1/26: Magna 5/Sunshine Millions

[Kasept]

Anguished leadup to Santa Anita portion of fun Sunshine Millions yielding to fruition with event looking like it will sneak in under new impending weather concern. As always, fascinating full fields await pairs of stakes P4's at both venues with added intrigue of Week 1 of lucrative Magna 5..

Took maddening miss at $1,200 ($1) AQU P4 Friday as confused stance in opener led to all button decision, and failure to single Runway Rosie instead of Greeley's Legacy sealed fate. "Best Value" winners Doc Cheney ($12.00) and Big Ira Davis ($23.00) bookended "Most Likely" Rosie ($3.20) and "Next Best" Temportary Saint ($18.40), and there was no excuse for not handing you the winning play.. Hope you did OK off the strong day of tabs..


MAGNA 5 -- SUNSHINE MILLIONS: LRL, GP, SA (Pre-Scratches/Changes..)


4:02-GP 7th: SA Sprint, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #4 Finallymadeit 8-1: Calder trouper always fires.. 7th
Most Likely: #6 Benny the Bull 8-5: Logical if strip yields to late runs..WON
Next Best: #2 Mach Ride 4-1: Standridge 5yo can sit ideal stalking trip.. 3rd
Exotics Add: #11 Bushwacker 12-1: Wacky Currin has 6yo at career peak.. 11th

Longshot note: Wide net Super/Tri players should consider #7 Cobalt Blue (12-1) 6th & #9 Tropic Storm (20-1) 4th for bottom of deep tickets..


4:14-SA 4th: SM F&M Sprint, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #3 Coli Bear 8-1: Klesaris mare right style, price; Hot drills.. 6th
Most Likely: #8 Dearest Trickski 3-1: Sadler took from CLM to Gr. I win.. WON
Next Best: #9 Shaggy Mane 9-2: Defending champ circling back to good one.. 5th
Exotics Add: #6 Cher Ami 6-1: Bates 4yo may get lost on board.. 7th


4:35-LRL 10th: (Magna 5-Leg A) Nellie Morse F&M-4+, 1m

Best Value: #3 Take a Check 8-1: Honest but runs 2nd; Working big.. 3rd
Most Likely: #8 For Kisses 3-1: On roll for Small/Rosie; Chased Silmaril/Akronism.. 5th
Next Best: #1 Wild Hoots 4-1: Respect KMc invader off last big fig effort at PHA.. WON
Magna 5 Threats: #9 Art Show 8-1 2nd; #10 Cryptoquip 5-2 4th

$1 Exacta (1-9) $14.60
$1 Trifecta (1-9-3) $95.60
$1 Superfecta (1-9-3-10) $400.60


4:37-GP 8th: (Magna 5-Leg B) SM Oaks, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #7 Validain 8-1: Doubt 8-1 holds; CRC mdn winner adds Kent D.. 3rd
Most Likely: #1 American County 4-1: Romans gave GSP bay time off CD romp.. WON
Next Best: #5 Blitzing 5-2: Bested 'County' at 2; Hard to find fault.. 9th
Magna 5 Threats: #4 Yogi'ssplashofgold 12-1 4th ; #3 Sindy Jacobson 6-1 6th


4:44-SA 5th: (Magna 5-Leg C) SM F&M Turf, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #8 Bai and Bai 15-1: Serious Dollase mare always comes with run..
Most Likely: #6 NASHOBA'S KEY 1-1: Doubt Gaines' angry gal is deniable.. 2nd
Next Best: #7 Quite a Bride 9-5: Mott miss has fallen short going 9 panels.. WON
Exotics Add: #2 Placid Lake 20-1: 7/5-2-0 last 7 months; Gets class test.. 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-6) $6.40
$1 Trifecta (7-6-2) $45.00


5:02-GP 9th: (Magna 5-Leg D) SM Distaff, 4+, 9f (DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #9 Prop Me Up 20-1: Been super under Sacco; Huge shot at crazy tab..
Most Likely: #2 GINGER PUNCH 6-5: Trophy winner Monday night returns; Imposing.. WON
Next Best: #3 Leah's Secret: Like #12 below, moves to barn that gets 'improvement'..
Magna 5 Threats: #12 Lost Etiquette 20-1; #4 Saffronista 20-1


5:15-SA 6th: (Magna 5-Leg E) SM Dash, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, .10 Super)

Deceptive favorites here as neither 'Georgie' or 'Bob' appear that much better than several others..

