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#1
09-17-2009, 08:42 AM
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9/17: Belmont Park ($30k C/O)
Belmont card played out very much as anticipated Wednesday, proving tricky as can be with series of pricey winners triggering $30k carryover for Thursday. While there was no getting to the bulbous $14,000+ late P4, I was pleased to identify 3 opportunities where good opinions on overlays yielded lucrative results that easily carried the day.
First, 'long look' recommend Pletcher's Whydah went off even higher than the 8-1 ML paying a fat $21.20 in the 5th. And it got better when Toner's include tab La Clouche (15-2) got up second for the $77.25 exacta. Minutes later, Best Value top choice Tinto (24-1) just fell short of getting into the exacta, but tripped a $482.50 tri ($1) with 15-1 surprise winner Smarty Karakorum (Super Add) and even money fave Graceful Afleet (Most Likely) second. Finally in the nightcap, Best Value try Exton, another 24-1 bomber, rallied to just a head shy of a big score, though the $15.80 second money more than covered the W-PL investment on him. So despite not coming close on the quad, it was a very good day. Hope you did well! Exceedingly hard sequence for the carryover Thursday, so let's try to not give back Wednesday's earnings... BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 (POE) Shrimp Dancer 5-2 WON Best Value: #7 Saver Dude 10-1 12th Next Best: #10 Supreme Serene 8-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 Bishop of Nola 3-1 2nd 5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Run to Grand Ave. 3-1 3rd Best Value: #4 Rapide One 12-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Mocha Springs 6-1 7th Exotics Use: #3 Cavello 15-1 4th 6th: CLN, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Swinging Bernie 2-1 2nd Best Value: #3 Xodo 20-1 6th Next Best: #6 Midnite Silver 6-1 WON Super Add: #5 Right of Way 6-1 8th 7th: NYB-OC/C, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Redefined 9-5 WON Best Value: #3 Can't Refuse 12-1 6th Next Best: #2 Five Towns 3-1 7th Exotics Use: #5 Be Bullish 15-1 2nd 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Fateh Field 4-1 WON Next Best: #4 Peace Wine 9-2 6th Best Value: #8 Charlott Humor 10-1 9th Super Add: #4 Wall Street Wonder 7-2 3rd 9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (Super) Best Value: #1 Comeback 4-1 5th Most Likely: #8 Jazz Hands 7-2 WON Next Best: #2 Catch the Bottom 5-1 4th Super Add: #7 Frenchonionsoup 3-1 2nd <$200 P6 Play: 4: 3-7 5: 3-4-6-9 6: 2-3 7: 6 8: 4-9 9: 1-2-8 2x4x2x1x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-3-4-5-6-10 7: 6 8: 4-8-9 9: 1-2-7-8 6x1x3x4 = $72 $1 P4 Pays $183 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-17-2009 at 05:26 PM. 
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#2
09-17-2009, 10:21 AM
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No school today, GAS LEAK.... I will be playing a bit of Belmont.
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#3
09-17-2009, 10:37 AM
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I can't, for the life of me, figure out what to do with Xodo. Faced a couple nice ones out West this spring (Misremembered won the G2 Swaps, Oil Man won a G3 and finished 5th in the G2 Del Mar Derby).
He never lifted a foot over the soft going on 8/22, so tossing that race. Saved ground just about every step of the way on 9/6 and made a decent move turning for home before encountering a little bit of trouble. Not sure if he is gonna get the pace he needs today to become a threat on the win end, but I may fool with him a litle bit underneath in some exactas if the price is there. Looks like Rajiv may try and steal this one on the front end.
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#4
09-17-2009, 10:38 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#6
09-17-2009, 10:42 AM
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#8
09-17-2009, 11:27 AM
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Minor changes... Fast and Firm...
4TH 1A Luminesce Early 5TH 1 (poe) True Success Early 2 Idol Image Early 7 Sequoya Mountain Early 7TH 1X Ziptronic Early 9 Afrikaner Early 10 Executive Search Early 8TH 5 Lemon Shore Early 10 Driven by Royal Early 12 Banking Holiday Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#15
09-17-2009, 01:36 PM
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Hey Kent, did you see that? The guy who strangles his horse down for no reason on an easy lead (you) ends up off the board, while the guy who realizes that he's on an easy lead and therefore doesn't strangle his horse (Suffolk jock) wins at 45-1. See how that worked you dipshit? You're on a goddam speed horse whose only hope is to wire them. Let her run moron.
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#16
09-17-2009, 01:42 PM
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Quote:
 and shrimps dancer is gonna get the mile and 1/16th
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#17
09-17-2009, 05:27 PM
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#18
09-17-2009, 05:47 PM
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Peace Wine was a major disappointment today.
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#19
09-17-2009, 05:48 PM
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#20
09-17-2009, 07:00 PM
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