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#1
05-04-2011, 08:28 PM
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The Kentucky Oaks
Anyone have strong opinions on any of the fillies? Steve, what do you think after seeing them on the track?
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#3
05-04-2011, 10:13 PM
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It's a great group made into a terrific betting race with R Heat Lightening out of the picture.
Nothing has been more impressive visually than Joyful Victory lugging Larry Jones large carcass around the oval daily at a 2 min. clip. It's impossible not to think of Proud Spell while watching her train these 2 weeks. She's not as talented, but she's certainly ready for a premium effort. Is it good enough to win? The Fair Grounds Oaks fillies have impressed me daily. Daisy Devine (McKeever) and St. John's River (Leggio) are 20-1 and 30-1 respectively, and should both outrun their odds. The poor draw for Leggio's girl (#13) is a downer. McKeever's filly, bought for $4,500, needs to make up 3-5 lengths to win against 3-4 of these, so she may be best employed as an exotic lynchpin. We haven't had the luxury of seeing Zazu locally, but what I got to see today was pretty eye-opening. If she runs back to the last, she's a prime win player. And of course speaking of running back to her last, Plum Pretty will factor if the Sunland Oaks is reprized. She's looked good here and was particularly good over the wet going. Summer Soiree was a horse I came in not liking, but she has been sharp acting in the a.m. and today was nearly impossible for the girl to pull up after her gallop. Literally. It took the female exercise rider a quarter mile to stop the Team Valor missy this morning. Kathmanblu has done nothing wrong at all these 2 weeks, and kept wheeling away from the gap today as Walter Blum tried to take her home. That's an indication that the horse doesn't want to come off the track. You know who used to do that when he was at his best? Funny Cide. Bouquet Booth has been much better than her Margo barnmate Street Storm. I'm surprised in fact that Street Storm was entered here. Haven't seen much of the Bobby Flay acquisition Her Smile on track, but schooling in the paddock she showed herself to be a substantial, rangy gal. Todd Pletcher said she seems like a real nice filly so far. Speedy Smithwick's Suave Voir Faire may be outclassed on paper, but she is a big powerful looking thing that moves like she is willing to bully foes. Holy Heavens and Lilacs and Lace have been adequate, but haven't called attention to themselves the way you like a horse to in the proceedings. Best of luck! Should be a very fun Oaks!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-05-2011 at 11:48 PM.
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#4
05-04-2011, 10:31 PM
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Mclem and Steve, thanks very much for the info. We all tend to focus in on the boys. I think one of the fun bets is the Oaks/Derby double.
Best of luck Friday and Saturday. 
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#5
05-05-2011, 11:05 AM
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__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
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#6
05-05-2011, 11:46 AM
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I think I'm going around Bobby Flay's. Also playing a bartender's double for the Oaks/Derby for sure.
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#7
05-05-2011, 11:47 AM
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I can't make sense of this race at all.
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