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#1
10-15-2011, 07:15 AM
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10/15: Belmont (7th-10th); Keeneland (5th-10th) Santa Anita (Derby)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 7th: CLM, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD) OFF THE TURF 11-12/WON ($5.00)-8-5 8th: Knickerbocker (G3), 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Boisterous 5-2 WON ($4.10) Next Best: #2 Yummy With Butter 4-1 7th Exotics Use: #1 Mr. Ryder 7-2 3rd Super Add: #4 Boots Ahead 8-1 5th 9th: Athenia (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Unbridled Humor 6-5 2nd Next Best: #4 Thai Haku 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #6 Denomination 4-1 WON ($11.00) 10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super) OFF THE TURF 2-1a-6/Gate SCR <$50 P4 Play: 7: 11-12 8: 1-2-3-4-9 9: 4-6-7 10: 1-2-6/Gate SCR 2x5x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45 KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Cane Garden Bay 4-1 5th Best Value: #1 Quartersawn 6-1 6th Next Best: #8 Red All Over 7-2 8th Exotics Use: #5 Sculptor 6-1 2nd 6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Ballyclough 5-2 3rd Best Value: #6 Big Albert 15-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Enclosure 6-1 WON ($10.80) Super Add: #4 Taproot 5-1 6th 7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #9 St Moose 20-1 6th Next Best: #3 Congenial 9-2 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Garmento 20-1 9th Super Add: #7 First Minister 12-1 5th 8th: 1st Keeneland 75th Anniversary, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: # Norm's Passion 3-1 9th Best Value: #6 Luke of York 5-1 WON ($6.80) Next Best: #3 Italo 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Voodoo Daddy 5-2 2nd 9th: 28th QE II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super) Important late season test for soph gals, and an outstanding cast has come together for this edition including Together, Coolmore's runner up in last week's First Lady. Naysayers are lined up to bet against Winter Memories, with the Del Mar Oaks trioka led by Summer Soiree appearing to be the key. Last year, Shirreffs won this with Harmonious as she and Evening Jewel -- coming out of the DMR Oaks -- ran 1-2. The decision that is toughest is what to do with the 2 Shirreffs horses today. In the meantime, Tom Proctor sneaks Pucker Up winner Marketing Mix into the fray, and at 20-1 with Gomez, I'm very interested in taking an alternative position with her and the O'Brien run-back.. Most Likely: #2 Together 5-1 WON ($11.20) Best Value: #4 Marketing Mix 20-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Summer Soiree 2-1 6th Super Add: #3 Winter Memories 9-5 4th 10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #2 Irish Exchange 4-1 DNF Best Value: #5 Whispering Wisdom 12-1 6th Next Best: #12 Try to Catch Her 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #4 Coup 7-2 DQ'd to 10th Hi-5 Play: #7 Candy Cat Can 15-1 9th <$100 P5 Play: 6: 1-6 7: 3-7-9-10 8: 4-6 9: 2-3-4-8 10: 2-5-12 2x4x2x4x3 = 192 x .50 = $96 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-7-9-10 8: 4-6 9: 1-2-3-4-5-8 10: 2-5-12 4x2x6x3 = `144 x .50 = $72 SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 9th: Oak Tree Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (DD, Super) Outside draw makes Midnight Interlude a vulnerable underlay with plenty of viable options in fun assembly.. Most Likely: #3 Venomous 4-1 2nd Best Value: #1 Great Warrior 15-1 12th Exotics Use: #11 Cozy Kitten 6-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Lil Bit O'Fun 12-1 8th Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-15-2011 at 09:45 PM. 
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#3
10-15-2011, 11:50 AM
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With that being said, I don't have a clear cut alternative, but do like the 4 (Coup), the 12 (Try to catch her) and may even include the 7 (Candy Cat Can) as a value play on my pk 4. Good luck!
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#4
10-15-2011, 12:20 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
10-15-2011, 12:30 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
10-15-2011, 01:09 PM
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I am using Coup. I will add 3 - Lotta Heart to your list of possibilities. McPeek is not the greatest with firsters, but this one has been working rapidly enough in the am, sibs are all sprinters (3 wins in 6 fake stuff starts to boot) and Badge of Silver is above average with non dirt starters.
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#7
10-15-2011, 01:20 PM
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__________________
Game Over
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#8
10-15-2011, 01:52 PM
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Looks to me like she will fold as soon as she's looked in the eye and I am wagering on the fact that this will happen today. If he beats me, so be it, but those two races she ran are not even close to what needs to be done to win a MSW at Keeneland and I won't stomach the short price she will be.
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#9
10-15-2011, 02:03 PM
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#10
10-15-2011, 02:36 PM
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2,3,4,7,9/3,4,6/2,3,8
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#11
10-15-2011, 02:38 PM
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With Tina in Vermont for a couple hours, and don't have pp's at hand. Thought it was an impossible group. More or less gravitated to some that had run.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#12
10-15-2011, 08:02 PM
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Crazy board in the Oak Tree Mile with Midnight Interlude heavier than even expected underlay at 2-1.
Tons of price options so go whatever direction you want... Cozy Kitten at 19-1 (10 MTP) a perfect example. (Now 17-1 with 5 MTP).. I built around 3 up/down with 1-2-7-11 and also boxed up the 1-2-7-11 alone. Added some saver wins on the biggest numbers.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#13
10-16-2011, 11:17 AM
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Sweet cold exacta in the QEII Steve - Nice work
 
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#14
10-16-2011, 12:14 PM
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any word on horse and rider after that spill in the finale at keenland yesterday?
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#15
10-16-2011, 12:25 PM
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__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
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