Best Value: #2 John's Groom 20-1: Sharpening up for Klesaris; Dangerous..
Most Likely: #3 Winsome Charm 9-2: Chased super-fast Sea of Pleasure.. 2nd
Next Best: #7 Bob Black Jack 3-1: Admit rooting for small timer Kasparoff.. WON
Exotics Add: #6 SCR {SCR Add: #1 Little Nick 8-1}


<$50/$200 MAGNA 5 PLAYS:

A: 1-3-8-9-10
B: 1-3-4-5-7
C: 6
D: 2
E: 2-3-1-7

Budget: 2x3x1x1x4 = 24 x $2 = $48
Wider: 5x5x1x1x4 = 100 x $2 = $200


5:32-GP 10th: SM Turf, 4+, 9f-T (.10 Super)

Day's most wide open event and a spectacular betting race.. Demand value..

Best Value: #8 Lucky J. H. 20-1: Bombs fly this card, and he's this year's model.. 3rd
Most Likely: #12 Precious Passion 10-1: Appears he will be overlooked again..
Next Best: #9 SCR {SCR Add: #6 Icy Atlantic 3-1}
Exotics Add: #3 French Vintage 15-1: Flies late; May not get pace target.. 4th


<$50 GULFSTREAM SM P4 PLAY:

7: 2-4-6-11
8: 1-4-5-7
9: 2
10: 6-8-12

4x4x1x3 = $48


5:46-SA 7th: SM Classic, 4+, 9f P3, DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #11 Going Ballistic 15-1: Von Hemel adept at picking spots..
Most Likely: #1 Diamond Stripes 7-2: Serious gelding 9/5-0-4 minus BC Classic stab..
Next Best: #8 Electrify 5-1: Under-appreciated Plesa can score here..
Exotics Add: #10 McCann's Mojave 12-1: Gets missed again? Circling back..


<$50 SANTA ANITA SM P4 PLAY:

4: 1-3-4-6-8-9
5: 6
6: 2-3
7: 1-8-10-11

6x1x2x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Rootdog1]

I didnt get to hear Carla last night, but did she say anything about Tiz Elemental in the 4th at SA? Ready off the shelf?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

I didnt get to hear Carla last night, but did she say anything about Tiz Elemental in the 4th at SA? Ready off the shelf?

http://www.thoroughbredracingradione...,25/Itemid,35/

R/D,

Hour 3 for Carla.. (Hour 2 for Sadler)...

She was obviously most concerned about the track conditions for Tiz Elemental's return.. but otherwise feels he's ready to go.

[Rootdog1]

I did catch Sadler...thanks for the info Steve. I am not crazy about Sindy Jacobson in here, but that race is one of the most difficult of the day (for me). I landed on Blitzing, Phantom, and Yogi'ssplashofgold.

If the track plays to closers, got two "value plays" at SA...
3) #6 Highland Torree 12-1
4) #10 Dixie Dreamer 20-1 (ran well on synthetic and will have the set up, slight improvement losing the blinkers)

[Kasept]

S/M SCR/CHG FOR GULFSTREAM...

Surprising SCR of Ruff and Ready.. I thought Icy Atlantic would come out. Does this say 'he's ready'?

Curiously Sweet didn't make the trip as Sadler informed us Friday on ATR. Suffered a little hoof bruise. Keep an eye on her though. She has nice things on the horizon...

8 SCR. # 6 BILLIE BOB

9 # 7 JOCKEY J.BRAVO
9 SCR. # 11 CURIOUSLY SWEET

10 SCR. # 9 RUFF AND READY

[blackthroatedwind]

It probably says that Todd probably was always against running him back in just two weeks....and he finally was able to convince the owner.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

It probably says that Todd probably was always against running him back in just two weeks....and he finally was able to convince the owner.

A/S,

That Ruff and Ready may have a real future, no?

[blackthroatedwind]

How much future does a 6YO have that pretty much missed its entire 5YO year?

He ran extremely well last time in complete contrast to his prior form. I feel like I've seen this before.

[tiggerv]

Scratches for SA

Race 4: SCRATCH #4 TIZ ELEMENTAL, #7 LADY GAMER

Race 5: NO CHANGES

Race 6: SCRATCH #6 GEORGIE BOY, #10 TOPPER SHOPPER

Race 7: SCRATCH #13 JOY'S COMET, #14 BETTER THAN BONDS

[Bobby Fischer]

Originally Posted by Kasept

5:15-SA 6th: (Magna 5-Leg E) SM Dash, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, .10 Super)

Deceptive favorites here as neither 'Georgie' or 'Bob' appear that much better than several others..

