9/12: Belmont Park ($54k C/O)

[Kasept]

Fun wagering day for Belmont Fall opening despite missing the P4's, as some key price players juiced multi-horse and multi-race plays. Hope you did well! $54k+ P6 carryover out there today to start on very tricky sequence...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 10f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Quirky start to P6 C/O sequence with win shy types taking a 10 panel lawn tour..

Most Likely: #8 Exclusive Strike 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Time for Tutt 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a Avenging 7-2 7th
Super Add: #4 Albany Road 3-1 WON ($7.00)


6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Pretty nice group of state bred fillies with some starting to find their form as turf routers. Key issue is asking yourself how many chances you give a horse like Makeminechocolate when a jump up winner like Frazzie is not impossible moving to grass and stretching out for Schosberg. And you should even consider horses like Quixsand (burdened today by a tough outpost) over a Makeminechocolate..

Most Likely: #5 Strikealinethruit 9-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Irish Lady 10-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Frazzie 15-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Makeminechocolate 3-1 WON ($3.70)


7th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Quandry will be how far beyond previous starters you care to delve..

Most Likely: #1 Eden Is Burning 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Upper East Sider 12-1 WON ($26.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Miss Crabtree 15-1 9th
Super Add: #2 Miss Marla 15-1 4th


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Take a Vow 5-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Witchesofwestfield 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Hey Babe 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Lights Out Lisa 5-1 5th


9th: 35th Ashley T. Cole-NY, 3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Uncle T Seven 5-2: Troubled in good Kingston try; Adds Leparoux.. WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #2 Piazza Di Spagna 15-1: Closer needs best, but is field's lone 9f winner.. 4th
Next Best: #3 Gimme Credit 2-1: Faced better Cole field in '09 when 4th beaten 2L.. 3rd
Super Add: #5 Pocket Cowboys 3-1: Added rating gear behind Straight Story at Spa.. 2nd


10th: CLM, 3+, 1m (Super)

Best Value: #1 Greeley's Legacy 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Saratoga Sinner 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #12 Motown Shuffle 4-1 9th
Super Add: #6 Reflect Times 10-1 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 8-9
6: 5-8
7: 1-5
8: 4-5-7-8
9: 7
10: 1-2-12

2x2x2x4x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-5
8: 4-5-7-8
9: 2-3-7
10: 1-2-12

2x4x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[MisterB]

Turf wash offs in the picture? Weather looks bad

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by MisterB

Turf wash offs in the picture? Weather looks bad

Hardly.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

9th: 35th Ashley T. Cole-NY, 3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Uncle T Seven 5-2: Troubled in good Kingston try; Adds Leparoux..
Best Value: #2 Piazza Di Spagna 15-1: Closer needs best, but is field's lone 9f winner..
Next Best: #3 Gimme Credit 2-1: Faced better Cole field in '09 when 4th beaten 2L..
Super Add: #5 Pocket Cowboys 3-1: Added rating gear behind Straight Story at Spa..

Just imagine what you would save if you didn't feel a need to include impossible Sciacca horses.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Just imagine what you would save if you didn't feel a need to include impossible Sciacca horses.

Including a good deal of those horses has juiced many an exacta, tri and super. I'm in the car, but will give a hatful of examples later this aft.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Including a good deal of those horses has juiced many an exacta, tri and super. I'm in the car, but will give a hatful of examples later this aft.

Make sure you detail whether or not, overall, they have led to a higher or lower result vis a vis takeout.

[RockHardTen1985]

Getting serious around these parts, and on a Sunday morning.....

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Getting serious around these parts, and on a Sunday morning.....

There is a conversation going on between adults ( relatively speaking that is ). Shut up and go away.

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

[santana]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

There is a conversation going on between adults ( relatively speaking that is ). Shut up and go away.

Pretty funny stuff Andy....

[Kasept]

Nothing like a lil' Pat Kelly at 12-1 ($26.60) to brighten the day!

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

There is a conversation going on between adults ( relatively speaking that is ). Shut up and go away.

Pretty funny stuff Andy....

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Nothing like a lil' Pat Kelly at 12-1 ($26.60) to brighten the day!

It brightened mine.

That horse can really run.

Late pick 3
$2 3,5,7/6,7/1,2,4,5
$48

[dagolfer33]

Start cappin for the next carryover.

I did that.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

It brightened mine.

That horse can really run.

Nice job. That spot had you written all over it.. Even Samyn couldn't screw it up. How did the 12-1 stick?

[golfer]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Nice job. That spot had you written all over it.. Even Samyn couldn't screw it up. How did the 12-1 stick?

Samyn

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Nice job. That spot had you written all over it.. Even Samyn couldn't screw it up. How did the 12-1 stick?

12:1? The double with a 4:5 shot paid $70.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

12:1? The double with a 4:5 shot paid $70.

That's all you, those doubles!