Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 07-31-2013, 06:39 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 7/31: Saratoga (Day 11-John's Call); Del Mar ($261k C/O)

Monday double carryover at Saratoga came within a jump of a $1.4MM triple honeypot as Lostritto's 26-1 You Take the Cake tried to stun the nightcap. The sequence paid a healthy $53k with the glaring single opportunities of Honorable Miss heroine Damce to Bristol and Revenue coming through for backers. Earlier, Irad Ortiz' 2nd win DQ in 72 hours cleaned out a large number of tickets with Domino's 15-2 Jade Run moving up. Hyman Roth and Bizarroworld started the sextet and were hardly shocking in the circle, but neither seemed better than 3rd, 4th or 5th in the pecking order of their respective contests and made ticket construction paramount. The fact that the Twin Players Players Pool's $50k investment was knocked out after 3 races tells you how treacherous the endeavor turned out to be despite the two legs where you could narrow.

The Honorable Miss deserves special mention in Monday's wake as Ollie Figgins remarkably game Dance to Bristol willed herself to the victory under Xavier Perez. The $42k Timonium 2yo purchase has been brilliantly handled by Figgins and offers inspiration to smaller outfits in the game. Del Mar starts the 3rd leg of the summer excursion with a juicy $261k carryover and it's Whitney-Vanderbilt-Sales Week at the Spa..


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Jacobson fave Sovereign Default has pace edge on front end..

Most Likely: #4 Sovereign Default 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Ea 5-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Sinorice 5-1 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Charlie's Quest 3-1 6th


2nd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

2nd out favorites just look better than those that have had chances..

Most Likely: #2 Hot Stones 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #4 Gloria Victoria 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Carla Sweetrevenge 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Rock N Cozy 6-1 4th


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Just 7 line up but plenty tricky. Those with 4-6 starts, #'s 2-3-4-5, all look like the same filly. Stall's Rare Penny and Mott's Winning Scoop get on lawn for the first time and merit looks..

Best Value: #7 Rare Penny 4-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Caxambas Pass 3-1 WON ($11.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Neolexia 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Doctor Vickie Lynn 5-1 5th


4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Team Klaravich running on all cylinders no matter which of their trainers send and C. Brown has 8-5 Thescreenisred as horse to beat here. Barrel of Love's May/June pair give him a big chance here at what could be a square number..

Most Likely: #2 Thescreenisred 8-5 4th
Next Best: #5 Barrel of Love 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Karakorum Elektra 5-1 WON ($25.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Margaret Lillian 6-1 8th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Russell Cash comes up to Spa with NY bred Old Harbor that likely did exactly what he hoped getting experience while finishing 2nd at Monmouth for $40k in open company. Now runs v. own kind for $70k. Former Linda Rice assistant Abby Adsit has First Defense baby girl that has string of sharp morning efforts..

Most Likely: #7 Old Harbor 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #5 Lavender Road 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Honeychild 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Molly Jordan 8-1 5th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-4
3: 3-4-7
4: 1-2-5-6
5: 2-5-6-7

2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/3/6/7) Paid $226.00


6th: 10th John's Call, 3+, 13f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Tom Voss (Royal Bench) trained the great John's Call, tries to have a runner for this annually and has won it 2 of last 3 years. Being an import (IRE), Royal Bench fits another profile of the race (4 of 10 winners foreign bred). Mott/Alvarado return with Harrods Creek, the defending winner. In the 10 runnings of this race, 10 different jocks have been winners..

Best Value: #8 Royal Bench 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Hyper 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #10 Harrods Creek 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Address Unknown 8-1 9th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Quilt is a full sister of Bind; Dancing House dropped by the outstanding Tout Charmant..

Best Value: #5 Reversiontothemean 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 (POE) Dancing House 3-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Ocean Boulevard 7-2 4th
Super Add: #9 (AE) Malibu Angel SCR


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Rail filly dangerous alone on lead with savvy, under-appreciated lawn pilot..

Best Value: #1 Mariel N Kathy 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Orion Moon 2-1 WON ($6.70)
Exotics Use: #6 Valiant Girl 7-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Viva Rafaela 5-2 4th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (DD)

Sister Slate and Finesse are the pace players, Assured gets first run and Galloping Giraffe saves the ground for her late run..

Best Value: #1 Galloping Giraffe 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Assured 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Sister Slate 7-2 WON ($11.20)
Super Add: #5 Finesse 5-1 7th


10th: CLM, D&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #7 Wellspring Legacy 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Saropia 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Imanindianoutlaw 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Chelsea Road 3-1 WON ($6.30)


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-6
8: 1-2-3-6
9: 1-4-5-8
10: 7-10

3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$261k C/O starts here..

Best Value: #4 Langfuhr's Lightening 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Spring Up 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Magnum Force 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Solid South 7-2 2nd


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Hurry Home Clover 9-2 4th
Next Best: #10 Jay's Firetruck 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Hy Danger 12-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Lite That Baby Up 9-2 2nd


5th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 8.5F-t (p4, p3, dd)

Most Likely: #4 Volkonsky 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Wings of Mojave 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Red Globe 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Hotradamus 8-1 WON ($12.80)


6th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Indian Classic 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Morning Fog 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Bench Points 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Relentless Heat 5-1 5th


7th: Cal-Graduation, 2yo, 5.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Solid Wager 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Betting McCann Can 8-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Willie B Awesome 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Gangnam Guy 9-2 3rd


8th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Athina Lee 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #2 Party Bus 5-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Margies Rule 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Tap Tap Ur It 8-1 10th
Super/Hi-5: #12 Flaxen Maiden 5-1 2nd


<$100 P6 Play:

3: 4-5-7
4: 2-10
5: 4
6: 3
7: 1-2-3-9
8: 2-8

3x2x1x1x4x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 4-10
6: 3-8-10
7: 1-2-3-6-9
8: 2-5-6-8-12

2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 07-31-2013 at 09:46 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 07-31-2013, 11:32 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

SAR SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 07-31-2013, 06:11 PM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 18,884
Default

Nice work at the Spa Steve!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 07-31-2013, 06:14 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Nice work today, Steve!

Saropia getting caught was a dagger for me today.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 07-31-2013, 08:05 PM
Bogey's Avatar
Bogey Bogey is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: South Florida
Posts: 5,474
Default

Steve, Well played at Saratoga. Lots of RED
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 07-31-2013, 08:33 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
Nice work at the Spa Steve!
Quote:
Originally Posted by pointman View Post
Nice work today, Steve!

Saropia getting caught was a dagger for me today.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
Steve, Well played at Saratoga. Lots of RED
Billy, Nick, Gus...

Thanks guys. Said on air this morning it felt like a sequence with straightforward races and I'm glad I didn't try to get overly clever.

Hope everyone did well!

Del Mar, on the other hand, has been maniacal.. Only the favorite (8) covered in the nightcap with 3 winners of $352,891. Otherwise, $1,000,000+ Thursday...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:42 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.