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#1
09-07-2011, 11:17 AM
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9/7: Del Mar (Closing Day/6th-10th; Futurity)
Needed the time off but couldn't help looking at second half of the Del Mar season-ender...
DEL MAR POST-SCRATCHES 6th: 13th Pirate's Bounty-R, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Mensa Heat 6-1 WON-DH ($5.40) Next Best: #4 Carbonite 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #7 Kinsale King 8-1 9th Super Add: #9 Square Deal 8-1 8th 7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #8 Ruffled Feathers 5-1 5th Next Best: #6 Hard to Resist 3-1 WON ($8.20) Exotics Use: #7 Ela Gorrie Mou 9-2 3rd Super Add: #1 Laura Beasley 15-1 4th 8th: 64th Del Mar Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Well-matched set of juvies that all look like they could be 'any kind'. Favored undefeateds Majestic City and Creative Cause appear legit, but this kind of event is always subject to jump up efforts by an improving baby. Best Pal exiting types frequently impact this, and Baffert has won 9 of the last 15 of them. You read that right. 9 of 15.. Most Likely: #6 Drill 7-2 WON ($10.40) Next Best: #8 Creative Cause 9-5 2nd Best Value: #2 Gun Boat 8-1 4th Super Add #5 Basmati 8-1 5th 9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Courtside 5-2 2nd Next Best: #9 Galleta Monstruo 7-2 4th Best Value: #2 Future Covenant 15-1 7th Super Add: #3 Domonation 8-1 3rd 10th: Cal-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Swiss Charm 9-2 3rd Next Best: #10 Vonn Nez 6-1 7th Best Value: #4 Coconino 30-1 4th Super Add: #7 Elusive Charmer 5-1 WON ($9.80) Hi-5 Play: #2 California Heat 7-2 2nd @$50 P4 Play: 7: 6-7-8 8: 6-8 9: 2-5-9 10: 2-3-4-5-7-10 3x2x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-08-2011 at 08:06 AM. 
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#2
09-07-2011, 06:13 PM
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DMR SCR/CHG'S
Race 4 #5 Sporting Art Race 5 #11 Orbach, #2 Double D's Diamond Race 7 #11 Doctor Carina Race 9 #6 Legal Separation, #8 Maker (ARG), #10 Master Chef Race 10 #11 Geniality
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
09-07-2011, 07:36 PM
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Dead Heat! With Mensa Heat..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
09-07-2011, 08:15 PM
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1-2 on Creative Cause? Yikes..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
09-07-2011, 08:16 PM
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Quote:
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#6
09-07-2011, 08:23 PM
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G/L!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
09-07-2011, 08:41 PM
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Need to see this again..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
09-07-2011, 08:43 PM
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Quote:
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#9
09-07-2011, 08:45 PM
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Pretty good race even though.
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#10
09-07-2011, 08:48 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
09-07-2011, 08:48 PM
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It's a shame they had to Dq'd the 4, because it looked like the 8 was throwing in the towel before Bejerano had to check him out of there.
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#12
09-07-2011, 09:14 PM
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#13
09-08-2011, 08:14 AM
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Some stupid move by me leaving Chiloquin out of the 9th & P4. Damn thing paid outrageous $643.65 for the .50 level. Uggh. Caught a piece of the dead-heat opening P3 (6th-8th) which produced $91 (for $1), but $643 with $8.20 (3rd choice), $10.40 (3rd), $8.80 (2nd) and $9.80 (2nd) winners was very generous in the season-ending quad.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#14
09-08-2011, 09:26 AM
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Same here Steve, was kicking myself for that as well... The .50 P4 payout has been an enigma all meeting. I've seen it contain multiple 20.00+ horses to bring back less than 1K, and days like yesterday where the deepest you needed to go was to include Baffert in the Dmr Futurity ( an easy include 3rd choice in the win pool)
 for a mind boggling score.I've played the whole meeting as my schedule precluded me for following the Spa as much as I would have liked, and I can say I thought the product day in and day out was competitive, fair and exceedingly generous with regard to the value offered ... From a wagering perspective, it reminded me a bit of Tampa, where there were always some gems hidden along the way for those willing to dig. The .50 P5 with the 16% take out and no consol needs to be modeled at every track in the nation. The average payouts were exponential, and easily the most exciting bet on the menu hands down. All in all, had a ton of fun with it and plan to follow next year's meet just as closely.
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