3/3: Aqueduct Selections (4th-9th)

[Kasept]

Quick pass at today's Carry races...


AQUEDUCT


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Precisely Greg 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Gold West 8-1
Next Best: #1a SCR
Super Add: #6 First King 7-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-6) $11.20


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (G/S, P3)

Most Likely: #5 Fevered Pitch 2-1 WON
Best Value: #7 She Belongs to Us 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Runaway Star 5-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (5-8) $6.40
$1 Trifecta (5-8-7) $18.60


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Golden Vista 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Spa Princess 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Lightintheforest 7-2 8th
Super Add: #5 SCR


7th: NYB-CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #9 Aunt Marge 4-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Ommadon's Storm 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1e Karakorum entry 7-2 2nd/2nd
Exotics Add: #7 Sounds Tacky 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (9-1) $17.00
$1 Trifecta (9-1-7) $72.00


8th: NYB-ALW, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Alexandros 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Chernobyl's Hero 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Rodondo 15-1 6th


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Timber Ferry 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Key Victory 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 After Colin 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Little Dillon 4-1 5th

$1 Exacta (9-8) $43.00
$1 Trifecta (9-8-4) $301.50


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 4-7
5: 5-7-8
6: 2-3-8
7: 9
8: 6
9: 4-6-8-9

2x3x3x1x1x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-8
7: 1-5-7-9
8: 6
9: 4-6-8-9

3x4x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

4TH
1A Justin P Early
3 Northern Pick Early
5 Walking the Edge Early



6TH
5 Nicole Cat Early



9TH
1A He's the One Early

[ShadowRoll]

Steve, what don't you like about Ommadon's Frenzy (#6 in the 6th), or do you just like the others more?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ShadowRoll

Steve, what don't you like about Ommadon's Frenzy (#6 in the 6th), or do you just like the others more?

Quirky race.. My thought was that if Ommadon couldn't beat that dreadful Pattyscombination 2 back, she probably will have a hard time beating some of these. That race was her debut, and she was better in the next out, but lack of speed hurts. Ubillo's filly has some speed, the Violette firster looks OK, and I'll assume the Nerud filly from Bush is well meant. Certainly with Noble Cat gone, Ommadon becomes an include for the Super...

[fpsoxfan]

Ouch! Bumble takes a sharp right turn on the backstretch throws Arroyo.

Race 7
Aunt Marge Big W Saver P

Race 8
WP 2
Ex box 2,6
ex 6/2,3

Really thought about the 2,3,5/6 exacta. He's got that itis.

Race 9
small wp wager on Go Go Groom

[cassie]

steve catches nice trifecta in last 9-8-4 8 46to1 wish i played hope you had it

[sumitas]

Originally Posted by cassie

steve catches nice trifecta in last 9-8-4 8 46to1 wish i played hope you had it

Another nice best value pick, 8 ($23.40, $10.00). Best value in 6th paid well too.

[Gaines2b]

9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Timber Ferry 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Key Victory 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 After Colin 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Little Dillon 4-1 5th

$2 Exacta (9-8) $43.00
$1 Trifecta (9-8-4) $301.50

Steve,

$2 EX (9-8) $86.00

Nice handicapping! Thanks!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Gaines2b

9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Timber Ferry 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Key Victory 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 After Colin 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Little Dillon 4-1 5th

$2 Exacta (9-8) $43.00
$1 Trifecta (9-8-4) $301.50

Steve,

$2 EX (9-8) $86.00

Nice handicapping! Thanks!

Gaines,

Thanks.. Noted correct Exacta payoff...

Despite getting tripped up in the P6/P4, it was a good day... Glad you scored..

[pmacdaddy]

Nice work Steve.

Have to admit it is nice to have your selections as guidance in NY... Made me look closer at a couple winners I upgraded based on further review.

Hope to see more once we hit Big Sandy.

God knows I need all the help I can get...