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  #1  
Old 11-14-2009, 07:54 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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Default 11/14: Calder; Churchill (Carryover $165k Sunday!)

Third straight day of profits Friday with Churchill punts returning the $500+ P4, bonus exotic mutuels in the nightcap and the $300 P6 conso. Only the single of Lady Carlock in the second leg of the sextet failed to connect. When crazily overlaid No Such Word (>14-1), my on top Best Value, took the 10th, an $87k 8 day carryover was the result. That card-ender finished up the day nicely, as the Cindy Jones trainee keyed a $330 tri and $1,110 super. Hope you did well and are ready for a fun weekend of play including Calder's Florida Millions, Churchill's Carryover and a good Mrs. Revere.


CALDER RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: 6th John Franks Juv. Turf, 2yo-F (FL), 8.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #10 D'lucci Girl 3-1 8th
Best Value: #6 Simply Impressive 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Winsockie 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Suzanne 6-1 7th


5th: 6th Jack Price Juvenile, 2yo (FL), 7f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Mr. Green 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 What a Prince 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Good to Be Seen 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Peace at Dawn 4-1 4th


6th: 8th O'Farrell Juvenile, 2yo-F (FL), 7f (P3, Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #4 Joanie's Catch 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Winey Taylor 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Sweetlalabye 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Musical Romance 10-1 7th
High 5 Play: #6 Carphonic 4-1 WON


7th: 6th Appleton Juvenile Turf, 2yo (FL), 8.5f-T (.50 Big 4, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Family Foundation 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Thunder Brew 10-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Bim Bam 4-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Show the Way J 5-1 3rd


8th: 8th Jack Dudley Sprint, 3+ (FL), 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Pashito the Che 2-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Honey Honey Honey 5-1
Next Best: #4 Green Vegas 6-1
Super Add: #6 Little Nick 8-1 3rd


9th: 8th Heubeck Distaff H., F&M-3+, (FL), 8.5f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Jessica is Back 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Sweetsouthernqueen 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Even Road 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Sweet Repent 4-1 WON


10th: 8th Bonnie Heath Turf Cup H., 3+ (FL), 9f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Soldier's Dancer 4-5 WON
Best Value: #5 Fearless Eagle 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Pickpocket 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Livingston Street 5-1 4th


<$75 .50 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-9-11-12
8: 2-4-5-6-[8]
9: 2-[6]
10: 5-[8]

Main: 5x5x2x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
Press: 5x1x1x1 = 5 x $5 = $25


11th: 8th Carl Rose Classic, 3+ (FL) 9f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Too Many Toyz 8-1 WON ($12.20)
Most Likely: #3 It's a Bird 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Temo's Dream 3-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Dream Maestro 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-3) Paid $16.70
$1 Trifecta (2-3-5) Paid $59.10




CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Pacific Star 5-2 6th
Best Value: #5 N. Y. Wise Guy 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Win Grammy Boy 3-1 WON
Super Add: #1 He Ain't Right 12-1 2nd


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Gather All 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Jump Start Now 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Miro 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Polished 8-1 6th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Choice Play 5-1 WON ($11.60)
Most Likely: #5 Sea Gull 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Bill's Presence 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Joxy Roxy 12-1 4th


$1 Exacta (8-5) Paid $17.30
$1 Trifecta (8-5-3) Paid $58.50
$1 Superfecta (8-5-3-1) Paid $370.00



8th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Harlem Rocker 8-5 2nd
Best Value:#8 Cassoulet 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Mutadda 4-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Timbucto 15-1 8th


9th: 19th Mrs. Revere (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Absolutely fabulous, and nearly impossible, stake.. Reaching out for prices..

Best Value: #5 Mary's Follies 10-1 WON ($20.80)
Most Likely: #7 Hot Cha Cha 3-1 4th
Next Best: #1 C. S. Silk 10-1 11th
Super Add: #6 War Kill 20-1 10th


10th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #8 Majestic Falcon 10-1
Most Likely: #5 Truchan 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Monarchos Boy 8-1
Super Add: #4 Raincatcher 8-1 DNF
High 5 Play: #10 Soldier Field 6-1 WON


<$150 P6 Play:

This is a very tricky sequence and I believe it will take a big ticket to hit. Built relatively inexpense play, but suggest treading lightly or avoiding altogether if uncomfortable with skein...

