11/22: Delta Jackpot Card Races 2-9

[dylbert]

2nd: Sam's Town, $75K, 3YO, 7f

Most Likely: #6 General Ike 4th
Next Best: #2 Notionofmine 6th
Best Value: #4 D'cajun Cat WIN $24.80
Exotics Add: #5 Kody With a K 3rd


3rd: Louisiana Legacy, $150K, 2YO, La-bred, 1m

Most Likely: #1 Let Us Be Glad 7th & last
Next Best: #2 Contangold 5th
Best Value: #3 Four Leaf Chief
WIN $5.80

4th: Louisiana Jewel, $150K, 2YO F, La-bred, 1m

Best Value: #7 Composed SCR
Most Likely: #5 Wind Chill Factor WIN $4.60
Next Best: #9 Fantasy Queen 5th
Exotics Add: #6 Casual Class 2nd


5th: Treasure Chest, $200K, 3+, 1m

Most Likely: #6 YAHILWA WIN $4.20
Best Value: #4 Spring in the Air 4th
Next Best: #3 Eden Prairie 3rd
Exotics Add: #1 Lady Haddassah 5th


6th: Delta Downs Princess, $400K, 2YO F, 1m

Best Value: #4 Miss Mandate 8th
Most Likely: #10 Majestic Presence 3rd
Next Best: #9 Sharla Rae 9th
Exotics Add: #3 Temper Mint Patty 5th


7th: Delta Downs Jackpot, $1 Million, 2YO, 1-1/16m

Best Value: #10 Ocho Ocho Ocho WIN $7.20
Most Likely: #3 Mr. Z 2nd
Next Best: #7 Red Button 7th
Exotics Add: #8 Wake Up Nick 6th


8th: Delta Mile, $250K, 3+. 1m
Best Value: #7 Mystery Train (ARG) SCR
Most Likely: #1 Code West SCR
Next Best: #4 Sunbean WIN $3.80
Exotics Add: #2 Decisive Moment 4th


9th: Orleans, $75K, 3YO, 7f
Most Likely: #1 Bridaria 2nd
Next Best: #6 Silent Lust 7th
Best Value: #2 Gumara 5th
Exotics Add: #5 Adrianne G 4th


Been member/participant here for years. One of the few times that I attempt public display of selections. This is one of my favorite days of racing each year as I live about 2-1/2 hours away. Attending my 8th Jackpot this afternoon.

Rain is expected toward end of card. So, Jackpot should remain dry.

As former Pace Figures user, I use TimeformUS figures as significant factor in my handicapping. My strongest (and possibly wrongest) opinion is the Race 6 Delta Princess is chaos race. Half of this field appears to be 'need to lead' type fillies. I like chances of Miss Mandate and cast of closers.

Hope everyone does well today!

Twitter folks can follow using #DDJ2014

[gamblin4ever]

Great job on handicapping the stakes, especially R2 w/ #4 D'cajun Cat.

[dylbert]

Originally Posted by gamblin4ever

Great job on handicapping the stakes, especially R2 w/ #4 D'cajun Cat.

Thanks. Had great time there yesterday. We departed after Jackpot so we missed rain.

Yes, D'cajun Cat with G-Money (Gerald Melancon) aboard was nice P3 kickoff. As betting card, it was less than stellar one. Racing was super! Most winners stalked to backstretch, started move in mid-backstretch, and struck in or exiting final turn.

Ocho Ocho Ocho and Mr. Z were clearly best in Jackpot. Take Charge Brandi proved that BC Juv Fillies wasn't fluke. Very impressive how she repelled Vivian Da Bling and controlled entire race. Yahilwa won Treasure Chest with sweeping move from 3 lengths behind to over 2 lengths clear in 660 ft stretch. Sunbean, the hometown hero, didn't disappoint his local following. Too bad scratches may derail Delta Mile getting Grade 3 next season.

Take Charge Brandi and Ocho Ocho Ocho should mature and run well as 3YOs. Already looking forward to 2015 return to Vinton.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by dylbert

Thanks. Had great time there yesterday. We departed after Jackpot so we missed rain.

Yes, D'cajun Cat with G-Money (Gerald Melancon) aboard was nice P3 kickoff. As betting card, it was less than stellar one. Racing was super! Most winners stalked to backstretch, started move in mid-backstretch, and struck in or exiting final turn.

Ocho Ocho Ocho and Mr. Z were clearly best in Jackpot. Take Charge Brandi proved that BC Juv Fillies wasn't fluke. Very impressive how she repelled Vivian Da Bling and controlled entire race. Yahilwa won Treasure Chest with sweeping move from 3 lengths behind to over 2 lengths clear in 660 ft stretch. Sunbean, the hometown hero, didn't disappoint his local following. Too bad scratches may derail Delta Mile getting Grade 3 next season.

Take Charge Brandi and Ocho Ocho Ocho should mature and run well as 3YOs. Already looking forward to 2015 return to Vinton.

I thought that Far Right's effort, though running 3rd, was arguably on par if not the best horse in the race. That said, I'm not convinced that the race was particularly strong, nor whether he has the class to move forward off that effort and make any noise on the 3yo scene, but was impressed with the gutty run he put in.
To that end, I thought Lanerie did the horse an astonishing disservice by over-reacting when OOO came over in the turn and felt the dismissal of the objection + inquiry was the correct call.

Very nice call on D'cajun Cat by the way -