10/11: Belmont ($33k C/O); $128k C/O Thursday..

Kasept · #1 10-11-2010, 07:52 AM

Few positives to crow about from Sunday's action, but certainly at Belmont it was apparent going in that the racing was treacherous. I knew there were trapdoors planted throughout the P4, and wasn't surprised when AE draw-in Humble and Hungry, overlooked at 12-1 despite the 6-1 ML, ended the quad quest in the first leg.

The day's best idea came in the featured Basket Weave, where the SCR of Awakino Cat left Super Chunky, Yield Bogey and Little Nick as the suggestions, and the Little Nick-Super Chunky exacta brought back $105.00 for $2. That's where the day's returns ended though, as Disarming, likely best in the nightcap, had an uncomfortable trip and was just late arriving to be 4th by 1.5L at 9-1. As foreshadowed, a P6 carryover awaits us this afternoon at Elmont, and it is no less impossible than Sunday's slate...

At Keeneland, McPeek's logical Rogue Romance and Carroll's surprising Acoma copped the stakes. While the going was generally rough Sunday, Gus Alonso did offer you the $49.60 win tote on Acoma as his top selection in the Spinster. At Remington, Pleasant Prince continued a respectable soph season adding a second Derby title in the Oklahoma version to go with his Ohio crown. And remember too that he was beaten just a nose by Ice Box in the Florida Derby, or he'd have a third... The P4 paid a handsome $1,175 at OK City on the strength of Schramsberg's $21.40 upset of the first leg, the Remington Green.

Saturday was a lot better than Sunday, but I hope you did well this weekend. One more day of thrills this Columbus Day Monday, including the Belmont P6, a good late skien at Delaware and $82k C/O on the G3 Morvich card at the Hollywood... Weekend Review this morning on ATR including winning connections, Johnny D., Jon White and Steve Haskin.

BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Miss Marla 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Kitty Kat Rockstar 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Sammzilla 4-1 WON; #7 Nice Stuff 6-1 7th

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$33k P6 C/O starts here..

Some handsomely made fillies signed on here including Clement debut pair of Rutherienne full sister, #6 Ruthenia, and Siphonic half, #5 Juliette Ava. Barclay Tagg's #9 Secret Indy was dropped by an unraced Dixieland Band dam that happens to be a half sister of Secret Status. And Dale Romans returns #7 Flying Vision, the half to Tapitsfly, back out for a second turf route try..

Most Likely: #4 Hungry Island 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Flying Vision 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Buster's Ready 9-2 10th
Super Add: #1 Town Flirt 7-2 7th

6th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Decision Point 8-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #6 Disco Capote 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 For Wes 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #11 Due to Run 15-1 10th

7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very confusing group. Could easily add Purrfect Bluff and Brampton to back-up P6 tix and deep P4/P3's..

Best Value: #4 Atrea 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Star Orchid 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Diamond Dina 9-2 7th
Super Add: #2 Stanford Dolly 5-1 9th

8th: 18th Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

KMc, coming off a huge weekend that saw him sweep the Gallant Bob, Hawthorne Derby and Monmouth Saturday and unviel a sharp firster in Fort Hughes Sunday, figures tough here with Neon Light. After or with her though, there are some nice price options with which to tinker..

#5 NEON LIGHT has SCR'D...

Best Value: #4 Sea Road 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Ultimate Class 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Aruna 4-1 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #10 Bet On the Blue 12-1 2nd

9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (DD, Super)

Like the 7th, only cheaper.. and with even less predictable players..

Best Value: #7 High Prize 6-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Macho Joe 5-2 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Lunar Puzzle 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Quick Money 6-1 5th

10th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Anyone live to this nightcap has yet one more daunting hurdle as this event has at least 7-8 conceivable winners. Brutally tough finish to a challenging afternoon, so take shots with prices you like..

Best Value: #2 Downtown Hottie 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Aprilmayjune 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Lateday Edition 4-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Mystic City 10-1 WON ($15.60)

<$150 P6 Play:

5: 1-4-7-11
6: 5-6
7: 4
8: 2-4-8
9: 7
10: 1-2-5

4x2x1x3x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-7
8: 2-4-8
9: 5-7-8-9
10: 1-2-5

2x3x4x3 = $72

DELAWARE PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

ENDED UP OFF THE TURF TODAY AT DEL WHICH RUINED THE STAKES..

Good luck!
Steve

Kasept · #2 10-11-2010, 11:13 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

hockey2315 · #3 10-11-2010, 11:19 AM

I looooove Aruna today.

Kasept · #4 10-11-2010, 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I looooove Aruna today.

Andy joined me on ATR for a P6 preview and thinks highly of her. From my vantage point she needs further improvement to win and is one of many possibles in a fun race. Suppose she kept slightly better company than Neon Light in Europe..

Neon Light is now a SCR by the way..

knickslions2 · #5 10-11-2010, 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I looooove Aruna today.

I like Ultimate Class. Good chance to wire the field if the fitness is there.

hockey2315 · #6 10-11-2010, 02:00 PM

Too bad Neon Light is out. . . Takes away a lot of the intrigue and possible value on Aruna.

Aruna kept the best company in Europe:

Zagora - subsequent MGSW
Anna Salai - GSW and GISP (2nd in Irish 1000 Guineas)
Rosanara - GISW next out

Obviously all the horses from the Prix Saint Alary are big time. Sarafina's a two-time GISW and was third in the Arc.

Probably moot now that she'll be 2-1.

ADJMK · #7 10-11-2010, 02:03 PM

isn't Aruna the 2. You have her as the 3

jms62 · #8 10-11-2010, 02:06 PM

My Charming Clyde... ROFLMAO

Kasept · #9 10-11-2010, 02:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Too bad Neon Light is out. . . Takes away a lot of the intrigue and possible value on Aruna.

Aruna kept the best company in Europe:

Zagora - subsequent MGSW
Anna Salai - GSW and GISP (2nd in Irish 1000 Guineas)
Rosanara - GISW next out

Obviously all the horses from the Prix Saint Alary are big time. Sarafina's a two-time GISW and was third in the Arc.

Probably moot now that she'll be 2-1.

With this sterling resume, why did Motion place her so mundanely 1st/NA? Wonder why he didn't try her in the Riskaverse 4 days earlier?

(I'm going to look and see if she was AE in one of the divisions. No.. She wasn't.)

Kasept · #10 10-11-2010, 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK

isn't Aruna the 2. You have her as the 3

Fixed.. THX!

hockey2315 · #11 10-11-2010, 02:16 PM

Motion isn't exactly Leon Blu when it comes to spotting horses. The Niarchos family isn't going to look to cash in on her or anything, so no reason to rush with her. I'd think they're bringing her along slowly and think highly of her - maybe regret tossing her in the deep end over there.

Kasept · #12 10-11-2010, 02:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Motion isn't exactly Leon Blu when it comes to spotting horses. The Niarchos family isn't going to look to cash in on her or anything, so no reason to rush with her. I'd think they're bringing her along slowly and think highly of her - maybe regret tossing her in the deep end over there.

Suppose the fact that they went for a 3yo only spot says they want some black type before the soph season slips away too...