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#1
05-15-2011, 05:04 AM
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5/15: Belmont ($99k C/O)
Challenging Saturday at Belmont, unless you're Andy Serling, as tricky horses piled up sending the P6 carryover to a second day at just under $100,000. Serling meanwhile delivered most of the day's non-favorite winners including the $20 nightcap score-o. Today may prove especially slippery given the weather uncertainty. I'm occupied at the University of Rochester graduation ceremonies with Tina's son Spencer, and doubt I'll get to many adjustments later this afternoon. Follow Andy's lead... At Churchill, things went much more our way catching the $130+ P4 twice (late SCR = fave), and other exotics including nightcap tri ($124) and super ($326). Unfortunately left the stake winner (3rd choice Little Polka Dot) off the .50 Pick Five play which paid a handsome $1,000. Hope you did well! Here's the BEL P6 skein, and let's hope the rain doesn't screw up the first half of the sequence...
BELMONT PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #1 Grace and Courage 9-2 3rd Next Best: #11 Fleeting Glance 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #10 Eve of Destruction 4-1 WON ($12.20) Super Add: #3 Winged Bandit 8-1 2nd OFF THE TURF: 10-12-3 6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Catty Madeline 3-1 2nd Best Value: #2 Risky Gamble 10-1 5th Next Best: #8 Hey Babe 5-2 WON ($5.10) Super Add: #10 Gentle Ride 5-1 6th OFF THE TURF: 1e-12-11 7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Hoopskirt 5-2 3rd Next Best: #10 Must Be Love 3-2 WON ($8.10) Exotics Use: #5 She Drives Me Wild 6-1 2nd Super Add: #11 Leonessa 6-1 5th OFF THE TURF: 3-10-11 8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super) This is a very curious, and unsettling, fire sale on Cravin Caden. P6 players will be singling, and if you're on a budget, you pretty much have to. But would you be dumbstruck if he faultered? Most Likely: #1 Cravin Caden 3-5 WON ($2.90) Best Value: #7 SCR Next Best: #4 Enable 6-1 4th Super Add: #6 McGee's Miracle 12-1 3rd 9th: One Count, 3+, 10f (DD) Interesting assembly with winter wonder Inherit the Gold facing off against '10 Belmont winner Drosselmeyer and '10 Withers hero Afleet Again going a classic route of ground. Other Mott player Birdrun is a horse that has latent talent, and capable Rodney Jenkins ships up with consistent Edgewater. Finally, Pletcher offers the regularly well-spotted Alma d'Oro. Tricky event.. Most Likely: #2 Inherit the Gold 8-5 3rd Best Value: #6 Birdrun 4-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Edgewater 5-1 6th 10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (Super) Best Value: #8 Coaltown Legend 12-1 7th Next Best: #1 Able Bellamy 7-2 8th Exotics Use: #12 Roaring Conquest 6-1 5th Super Add: #6 Common Currency 15-1 9tb <$150 P6 Play: 5: 1-10-11 (OTT: 3-10-12) 6: 2-9 (OTT: 1e-11-12) 7: 3-10 (OTT: 3-10) 8: 1 9: 2-6 10: 1-8-12 3x2x2x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$25/$50 P4 Play: 7: 3-10 (OTT: 3-10) 8: 1 9: ALL 10: 1-6-8-12 2x1x6x4 = $48 (Or $24 for .50) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-15-2011 at 06:17 PM. 
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#2
05-15-2011, 11:33 AM
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BEL SCR/CHG'S: http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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