5: 2
6: 8-10
7: 3-5-8
8: 5-8
9: 1-5-7
10: 5-8

1x2x3x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-8
8: 5-8
9: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12
10: 5-8

3x2x12x2 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-15-2009 at 08:27 AM.
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  #2  
Old 11-14-2009, 10:12 AM
Coach Pants
 
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Track Name: Churchill Downs (CHD) Race: 7 Pool: P4 Selections: 1, 7, 8, 9/1, 3, 5/3, 6, 7, 8, 11/3, 5, 8, 10 Wager Amount: $0.50 Wager Total: $120
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  #3  
Old 11-14-2009, 10:32 AM
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I realize it's a big step up in class, but I'm giving Striking Dancer a big shot in the Mrs. Revere. Her last fits with these, and once again, the quick return would seem to indicate the horse is doing well. She was one of the best 2yr old turf filly's last year, today she proves whether she fits with the top 3 yr olds.
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  #4  
Old 11-14-2009, 10:35 AM
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Calder - Fast/Firm

1 - 1,7,9
2 - 4,5,7,9
3 - 5
4 - 2,6,8,9,10

GL

Last edited by Bigsmc : 11-14-2009 at 01:47 PM.
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  #5  
Old 11-14-2009, 11:26 AM
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Churchill

1 - 2,4,5,10,12
2 - 4,12
3 - 5
4 - 1,3,4,6,7,9

GL

Last edited by Bigsmc : 11-14-2009 at 02:11 PM.
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  #6  
Old 11-14-2009, 12:34 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Calder - Fast/Firm

1 - 1,7,9
2 - 4,5,7,9
3 - 5
4 - 2,6,8,9,10

GL


Tampa can't get here quick enough. I have been ice cold at Calder over the last three weeks.
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  #7  
Old 11-14-2009, 12:40 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc


Tampa can't get here quick enough. I have been ice cold at Calder over the last three weeks.

how many days to go bigs?
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  #8  
Old 11-14-2009, 06:35 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Track Name: Churchill Downs (CHD) Race: 7 Pool: P4 Selections: 1, 7, 8, 9/1, 3, 5/3, 6, 7, 8, 11/3, 5, 8, 10 Wager Amount: $0.50 Wager Total: $120
Well that hurt.
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  #9  
Old 11-14-2009, 04:50 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
And AGAIN!

You need to report to the public health department immediately for saliva testing. It's obvious your not human.......

I hope your playing these.....P4 wil pays anyone I'm in the hospital and blocked from bet sites.
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  #10  
Old 11-14-2009, 05:02 PM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by docicu3
You need to report to the public health department immediately for saliva testing. It's obvious your not human.......

I hope your playing these.....P4 wil pays anyone I'm in the hospital and blocked from bet sites.
Thx Dave... LOL. I hammered (for me) Mary's Follies on the win end, and then the triple at Calder. Was surprised Too Many Toyz was as short as he was. Tri paid just OK, but it's been another strong afternoon despite the P4 miscues. Hope you're doing well!


3605.10
14781.00
7879.30
2173.65
1847.60
1559.85
259.50
3605.10
2505.25
1457.00
18476.30
261.70
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 11-14-2009 at 05:23 PM.
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  #11  
Old 11-14-2009, 05:11 PM
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Wow. What a heartbreaker for the guy with the one live ticket.
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Old 11-14-2009, 05:15 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Wow. What a heartbreaker for the guy with the one live ticket.
Or not. WTF? Thought there was no way the 6 got the nose down. Might come down though.. Drama. Looks like a no-brainer. If the horse wins by a nostril and bumps the other horse twice at the wire?
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  #13  
Old 11-14-2009, 05:16 PM
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Oh my, they may take him down....even a bigger heartbreaker after winning that photo.
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Old 11-14-2009, 05:19 PM
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Somebody put that dude holding the ticket on suicide watch.
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  #15  
Old 11-14-2009, 05:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Oh my, they may take him down....even a bigger heartbreaker after winning that photo.
Ouch. DQ'ed out of $164k. See you tomorrow boys.
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