x4x1x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[cal828]

What happened to your Oaklawn picks Steve? Did you just not make 'em yet?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by cal828

What happened to your Oaklawn picks Steve? Did you just not make 'em yet?

Need to do the 7th and 9th... Wasn't going to do the OP P4 but it's 4 terrific races and Chuck has Makutus in the first leg which adds to the fun...

About 30 min. or so..

Have looked at a lot of races as I'll run a bunch on the air this afternoon...

SA 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th.. the Smarty Jones and another from OP.. Probably the 8th from GP..

Should be a fun show...

[cal828]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Need to do the 7th and 9th... Wasn't going to do the OP P4 but it's 4 terrific races and Chuck has Makutus in the first leg which adds to the fun...

About 30 min. or so..

Have looked at a lot of races as I'll run a bunch on the air this afternoon...

SA 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th.. the Smarty Jones and another from OP.. Probably the 8th from GP..

Should be a fun show...

Definitely need someone else's opinion because I have overhandicapped every race I've look at of late and I'm sure this one will be no different.

[Jax Cajun]

The #7 - Racing Bran in the 6th at OP will be hard to leave out. Especially with those trainer stats.

[cal828]

I agree with your top pick in the Smarty Jones and the need to spread. Good luck to Chuck and Mukutus and everyone else playing. I'll be sneaking down there later on today to play the SJ. Wife is sending me get some painting supplies. Sherwin Williams store is across the street from Oaklawn. I can hardly not play something today.

[tiggerv]

SA Scratches up

Race 1: SCRATCH #2 ORIENTATE SLEW

Race 2: SCRATCH #2 ACES OVER, #3 HIGH COMMAND, #4 FROST POINT; (NO SUPERFECTA WAGERING)

Race 3: NO CHANGES

Race 4: NO CHANGES

Race 5: SCRATCH #9 MY MICHAEL, #11 MATUCO, #14 BUC THE SPARTAN; #13 RIDER VICTOR ESPINOZA

Race 6: SCRATCH #2 ENCHANTING MOMENT

Race 7: NO CHANGES

Race 8: #5 +2 OVERWEIGHT, #6 +1 OVERWEIGHT

Race 9: NO CHANGES

Race 10: SCRATCH #1 THE FIREBIRD, #14 SWORD LEGEND

[herkhorse]

Another bomb for Dylan Williams in the 4th at Oaklawn.


Race 5 Pic 3: 1-4-9/1-2/2-8-11

[declansharbor]

Santa Anita
Races 7-9.
1$ pick 3
1,2,4,6,7,10 // 1 // 1,2,8

2$ pick 3
1,7,11 // 1,5,7 // 2,3

Will also be looking at Bejarano's remaining mounts. Will key in triple with a few of them.

Best of luck to those playing today!!

[tiggerv]

Going to be ill here if either the 3,5,6 or 9 comes home in the 4th at SA. I had that bomb in the 1st covered in my pick 4 but tried to go on the cheap and singled Dark Past in the 2nd instead of just spending the extra and covering the only 3 logical horses in that 5 horse race. I had the top 3 covered in the 3rd. Will pays in the Pick 4 are betwen 3100 and 19k for a dollar on those four.

I really hate this game sometimes.

[herkhorse]

Oaklawn pic 4 stab: 1-2/2-8-11/1-5-10-11-12/4

Good Luck C.S.!

[cal828]

Great pick in the Smarty Jones Steve. I used him with a half a dozen others and caught that 12 horse a couple of times too.

[cowgirlintexas]

Wow!! Did you see In Summation?!!! Holy cow!! What a game little horse.. Of course set a new track record...

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by cal828

Great pick in the Smarty Jones Steve. I used him with a half a dozen others and caught that 12 horse a couple of times too.

Cal,

Thx. Glad you got a piece. I couldn't find the under horses myself at all.... Looked best by far on paper to me and got serious test.

[tiggerv]

Wow I am surprised at the will pays for the Pick 6. Very logical sequence so far and an obvious single In Summation came through. The 6 and 8 will actually carryover and the 6 isn't hopeless.

Looks like you did well today at SA Steve. I should have tailed your picks. I threw in the towel after the 2nd.

[mnmark]

Mukutus is on my watch list. He appeared to be the best horse in the race and showed a real nice turn of foot twice in the race. the first time he acccelerated nicely only to get stuck in traffic when full of run. He still rated nicely untill getting an opportunity to run again he quickly galloped out several lengths in front of the field and once again appeared to be full of run. Was very impressed with his effort.

Good luck with this colt Chuck. You certaily had him ready today all he needed was room to run.