|
|
 |
|
#1
03-03-2012, 04:24 AM
|
||||
|
||||
3/3: Aqueduct (1st-11th): Santa Anita (1st-11th; $63k C/O)
Lots of nice-priced winners Friday but took agonizing photo beat in 8th when favorite failed to finish after striking lead. Still brought home nice returns with big P3 anchored by Jammer stake winner Dontbeshy I'll Buy, a new horse on dirt. Hope everyone did well. Huge day ahead on both coasts!
AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY/ALW, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super) Fun start to terrific card with virtually everyone lined up capable of being in the exotics. Hope the weather can hold up, but rain appears certain to at least noon (Weather Underground for Ozone Park).. Best Value: #6 Mr. Vantastic 6-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Idle American 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Moonlight Song 7-2 WON ($6.00) Super Add: #8 Cap the Moment 10-1 9th 2nd: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Weak bunch so firsters (#6/#10) shouldn't have to be particularly special to score.. Best Value: #10 Wes Vegas 5-1 DNF Next Best: #1 Hook and Lateral 5-2 WON ($6.20) Exotics Use: #11 Purple Rico 3-1 2nd Super Add: #6 Cricky'sgoldeneyes 4-1 5th 3rd: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super) If Lunar Victory runs back to effort 4 weeks ago, he can't be beaten here. If he regresses off that big performance to his form from earlier in the winter -- a possibility -- it opens things up to the next half dozen.. Most Likely: #9 Lunar Victory 8-5 WON ($3.20) Best Value: #1 Cosmic King 10-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Congo 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Cribnote 8-1 3rd 4th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1e A. Dutrow entry 7-5 WON ($3.20)/3rd Next Best: #2 Socialsaul 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #5 Manteca 4-1 2nd 5th: 72nd Top Flight (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD) If there's a time to beat a horse like It's Tricky in a spot, it's first off the break. Unfortunately for that line of thinking, KMc terrific off layoffs, filly loves it wet and has won over the strip.. Most Likely: #4 It's Tricky 1-4 WON ($2.70) Best Value: #5 Love and Pride 6-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Delightful Mary 4-1 5th <$50 P4 Play: 2: 1-6-10-11 3: 9 (1-8) 4: 1-2 5: 4 Main: 4x1x2x1 = 8 x $4 = $32 Backup: 4x2x2x1 = 16 X $1 = $16 $2 Pick 4 (1-7/9-1/3/6-4) Paid $33.60 x 2 = $67.20 6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD, Super) KMc-Shadwell 2nd time starter Al Aqsa had disasterous debut in highly rated GP set. Castro a hard to fathom 15 for 25 ($3.16) for barn this winter.. Best Value: #9 Al Aqsa 6-1 4th Next Best: #5 Desert Storm 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Morgan's Guerilla 3-1 WON ($4.90) Super Add: #1 Quarto 12-1 6th 7th: CLM, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Watch for SCR's here as the AE #13 & #14 are highly possible should either or both get in.. NOTE: #13 He's a Scrooge does draw in.. Most Likely: #5 Galaxy Kat 3-1 WON ($4.50) Next Best: #3 Quarry of Gold 5-1 6th Best Value: #8 Alejandro 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #13 He's a Scrooge 5-1 4th Super Add: #1 Heart of the Derby 10-1 7th 8th: NY-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) NOTE: #13 Pegasus Diamond & #14 Caught by You draw in.. Most Likely: #6 Sing Dixie Sing 5-2 WON ($5.90) Next Best: #9 Satin Sheets 7-2 7th Exotics Use: #14 SCR Super Add: #2 Flea Flicker 3-1 2nd 9th: 37th Tom Fool H. (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Caleb's Posse returns and runs smack into serious looking KMc late bloomer Emcee. Von Hemel can certainly have him ready, but the pace may not be so hot that it provides him best chance for closing kick.. Most Likely: #4 Emcee 5-2 3rd Best Value: #2 Royal Currier 10-1 5th Next Best: #6 Caleb's Posse 9-5 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Calibrachoa 2-1 WON ($9.40) 10th: 60th Gotham (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) $400k brings Derby Trail hopefuls out of the woodwork, all chasing 2yo Champion Hansen. He's the likely winner, but if he faulters, this gets ripped wide open. Lots of intriguing price options including pair of Mid-Atlantic players from savvy Grove and Hamilton.. Most Likely: #12 Hansen 6-5 WON ($3.60) Best Value: #11 Done Talking 20-1 10th Next Best: #4 Pretension 20-1 5th Exotics Use: #13 Tiger Walk 12-1 4th Super Add: #8 Raconteur 15-1 7th 11th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 6f (Super) NOTE: #13 Pistols at Dawn & #14 Dahlgren draw in.. Best Value: #3 Mitigation 5-1 5th Next Best: #5 Digger Karakorum 6-1 WON ($8.20) Exotics Use: #13 Pistols at Dawn 5-2 4th Super Add: #10 Swinging at Siro's 7-2 3rd <$50 P4 Play: 8: 6-9-14 9: 4 10: 4-7-8-9-10-11-12-13 11: 3-5-10-13 3x1x8x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 SANTA ANITA PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM, 