Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-06-2011, 08:03 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default 1/6: Gulfstream ($35k P5 C/O); Santa Anita (6th-9th)

Rough start to Gulfstream stand Wednesday as turf course front end warning from Mike Welsch on ATR proved 100% prescient. Nick Zito's Doctor Peach (8-1 with Lezcano) and Juan Vasquez' War Prospector (42-1 with Maragh) wired lawn allowances in the 5th and 7th, making the P5 a $35k carryover and P4 a $4,420 bonanza (.50). The carryover sequence Thursday is no easier than Day One's, with the 5th, 7th and 9th particularly tough turf tests with deep and contentious fields. Santa Anita Late P4, which starts at 6:04p ET in the 5th, caught my eye as well...


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-Outer T (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Carson Hall 3-1 9th #1a Late SCR
Best Value: #6 Exchanging Kisses 8-1 WON-DH ($9.20)
Next Best: #10 Lemon Spice 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Grand Cash 5-1 WON-DH ($8.60)

$1 Exacta (2-6) Paid $33.00
$1 Trifecta (2-6-10) Paid $196.70
$1 Exacta (6-2) Paid $35.90
$1 Trifecta (6-2-10) Paid $195.90



6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-Inner Turf (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Dinahmite Sal 10-1 12th
Next Best: #2 Aspire to Silver 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Let's Do It 5-1 WON ($12.60)
Super Add: #8 Don't Lock Me Out 12-1 9th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Distorted Legacy 3-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Ba Ba's Bunch 15-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Hasty 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Lakeside Chapel 8-1 9th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Groomedforvictory 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Poni Colada 3-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Apriority 5-1 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #2 Viscount 6-1 4th


9th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7.5f-Inner Turf (Super)

Best Value: #3 Enchanted Mesa 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Pure Amour 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Green's Hard Ten 15-1 7th
Super Add: #8 High On Kitten 6-1 4th


<$100 P5 Play:

5: 1-2-6-10
6: 1-2-5-8
7: 3-6-7
8: 3-10
9: 3-10

4x4x3x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-5-8
7: 3-6-7
8: 3-9-10
9: 1-3-8-10

4x3x3x4 =144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Cal-MSW, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Bitt a Heat 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Orfano 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Bila Shaka 3-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Favolosa 8-1 4th


6th: Cal-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Serene Sophia 3-1 WON ($4.40))
Best Value: #3 Frequent Fame 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Our Road Scholar 4-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Shesoprovocative 4-1 2nd


7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Sporting Art 7-2 WON ($11.80)
Next Best: #1 Get a Grip 9-2 8th
Best Value: #6 Interpatation 8-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Yodelen Dan 3-1 4th


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 1m (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Led Advantage 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Simply Put 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Really Elegant 9-2 WON ($20.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Marino's Promise 7-2 -
Super Add: #8 Warren's Highroller 3-1 5th

$1 Pick 3 (4/3/5) Paid $110.90 (3OF3)


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-6-7
6: 4
7: 1-3-4-6
8: 1-2-5-6-8-9

3x1x4x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-06-2011 at 07:52 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-06-2011, 11:50 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

GP SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-06-2011, 02:43 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

#1a SCR's late in the GP 5th. Waiting for follow-up announcement as the #1 shouldbe running for purse only, no?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 01-06-2011, 03:00 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

Think this photo is coming to the 6..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 01-06-2011, 03:01 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Think this photo is coming to the 6..
DH! I have it every which way, but had a nice win bet on the 6..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 01-06-2011, 03:03 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
DH!
I don't think there is No purse only in Florida

Every year I forget about how hard it is to call a photo on the lawn at Gulfstream with their comedy finish line.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 01-06-2011, 03:19 PM
Bogey's Avatar
Bogey Bogey is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,479
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
DH! I have it every which way, but had a nice win bet on the 6..
Ditto on the win bet on the 6! Nice start to the PK5.
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 01-06-2011, 04:56 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

Gus and I will settle for another dead heat here....








Cocquesucker..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 01-06-2011, 04:58 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

P6 a $5k+ carryover.

P5 pays a robust $22,800..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-06-2011 at 05:50 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 01-06-2011, 05:09 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Looked like a $9,500 single winner in the P6.. But I guess not. $5k+ carryover.

P5 pays a robust $22,800..
You gotta be within 2 lengths to have a chance on that turf course, and on the dirt, you want to be in the 3 or 4th path.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 01-06-2011, 05:14 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav View Post
You gotta be within 2 lengths to have a chance on that turf course, and on the dirt, you want to be in the 3 or 4th path.
Well-contested fractions have allowed off pace runners to get to the leaders in the turf races. (As in the nightcap yesterday and 6th today.)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 01-06-2011, 05:20 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Pittsburgh
Posts: 1,412
Default

this pick 5 seems playable....22k is a nice day
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 01-06-2011, 05:58 PM
Mike's Avatar
Mike Mike is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 2,308
Default

I'll go with the oldtimer, Interpretation in SA's 7th
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 01-06-2011, 07:50 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,305
Default

How did Really Elegant go off at 9-1?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 01-06-2011, 07:58 PM
geeker2's Avatar
geeker2 geeker2 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,235
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
How did Really Elegant go off at 9-1?
Espinoza on #6 bet to 8/5 ? didn't see that.
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:58 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.