1/8: Aqueduct ($21k C/O): Gulfstream (5th-10th)

[Kasept]

Saw the 9 events I capped pretty clearly Friday, coming away with returns on nearly everything attempted at the windows. Day 3 at Gulfstream was particularly rewarding, as the late P4 and last 3 P3's came home for nearly $700. Had to settle for a pair of $14.00 consos in the $924 P5 for leaving In Perpetuity off the play, but I used him in the P4 and that came back a healthy $354 (.50). Fair Grounds went according to Hoyle as well, but too many obvious winners kept the payoff to a tiny $64 for the $48 play.

Hope you did well! Lots of action to choose from today including a $21k carryover at Aqueduct, the Stakes-tinged Gulfstream slate and much more..


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-MSW, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Pretty interesting set of state breds, and not so easy determining who among the contenders can be excluded from P6 tickets..

Most Likely: #9 Financial Storm 9-5 9th
Best Value: #1e Odinitz entry 10-1 4th/5th
Next Best: #4 So Scott 7-5 WON ($4.70)
Exotics Use: #3 L L Flying Notes 6-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

You get the 7# break but have to live with ineptitude of Amaro as Grusmark turns back #3 Pressure Point on <10 days (21% W/52% ITM over last 227 opportunities according to Thoro-Graph trainer stats)..

Best Value: #3 Pressure Point 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Onzain 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Barnie's Bullet 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #5 Auditorium 4-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Southbeachsandy 2-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Mr. Hopps 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Fulton Street 4-1 WON ($15.20)
Super Add: #12 Market Distortion 8-1 8th


7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Zone Breaker 3-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Brunelli 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Five Cases 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Patent Pending Tom 20-1 3rd


8th: 38th Busanda, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Dance Quietly 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #4 Moonlit Malibu 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Aba Dabbler 8-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Bandola 6-1 6th


9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Life's Measure 7-5 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #3 Proficient Miss 5-2 9th
Best Value: #7 My Unbridled Storm 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Anna Mae Jones 5-1 6th


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 1-3-4-9
5: 3
6: 5-8-9
7: 3-10
8: 2-4
9: 9

4x1x3x2x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 5-8-9
7: 2-3-7-10
8: 2-4
9: 3-9

3x4x2x2 = $48



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$10k guaranteed P6 pool today..

Most Likely: #2 Bank Heist 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 De Price 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 SCR
Super Add: #11 Liston 12-1 7th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Potentially important 3yo Maiden Special here, with distinguishing element the full one turn mile distance. From a pedigree point of view on the firsters, note that Shug introduces #5 Point of Entry, a half sister of ill-fated Pine Island (Arch); Bill Mott unviels Wygod homebred #2 Clear Attempt, a daughter of G1 Santa Anita Oaks winner Silent Sighs; and Michael Matz offers #10 Final Strike (Badge of Silver) whose dam Spring Free (Royal Academy) is a half sister to millionaire Spring House (Chester House)..

Most Likely: #1 Best Act 4-1 9th
Best Value: #7 Sinorce 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Joe Vann 6-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Fort Larned 8-1 WON ($20.60)


7th: 29th Spectacular Bid, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Gangsterontherun 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Leave of Absence 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Determinato 10-1 WON ($30.60)
Super Add: #1 Winchill 6-1 6th


8th: OC/N3X, 4+, 1m-Inner Turf (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Saint Dynaformer 12-1 11th
Next Best: #11 Vanquisher 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Asphalt 10-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Guys Reward 7-2 3rd


9th: 21st Hal's Hope (G3), 4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Morning Line 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 Tackleberry 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Soaring Empire 4-1 WON ($6.00)
Super Add: #2 Rule 2-1 2nd


10th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 7.5f-Inner Turf (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Cozy Lion 7-2 WON ($8.20(
Best Value: #6 Bear's Rocket 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Rainbows Arch 8-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Coffee Break 20-1 11th


<$50 P5 P6 Play:

6: 1-3-4-7-8-11
7: 5-6
8: 4-8-10-11
9: 3
10: 2-6

6x2x4x1x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 5-6
8: 1-4-5-6-8-9-10-11
9: 1-3-5
10: 2-6

2x8x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG: http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp

[freddymo]

What do you like about Saint Dynaformer. Not that I would talk you off a 20 to 1 horse? Needed Mdn 40's to break thru. Couldn't beat but 2 in a restricted race. You don't think Breen's horse isn't way better? plus Rogue Victory is terriffic off the bench..

It's a rough race to get a handle on.

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S: http://www.gulfstreampark.com/racing...atches-changes

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by freddymo

What do you like about Saint Dynaformer. Not that I would talk you off a 20 to 1 horse? Needed Mdn 40's to break thru. Couldn't beat but 2 in a restricted race. You don't think Breen's horse isn't way better? plus Rogue Victory is terriffic off the bench..

It's a rough race to get a handle on.

Very tough group Fredo. Looking for prices and the Plesa is a different horse now and still may have more improvement in him. The Breen is definitely OK, but I avoid Bravo at short numbers as much as possible. Good luck!

Also... Am in Albany right now with Tina getting a shelving unit and will get changes up as soon as I get home.

[freddymo]

Nice call on the 9 in the 7th

[freddymo]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Very tough group Fredo. Looking for prices and the Plesa is a different horse now and still may have more improvement in him. The Breen is definitely OK, but I avoid Bravo at short numbers as much as possible. Good luck!

Also... Am in Albany right now with Tina getting a shelving unit and will get changes up as soon as I get home.

3/1 was a square price