9/1: Saratoga (Day 35-$443k C/O)

[Kasept]

Electricity 'brownout' here in Greenwich has made for a difficult morning, so limited comments other than to say P6 double carry of nearly $500,000 demands your attention! Thoughts below. Changes after 12p. ATR preview starting at 9a!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Some nice horseflesh scrambling for $12.5k..

Best Value: #2 Great Crusade 10-1 8th
Next Best: #1a Surfing Ian 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Ramsgate 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Super Add: #5 King Andrew 7-2 2nd


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Ready and Good 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Blessed Moon 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Mama Got Even 4-1 3rd


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

SCR of #5 Fantasma = No Super..

Most Likely: #7 Deceive 4-1: Progressed when stretched on lawn.. 4th
Best Value: #6 Sing My Song 12-1: Taking hint from WO poly try.. 3rd
Next Best: #2 Flourish 2-1 WON ($4.60)


4th: OC/C, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Could easily slap an overnight stake title on this seasoned crew that has seen the circle 42 times collectively (135 starts) for nearly $5,000,000 simoleans..

Best Value: #4 Discreet Treasure 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Cool Coal Man 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Regal Ransom 2-1 WON ($3.60)


5th: (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$443k P6 Carryover Starts Here..

Difficult sextet sequence commences with tricky Maiden Claimer that asks blind without cane types to gain diploma going 1 mile on the inner turf. In a race like this, your first question is 'Who cannot win?', and after 30-1 Mountain Moonshine, there aren't obvious answers. Yes, a couple seem far more likely to succeed in this spot, but a more surprising winner shouldn't shock anyone..

Most Likely: #5 Peat Bay 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #3 Naughty You 7-2 7th
Next Best: #1 Arrr Pirates Booty 3-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Speciale Giorno 15-1 5th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1
3: 2-6-7
4: 3-4-5-6
5: 1-3-5-9

1x3x4x4 = $48


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Run to Grand Ave. 3-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Fairway Tom 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Talk to Nick 4-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Dance Floor Maniac 4-1 4th


7th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Precious Metal 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #10 Really Belong 6-1 8th
Best Value: #8 Igoturback 10-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Power Dreams 7-2 WON ($10.60)


8th: P.G. Johnson-NY, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Pleine Forme 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Fancy Point 12-1 WON ($9.70)
Next Best: #6 Lauren Byrd 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Kathmanblu 10-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-7) Paid $69.50
$1 Trifecta (4-7-2) Paid $347.00
$1 Superfecta (4-7-2-6) Paid $1,419.00


9th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Just what you want in a tough sequence, turf sprint with literally any possible..

Most Likely: #3 Sly 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Kingsdale Ocean 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Rocketing Returns 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Straight Romance 15-1 9th


10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Stream of Gold 3-1
Best Value: #8 Hurricane Heat 20-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Cinder Cone 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Sharps Island 8-1 3rd


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-5
6: 3-5
7: 6
8: 2-4-6-7
9: 1-3-9
10: 1-8

2x2x1x4x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 6-10
8: 2-4-6
9: 1-3-9
10: 1-2-3-8

2x3x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[lazytom]

steve - congratulations - nice hit - you have said before that you can't change what your doing if you go cold - great example - nice reward -