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#1
04-14-2011, 08:01 AM
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4/14: Keeneland (5th-9th)
'Big balloons' wafted all around Keeneland Wednesday, and I flirted with various multi hits that ultimately came up short. The P5 paid an outrageous $42,264 to one winner, while consos paid $265. The P4 was a $23.7k bonanza, while the 5-7, 6-8 and 7-9 P3's brought back $233, $1,500 and $4,127! The biggest frustration came from using $46.40 8th race winner Joshua Reynolds on the plays, but I missed Sassy's Dream in the 6th and my top trio in the nightcap ran 2nd, 3rd and 4th to $16.80 Ratatat. But like Gulfstream earlier this winter, you have to keep pitching under these full field conditions. The best opinion of the day came in the 5th when P5 single Spooky Kitten keyed exotics of $44.50 (EXA), $205.90 (TRI) and $1,234 (SPR). Hope you did well... Another tough sequence today which includes the G1 Vinery Madison.
KEENELAND POSt-SCRATCHES 5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P5. P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Shy Temper 7-2 4th Next Best: #4 Pray for Grace 3-1 2nd Best Value: #8 Even Forest 8-1 6th Super Add: #6 Keyana Washington 4-1 3rd 6th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) 4-5 is too short a price to discover that Dubai's Connection doesn't care for the surface.. Best Value: #4 Mud Creek 8-1 4th Next Best: #2 Tribecky 10-1 8th Exotics Use: #10 Dubai's Connection 4-5 3rd Super Add: #8 Monkey's Moonbeam 10-1 5th 7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Boisterous 3-1 WON ($4.80) Best Value: #1a Strong Commitment 8-1 6th Next Best: #5 Kindergarden Kid 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Lighthouse Sound 5-2 4th 8th: 10th Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super) This is a nicely-matched field, and as big an Evening Jewel fan as I am, it's hard to embrace her too enthusiastically at what will be a very low price..#7 Amen Hallelujah appears to be running after all; Not a SCR through 12:30 late change announcement.. Best Value: #1 Kitty in a Tizzy 12-1 7th Next Best: #7 Amen Hallelujah 2-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Evening Jewel 5-2 4th Super Add: #6 Tremendemente Loca 20-1 9th 9th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5) Very nice race and it comes with an $8k Hi-5 Carryover.. Best Value: #5 Maid of Heaven 8-1 2nd Next Best: #7 High On Kitten 4-1 7th Exotics Use: #11 Sex Appeal 6-1 5th Super Add: #9 Littlegreatone 8-1 6th Hi-5 Play: #8 Refugio 6-1 10th <$75 P5 Play: 5: 3-4-6-8 6: 2-4-8-10 7: 7 8: 1-7-8 9: 5-7-11 4x4x1x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-4-8-10 7: 1-7 8: 1-7-8 9: 4-5-7-8-9-11 4x2x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 04-15-2011 at 08:26 AM. 
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#3
04-14-2011, 11:30 AM
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Good luck today Steve!!
Scratches & Changes Thursday, April 14, 2011 Race Description 1 1st Race #5--Dos Gardenias--SCRATCH 2nd Race #1A--In the Midnight--SCRATCH #2--Father's Mig--Jockey change to Christian Pilares #3C--Gentlemans Code--SCRATCH #4--Event Center--SCRATCH 3rd Race -- NO CHANGES 4th Race #1A--Rio Bonita--SCRATCH 5th Race -- NO CHANGES 6th Race #5--Wedding Diamond--SCRATCH #12--Rollin Jai Jai--SCRATCH 7th Race #1--Whatthecatdrugin--SCRATCH 8th Race -- Vinery Madison (G1) -- NO CHANGES 9th Race #7--High On Kitten--Blinkers OFF #13AE--Bizzy Caroline--SCRATCH #14AE--Lancet--SCRATCH Track Conditions, Maintenance & Weather Thursday, April 14, 2011 8:00 AM Polytrack is fast. Turf course is firm. The Gallop Master will be used after training, once with the tines set at 4 inches and again with the tines set at 3.5 inches. It will be used again after races 1, 2, 4, 5, 7, 9 at 3.5 inches. The cultivator will be run once after training at 4.5 inches. The grass height is 5.5 inches and the rail is up 15 feet from the inside rail.
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#5
04-14-2011, 11:55 AM
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While Amen Hallelujah still will most likely be scratched by the stewards before betting opens at Keeneland Race Course today, the 2-to-1 morning-line favorite for the Madison Stakes (G1) was not listed in the early scratches.
IEAH Stables President Michael Iavarone confirmed that the connections have launched legal efforts to allow Amen Hallelujah to race on Thursday, as well as Court Vision in the Maker’s Mark Mile Stakes (G1) on Friday. http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/rac...scratches.aspx
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#6
04-14-2011, 12:55 PM
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Late SCR's up and Amen Hallelujah is NOT listed as out..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
04-14-2011, 03:55 PM
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Huh.. Being against the 4-5 Dubai's Connection was the right move, but it doesn't help if you can't come up with the top pair!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
04-14-2011, 05:39 PM
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$51k P5 Carryover!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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