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#1
07-25-2013, 08:20 AM
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7/25: Saratoga (Day 6-Quick Call)
Intense afternoon and evening of action Wednesday as the 2 carryover sequences provided the requisite intrigue. In NY, the series of plausible but tricky to knit winners provided a return of nearly $61k while the Cali skein was more mundane and brought back $15,677. I was awful negotiating the Saratoga sextet, misinterpreting pace scenarios and landing on wrong horses left and right.
The Del Mar action helped recoup some of my Spa losses, particularly hooking the 3rd when 40-1 Oso Smart photoed for show and a $250 tri ($1). As discussed with Brad Free, the $8,000 claiming 4th and MCLM 5th were the quirky races to hurdle in the DMR six and 3rd choices Jim's No Preacher ($14.00) and Tom Kha ($11.80) effectively buried rivals. Big thanks are due Free who gave ATR listeners a roadmap to all 6 winners, especially the Mandella runners Station House and Indy Point. Hope everyone enjoyed the day and did OK! It's Thursday at the Spa and the NSA takes the stage with the first jump race of the year, the Jonathon Kiser.. SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: J. Kiser Novce S., 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1e Clorevia entry 7-2 3rd/5th Next Best: #2 Martini Bomber 3-1 WON ($7.30) Best Value: #8 Constant Contact 8-1 7th Exotics Use: #7 Sulwaan 10-1 6th 2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Corfu 3-5 WON ($3.00) Best Value: #6 Pure Sensation 12-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Aarons Orient 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 Crescent 10-1 3rd 3rd: MCLM/$75k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD) Will cover #1 Chase My Tail in the multis.. Best Value: #2 Thundering Gale 4-1 6th Next Best: #4 She's Coal Fired 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #7 Little Miss Brown 5-1 4th Super Add: #1 Chase My Tail 3-1 WON ($9.60) 4th: Lottsa Talc-NY, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Willet 2-1 2nd Best Value: #4 Jitney 15-1 5th Next Best: #1 Beautiful But Blue 7-2 DNF-Eased 5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Our Amazing Rose 3-5 WON ($2.90) Best Value: #5 Zip On 10-1 7th Next Best: #4 Jerry Love 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #7 Feels So Right 8-1 3rd <$50 P4 Play: 2: 1 (6) 3: 1-2-4-7 4: 5 (1-3-4) 5: 6 (5) 1x4x1x1 = 4 x $4 = $16 2x4x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32 6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD) Very nice group and a real chess match.. Most Likely: #8 Concise 4-1 2nd Best Value: #1 Sweet Shirley Mae 8-1 9th Next Best: #5 White Rose 5-2 WON ($7.90) Exotics Use: #2 Precarious 3-1 6th 7th: MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Pan Dulce 5-2 3rd Best Value: #3 Viva Allegiance 8-1 WON ($14.60) Next Best: #9 It's Your Dime 6-1 7th Exotics Use: #5 Coralita 9-2 2nd 8th: Quick Call, 3yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Intriguing group. Will be interesting to see what the board does with these.. Best Value: #4 Central Banker 8-1 WON ($10.40) Next Best: #8 The Brothers War 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Strike the Note 8-1 6th Super Add: #3 No Distinction 7-2 2nd 9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (DD) Most Likely: #3 Holiday's Jewel 7-2 WON ($6.80) Best Value: #8 Zencat 12-1 5th Next Best: #10 Beverage Queen 5-2 7th Exotics Use: #4 Casual Elegance 4-1 9th 10th: OC/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T Best Value: #3 Decisive Move 6-1 WON ($8.00) Next Best: #8 Saturdayatbernies 4-1 8th Exotics Use: #5 Shadow Rock 7-2 3rd Super Add: #9 Channel Marker 3-1 2nd <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-8 8: 3-4-7-8 9: 3-8-10 10: 2-3-5-8-9 2x4x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60 $0.50 Pick 4 (3/4/3,11,12/3) Paid $289.00 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-25-2013 at 06:04 PM. 
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#2
07-25-2013, 11:09 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
07-25-2013, 06:08 PM
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Nice job, Steve. In retrospect, $14.60 was enormous value on a Clement/Lezcano turf-bred firster in a bottom level maiden claimer. Another example of why deeming horses "dead on the board" (which that horse appeared to be) can make handicappers outsmart themselves sometimes.
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#6
07-25-2013, 06:18 PM
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Congrats Steve on hitting the Pick 6 ~!!!!!
That is something to have the winners of each race on top except in Race 6 ... but second choice was right there ..... Race 5,6,7: $1.00 Pick-3 ~ 6/5/3 = $45.25 Race 6,7,8: $1.00 Pick-3 5/3/4 = $281.50 Race 7,8,9: $1.00 Pick-3 3/4/3 = $127.75 Race 8,9,10: $1.00 Pick-3 4/3/3 = $91.00 $0.50 Pick-4 ~ 3/4/3,11,12/3 (4 of 4) = $289.00 $2.00 Pick-6 ~ 6/5,10/3/4/3,11,12/3 (6 of 6) = $4234.00 $2.00 Pick-6 ~ 6/5,10/3/4/3,11,12/3 (5 of 6) = $71.00
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#7
07-25-2013, 06:19 PM
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Nice Job Steve, you were all over it today.
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#9
07-25-2013, 09:03 PM
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Thanks all.. Hope everyone had a good day!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
07-25-2013, 09:47 PM
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Strong Steve! 3 tri's out of 4 to close the day.
Keep it rollin'!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#12
07-26-2013, 06:51 AM
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Gus, Mike..
THX! Mike.. Not sure you went back and saw it but your effort in the SAR P6 Contest was outstanding.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#13
07-26-2013, 09:24 AM
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Quote:
 Lukas' charge was HUMMIN' in the finale too. Almost!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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