8/6: Saratoga ($36k C/O; John's Call)

Kasept · #1 08-06-2014, 08:45 AM

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: ALW, 4+, 16.5f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Presence of Lillehammer SCR'D and Mr. Starr's Report would figure to assure honest pace for steady stalker Manacor; Witor won't be 20-1 with Tod Wyatt's '14 record an attraction; Sheppard (All the Way Jose) admitted his layoff hoppers have been a start behind right now, but young gelding here broke through at Parx 6 weeks ago; Albany Road a nibbler who may float up in price..

Most Likely: #3 Manacor 5-2 WON ($8.70)
Best Value: #6 Witor 20-1 5th
Next Best: #5 All the Way Jose 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Albany Road 10-1 3rd

2nd: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Hard to make group with some being obviously dangled for sale. 3-5 Moonluck has been poor in mornings preparing for return while Boss Daddy, from a very unsound female family, has been good moving towards debut. Watch board for clues..

Best Value: #4 Boss Daddy 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Yankee Dime SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Moonluck 3-5 WON ($3.50)
Super Add: #3 Lyrical Miracle 15-1 3rd

3rd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Well-matched set of honest $25k claimers and there's no reason to wholly swallow the faves. Both inside runners are big numbers and both appear to be circling back towards good efforts. Most Happy Fella or Dynamical look like the ones potentially able to control the pace up front..

Best Value: #2 Most Happy Fella 15-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Dynamical 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Matt and Jesse 20-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Sacred Ground 5-1 4th

4th: MCLM/$75k, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Dinner Time 3-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Radamel 5th
Next Best: #7 Jet Alley 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Dangerous Cowboy 8-1 3rd

5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$36k C/O starts here..

To get a price involved with faves (4-5-11), you're obliged to project Spun Silky running her A race or Kiama improving 2-3 lengths. Spun Silky is the more attractive number. Derek Ryan seems to struggle crossing from Jersey into NY, but Aquinnah is tactical and gets the weight break with Tiny Taylor..

Most Likely: #5 Aquinnah 7-2 6th
Next Best: #11 Subtle 5-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Spun Silky 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Quay 4-1 WON ($8.40)

6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Some notable pedigrees among these Empire breds including Razia Sultana (Half to Samraat); She's Marvy (Half to Flea Flicker); Hard to Stay Notgo (Halt to Monday NYSS winner Mark My Way). Top pair should be enough to end P5..

Most Likely: #1 Razia Sultana 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Zo Zo 3-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Sweetpollypurebrd 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Building Permit 4-1 4th

P5/P4 Grid:

2: 4 (A), 5-7 (B), 3 (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 5-6-7 (C)
4: 2-6 (A), 3-7 (B), 4 (C)
5: 5 (A), 11 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)

7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Precarious 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Kitten's Queen 4-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Lawn Party 2-1 5th
Super Add: #7 More Than Less 8-1 6th

8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Excellent group with plenty of options. Note Napravnik reunited with Motion's 8-1 Helm who may be better now than when he made solid lawn debut at KEE that was career best effort at the time. Gets first run on what may be dueling leaders..

Best Value: #9 Helm 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Middleburg 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Silver Freak 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Super Add: #4 Joes Blazing Aaron 8-1 9th

9th: John's Call-R, 3+, 13f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Winning Cause 2-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Manchurian High 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Tricky Hat 5-1 WON ($9.10)

10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #2 Sole Train 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Copper Core 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Island Therapy 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #10 Full Pads 8-1 7th

P6 Grid:

5: 5 (A), 11 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
7: 1-11 (A), 3 (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 9 (A), 1 (B), 2-4-6 (C)
9: 8 (A), - (B), 1-2-7 (C)
10: 2-9 (A), 3 (B), 10 (C)

P4 Grid:

7: 1-11 (A), 3 (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 1-9 (A), 2-4 (B), 5-6 (C)
9: 8 (A), 7 (B), 1 (C)
10: 2-9 (A), 3 (B), 10 (C)

Good luck!
Steve