Wish they hadn't scratched Georgie Boy. He had a slim chance IMO, and made the race a potential easy target for exactas...

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer

Wish they hadn't scratched Georgie Boy. He had a slim chance IMO, and made the race a potential easy target for exactas...

why did he have a slim chance..

[tiggerv]

SA Sunshine Pick 4

Race 4
#3 Coli Bear
#8 Dearest Trickski
#6 Cher Ami
#1 More Angles
Wish I could add: #10 Dixie Dreamer

Race 5
#6 Nahoba's Key
#7 Quite A Bride
Wish I could add: #8 Bai and Bai

Race 6
#7 Bob Black Jack
#2 Johns Grooms
#3 Winsome Charm
Wish I could add: #4 Afleet Ruler

Race 7
#8 Electrify
#1 Diamond Stripes
#11 Going Balistic
#9 Go Between
Wish I could add: #12 Gotcha Gold

1,3,6,8
6,7
2,3,7
1,8,9,11

Paid $163.50

$163.50 - $96 = $67.50

[IrishofNDMan]

My only play today is the Santa Anita 6th and I'm doing a nice win bet on Bob Black Jack.

GL Today!

[tiggerv]

GP Sunshine Pick 4

Race 7
#2 Mach Ride
#4 Benny The Bull
#6 Finallymadeit
Wish I could add: #11 Bushwacker

Race 8
#5 Blitzing
#1 American Country
#7 Vaildain
Wish I could add: #8 Phantom Income

Race 9
#2 Ginger Punch
#3 Leah's Secret
Wish I could add: #9 Prop Me UP

Race 10
#1 War Monger
#6 Icy Atlantic
#12 Presious Passion
#7 Soldier's Dancer
#8 Lucky J.H.
Wish I could add: #10 Epic Power

2,4,6
1,5,7
2,3
1,6,7,8,12

Paid $68.40

$90 - 68.40 = -$21.60

[declansharbor]

A few horses that I will watch the totes for:

Golden Spikes -(not sold on CCMan after disappointing last)
Dee Dee's Legacy -(don't know what to make of GoGo hopping off. Baze could move earlier with the cutback, he'll certainly have the horse to do it. BBJ might not have his way on the front end, possibly melting down for a closer.)
Dearest Trickski- may not look back, but at what odds?


Anyone that dumps money on Buzzard's Bay to win, deserves to lose and should get their head examined.

Great insight by many on here regarding the Millions card.
Best of luck to those playing today!

[Kasept]

FYI.. Tiz Elemental has scratched...

[pointman]

GP pk 4:

7- 2,6,9,10
8- 1,3,5,7,8
9- 2
10- 1,4,6,7,8


SA pk4:

4- 1,6,8,9,10
5- 6
6- 1,2,5,7,9
7- 1,3,8,9,10

Good luck to those playing!

[Mike]

GP 7th: Tropic Storm
GP 8th: Validain
GP 9th:Ginger Punch/Leah's Secret-Prop Me Up-Lost Etiquette super key
GP 10th: Lucky J.H.

SA 4th:Prime Catch
SA 5th:Nashoba's Key/SomethingaboutLaura-Quite A Bride tri key
SA 6th:Johns Grooms
SA 7th: Gotcha Gold

[Rootdog1]

If the track plays to closers, got two "value plays" at SA...
3) #6 Highland Torree 12-1
4) #10 Dixie Dreamer 20-1 (ran well on synthetic and will have the set up, slight improvement losing the blinkers)[/quote]


got 7-2 and not 12-1, but got a share of the win..

[cowgirlintexas]

4:44-SA 5th: (Magna 5-Leg C) SM F&M Turf, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #8 Bai and Bai 15-1: Serious Dollase mare always comes with run..
Most Likely: #6 NASHOBA'S KEY 1-1: Doubt Gaines' angry gal is deniable.. 2nd
Next Best: #7 Quite a Bride 9-5: Mott miss has fallen short going 9 panels.. WON
Exotics Add: #2 Placid Lake 20-1: 7/5-2-0 last 7 months; Gets class test.. 3rd

Bummer Steve. Looks like you singled Nashoba in all your tickets