5/10: BEL/HOL (P4's); LS Derby

[Kasept]

Left one of the logicals off the P4 nightcap at Belmont Friday and got beat, but alternate ending would have made it quite worthwhile. #10 Ring Bernadette, (3-1 and my 4th choice), won and returned @ $250.00 for the Quad, while I thought swinging for the fences with Yankee Chief (9-1), returning $1,200.00 in the multi, was worth a try with $54 play on a muddy/off turf afternoon. Hope you used the winner there and did OK!

Belmont and Hollywood P4's and Lone Star Derby give us a 9 race card to play with from 4:00-9:00pm!


BELMONT PARK


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Oniyome 3-1
Best Value: #2 John's Jean 8-1
Next Best: #7 Boxitup 5-2 WON
Exotics Add: #6 Fast Learner 12-1


8th: 33rd Bold Ruler (Gr. III), 3+, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #3 Lucky Island 7-2 WON
Next Best: #5 Executive Fleet 5-2
Best Value: #2 Callmetony 4-1


9th: 55th Peter Pan (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Quite willing to let Japanese import(s) beat me...

Best Value: #7 Cosmic 8-1
Most Likely #6 Ready's Echo 6-1
Next Best: #3 Mint Lane 8-1
Exotics Add: #2 Tomcito 6-1


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-T (Super)

OFF THE TURF (4-13-4)

Most Likely: #4 Writingonthewall 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 SCR
Next Best: #8 Pure Tantrum 6-1
Exotics Add: #6 Wonderous Day 10-1


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-6-7
8: 3-5
9: 3-6-7
10: 3-4-14

4x2x3x3 = $72



LONE STAR PARK


10th (6:47pm EST): 12th Lone Star Derby (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f (Super)

Most Likely: #1e Samba Rooster/Limestone Edge 9-5
Best Value: #3 Golden Yank 20-1
Next Best: #6 Texas Wildcatter 8-1
Exotics Add: #11 Fort Apache 30-1



HOLLYWOOD PARK


7th: 40th Senorita (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Bel Air Sizzle 5-1
Best Value: #7 Gorgeous Goose 9-2
Next Best: #6 Sweeter Still 5-2 WON
Exotics Add: #2 Lovely Isle 4-1


6th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 SCR
Best Value: #3 Kamsack 20-1
Next Best: #9 Sorcerers Spell 7-2 WON
Exotics Add: #11 Storm Machine 5-1


9th: 56th Los Angeles H. (Gr. III), 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Street Boss 5-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Peace Chant 5-1
Next Best: #4 Bonfante 9-2
Exotics Add: #6 Sailors Sunset 10-1


10th: Cal-bred MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #10 Storm Dragon 9-2 WON
Best Value: #9 Got Free 10-1
Next Best: #3 Buck Basolo 7-2
Exotics Add: #5 Herecometheirish 12-1


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4
8: 3-6-9-11
9: 2-3-6
10: 3-9-10

2x4x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Payson Dave]

On somewhat of a sidenote....the 3rd at Belmont (MSW) was just won by a nice enough looking Aldebaran colt...

[pointman]

Steve, with the Belmont 10th off turf, Let's go Yankess looks awfully dangerous, potential single, although Writingonthewall intrigues me as well.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by pointman

Steve, with the Belmont 10th off turf, Let's go Yankess looks awfully dangerous, potential single, although Writingonthewall intrigues me as well.

Those two look like the only ones who can win. . . Unless there's a put over or something. . .

R9 - $10 DD 7 w/ 4,14

[hockey2315]

Also

HOL R5 PK3 5,6 w/ ALL w/ 6

LS R10 SUPERS 1 w/ 10 w/ ALL w/ ALL, 1 w/ ALL w/ 10 w/ ALL, 1 w/ ALL w/ ALL w/ 10

Never usually hit the ALL button but things look wide open today

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Those two look like the only ones who can win. . . Unless there's a put over or something. . .

I agree, but should we be worried about the Contessa long shot (#12)?
I don't follow NY racing as close as most on here. Is this a spot where he could make something happen? Works don't look like much.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

I agree, but should we be worried about the Contessa long shot (#12)?
I don't follow NY racing as close as most on here. Is this a spot where he could make something happen? Works don't look like much.

I doubt it. . . I play against Contessa in virtually all situations, though. . . He's a Freud so he'll be better on turf. . .

[pointman]

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

I agree, but should we be worried about the Contessa long shot (#12)?
I don't follow NY racing as close as most on here. Is this a spot where he could make something happen? Works don't look like much.

I am not totally leaving this horse out, putting on a saver. Contessa can always be dangerous, plus the horse was steadied in his first start. That being said, I think the 4,14 are the logical choices here.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by pointman

Steve, with the Belmont 10th off turf, Let's go Yankess looks awfully dangerous, potential single, although Writingonthewall intrigues me as well.

Just arrived at BEL for 2nd half of card. Haven't looked at OTT scenario for 10th.

[Mike]

Sucks, I can't bet the Lone Star on Twinspires. I'll accept 2-1 on Casino Drive in th Peter Pan, he'll anialate the field now that Lieutenant Ron is out.

Going with Magical Fantasy in Holly's 7th, longshot Barber in the 9th

[-BT-]

Belmont late PK4


47
2345
167
4 14

7-3-1-4 = 92.75 ...... Sizzler?


gl all


-bt-

[pointman]

Late pk4 split with pmac, our main ticket:

7- 4,6,7
8- 1,2,4,5
9- 1,2,3,5
10- 4,14

Good luck!

[lemoncrush]

7) 2,4,5,6,7
8) 2,3,4
9) 6
10) 4,14

$1 = $30

[Bobby Fischer]

r10

4,14 look like locks in the 10th.

9,12,15 still haven't proven themselves to be losers with a combined two races, but are also hard to like.

[AeWingnut]

was Tomcito scratched

so... I hit the Peter Pan tri and it paid really nice considering
10 more like that and I'll be even

So, as someone asked.. do you think Kent D is going to change mounts for the Belmont?

[jms62]

Would you change mounts if you had the chance to ride into history as a triple crown winning jock ?

[pick4]

Originally Posted by jms62

Would you change mounts if you had the chance to ride into history as a triple crown winning jock ?

Nothing stopping Kent D from jumping ship if BB runs in The Belmont. Hopefully Big Brown takes care of business next week.

Kent D was doing some reconnaissance work today.

[AeWingnut]

Originally Posted by pick4

Nothing stopping Kent D from jumping ship if BB runs in The Belmont. Hopefully Big Brown takes care of business next week.

Kent D was doing some reconnaissance work today.

I don't know...

I was just repeating what someone asked
Of course they were joking

[mclem10011]

I caught that Street Boss/Sailors's Sunset exacta, nice call.

[mclem10011]

Steve does it again, thanks!