4+, 5.5f (P5, P3, Place Pick All, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Pacific Avenue 3-1 7th Next Best: #6 Baraja de Oro 5-2 WON ($5.80) Exotics Use: #5 Rino U 7-2 3rd Super Add: #3 Jack Reacher 7-2 4th 2nd: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Stirred Up 9-5 WON ($8.60) Next Best: #3 Holy Candy 6-5 2nd Best Value: #1 Animaux Del Viento 20-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Cat's Enough 4-1 7th 3rd: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) What can you say about 10yo Crossing the Line? Beat me last time and hard to argue with 4 weeks later.. Most Likely: #4 Crossing the Line 2-1 Next Best: #5 Mr. Bossy Pants 5-2 WON Exotics Use: #3 Muny 7-2 Super Add: #7 Sky Cape 9-2 4th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Mile High Magic 9-5 WON ($3.60) Best Value: #3 Maverick's Gun 6-1 8th Next Best: #7 Stratify 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Eaton Hall 5-2 4th 5th: OC/N1X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #7 Graeme Crackerjack 5-1 2nd Next Best: #10 Vet SCR Exotics Use: #5 Joy Boy 8-1 WON ($30.80) Super Add: #2 Ultimate Decision 4-1 6th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-3 3: 4-5 4: 3-6-7 5: 2-5-7-10/SCR 3x2x3x4 = $72 ($36 for .50) $1 Pick 4 (2-ALL-6-5) Paid $151.20 x 2 = $302.40 <$50 P5 Play: 1: 1-5-6 2: 2-3 3: 4-5 4: 3-6-7 5: 7-10/SCR 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) $63k P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #6 Lobshot 9-2 4th Best Value: #5 Lake Maracaibo 15-1 2nd Next Best: #10 Swingaway 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Special Charm 6-1 6th 7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #11 Hooray for Hollywood 4-1 WON ($5.60) Next Best: #2 Da Ruler 5-2 8th Exotics Use: #7 Via Verde 6-1 11th Super Add: #6 Scofield Barracks 8-1 3rd 8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Ten Devils 5-1 WON ($10.80) Next Best: #10 Twin Six 7-2 7th Exotics Use: #4 Lucky Rave 6-1 2nd Super Add: #2 Cat Talk 6-1 4th 9th: 30th Las Virgenes (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super) Excellent cast of soph gals on their way to the SA Oaks, and Princess Arabella, Mamma Kimbo and more not even in this. So many people seem to be lining up behind Eden's Moon that you have to look elsewhere a bit and closer Killer Graces should get her opportunity to run them down.. Best Value: #4 Killer Graces 5-1 7th Next Best: #7 Reneesgotzip 8-5 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Eden's Moon 9-5 WON ($7.00) Super Add: #8 Open Water 20-1 3rd 10th: 12th Kilroe Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD, Super) Would love to be able to single Mr. Commons in multis as he may be as good as he needs to be, but there are too many rock solid lawn milers here to high wire it through this leg. Imposing, but Jeranimo, Compari, Willyconker and even Jimmy Simms offer value.. Most Likely: #1 Mr. Commons 4-5 2nd Next Best: #5 Jeranimo 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #4 Compari 4-1 3rd Super Add: #3 Willyconker 8-1 WON ($23.20) 11th: 75th Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+, 10f (Super, Super Hi-5) What this famed event lacks in premium quality handicap division runners is more than offset by sheer quantity of professional racehorses. Like Eden's Moon in the Las Virgenes, Ron the Greek is such a 'now' horse, that it makes you nervous.. Best Value: #3 Ron the Greek 6-1 WON ($9.20) Next Best: #2 Ultimate Eagle 5-2 10th Exotics Use: #10 Norvsky 6-1 5th Super Add: #1 Uh Oh Bango 6-1 3rd Hi-5 Play: #7 Fiddlers Afleet 50-1 9th <$200 P6 Play: 6: 5-6-9-10 7: 2-11 8: 3 9: 4-5-7 10: 1-5 11: 2-3 4x2x1x3x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 2-3-4-10 9: 4-5-7 10: 1-3-4-5 11: 2-3-10 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (3-5-3-3) Paid $1,003.80 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 03-04-2012 at 03:33 PM. 
|
|
#4
03-03-2012, 09:30 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Mr Chicago has Gulfstream today. Great handicapper
|
|
#5
03-03-2012, 10:11 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
AQU SCR/CHG'S
NOTE: Some SCR's on the card that allow a number of intriguing draw-ins to go in the 7th, 8th & 11th...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#10
03-03-2012, 07:55 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Great job Steve
|
|
#14
03-03-2012, 08:10 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#15
03-03-2012, 08:17 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Great job again, big pot to shoot at tommorrow at SA.
|
|
#16
03-03-2012, 09:30 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Great job as always Steve. Keep up the winning eye.
|
|
#18
03-03-2012, 10:18 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Thx everybody! Still in car on way back from AQU. Very fun day and evening. Hope all got something good today.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
 |
| Thread Tools | |
| Display Modes | |
|
|
Linear Mode
