WKND: BEL/KEE/WO, etc.

[Kasept]

Very good day at both BEL and KEE Friday as we continue to get a feel for the all-weather surface at Lexington. The BEL P6 carryover was well within reach with 1 top choice, 3 2nd choices and 2 3rd choices winning. Five exactas and two triples were de;ivered among the wet results at Elmont. Keeneland remains a tricky read, and though we only hit three of the six in our $216 play, the 7th race straight triple, 8th race super box and Valley View exacta were all cashed. Finally, on "At the Races and Beyond" with Gus Alonso, we helped nab the OK Derby with our suggestion ("Include the #3 and the #9 as your price plays") and his top picks. The result was the $11,000 superfecta... Hope everyone did well...

Saturday, the focus is on NY's state bred Showcase Day, and we also look at a few of the other stakes around the country as racing winds down at Belmont, Keeneland and Santa Anita with Aqueduct, Churchill and Hollywood opening over the next 10 days...


WOODBINE -- SUNDAY STAKES...


5th: E.P. Taylor (Gr. I), $1,000,000, F&M-3+, 10f-T (Superfecta)

1. #5 Red Bloom 2-1: Sir Michael adds Lasix; Kept top Euro company..
2. #9 Latice 10-1: Sheppard miss 2nd in this '05; Her Breeders' Cup?
A. #1 Ambitious Cat 8-1: Third here last year; 2nd off break..
B. #7 Angara 6-1: Mott-Jara; Expect big try 2nd of layoff..

LONGSHOT/SUPER +: #6 Naissance Royale 20-1: Clement-Gomez would prefer it less than firm..


7th: Canadian Intl (Gr. II), $2,000,000, 3+, 12f-T (Superfecta)

1. #2 Kastoria 9-2: Aga Khan homebred mare adds Lasix..
2. #7 Go Deputy 5-2: Pletcher 6yo has had stellar campaign; His BC..
A. #6 Meteor Storm 12-1: 2nd here '05; Prepped nice in Kelso 4th..
B. #3 Blue Monday 6-1: Within 2L of David Junior in Grp I Eclipse..

LONGSHOT/SUPER +: #9 The Last Drop 20-1: Hills' 3yo gives experience but gets weight; Split Sixties Icon-Red Rocks in Grp I (IRE) St. Leger last..


9th: Nearctic (Gr. 2), $500,000, 3yo, 6f-T (Superfecta)

1. #3 Atticus Kristy 8-1: Centaur homebred can stalk or go; Value play..
2. #1 Moss Vale: Multiple Group winner drops 16# from FR Grp I third..
A. #7 Fast Parade 4-1: Overachiever 6/4-2-0 in sprints..
B. #13 Around the Cape 10-1: Mott Live Oak buy must step up; 4-1-1 last 7..

LONGSHOT/SUPER +: #9 Terrific Challenge 12-1: Trainer Hough owns this winner of three straight..



SELECTIONS/RESULTS -- Belmont Park, 10/21 (R3-10)


3rd: Sleepy Hollow, $100,000, 2yo, 1m (P3)

1. #4 Bad Boy Rising 9-5: Derby Trailer Lansdon Robbins' 3/1-2-0 Freud colt..
2. #2 Solid Strike 8-1: Pace scenario gives Contessa runner shot at price.. 2nd
3. #6 Chief's Lake 8-5: ML fave from Blasi has stepped up last pair.. WON

LONGSHOT NOTE: #1 Good Prospect (15-1) gets Johnny V. who rode Chief's Lake last time.. Hmmm... 3rd

EX BX: $7.80 (-$4.20)
TRI BX: $39.75 (+$15.75)

RUNNING: +$11.55


4th: Maid of the Mist, $100,000, 2yo fillies, 1m (P3)

1. #5 Win With a Wink 5-2: $400k Live Oak buy 3 for 3, but speed abounds here..
2. #1 Queen of Green 6-1: $250k Distorted Humor miss super in debut.. SCRATCHED
A. #4 My Kitty 15-1: Contessa's Ramsey-bred bay one of two with wins at trip.. 2nd
B. #3 Grand Merger 15-1: ..and Kimmel's Broman-bred is the other.. WON

EX BX: $101.00 (+$95.00 )
TRI BX: (-$6.00)

RUNNING: +$100.55


5th: Hudson, $125,000, 3+, 6f (P3, P6)

1. #3 Sharp Humor 6-5: Classy Romans' Swale winner back after surgery; Ready.. 2nd
2. #2 Gold and Roses 2-1: Professional Bush gelding never fails to fire.. WON
A. #1 Papua 5-1: 7yo from Reynolds has back class.. 3rd
B. #6 Introspect 8-1: Turner layoff candidate loves BEL, brings bullets.. 4th

EX BX: $6.40 (-$5.60)
TRI BX: $16.10 (-$7.90)

RUNNING: $87.05


6th: Ticonderoga, $150,000, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD, P3, Grand Slam)

1. #1a (poe) Rahy's Appeal 5-1: Bush bay went toe to toe in Gr. II Eatontown.. 3rd
2. #7 Kate Winslet 8-1: Off since April, but Gr. II placed..
A. #9 Nurse Culkin 12-1: Happy to take price on Johnny V.-Penna..
B. #5 Finlandia 7-2: Will be overbet but could be isolated on lead.. WON

LONGSHOT NOTE: #11 Half Heaven (15-1) from Contessa absolutely loves the turf soft..

EX BX (-$20.00)
TRI BX: (-$60.00)

RUNNING: $7.05


7th: Iroquois, $125,000, F&M-3+, 7f (Superfecta, P4)

1. #9 No Reason 6-1: Blasi NY Oaks (FL) winner should get trip.. WON
2. #10 Her Royal Nibs 3-1: Romans' mare should get edge on rival to her right.. 4th
A. #13 Gold Like U 4-1: Dutrow mare an underlay, but should be in the mix..
B. #5 Carlow 15-1: Filly with upside cashes checks in these events.. 3rd

EX BX: (-$12.00)
TRI BX: (-$24.00)

RUNNING: -$29.05


8th: Mohawk, $150,000, 3+, 9f-IT (P3)

1. #1 Key Event 15-1: Our guy Vaz comes with overlaid Royal Anthem bay..
2. #7 Retribution 4-1: Versatile Hertler gelding aced the Cole; Likes it soft..
A. #3 Foreverness 5-1: Might be best but won't like it less than firm..
B. #2 Certifiably Crazy 5-2: Rarely missfires.. WON

LONGHSHOT NOTE: #10 Classic Fran (12-1): Penna 4yo was on roll before break; Steady drills for this.. 2nd

EX BX: $23.70 ($3.70)
TRI BX: (-$60.00)

RUNNING: (-$85.35)



9th: Empire Classic, $250,000, 3+, 9f (Superfecta, DD)

1. #4 Naughty New Yorker 4-1: In career form and gets pace he likes..
2. #8 Carminooch 12-1: Working like a metronome; Will fire shot.. 2nd
A. #7 West Virginia 5-2: Not off board in NY in a year..3rd
B. #9 Funny Cide 7-2: Circling up to good effort, but this is a good group.. 4th

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #1 Organizer (10-1) is eligible to run big and get lost in the wagering.. WON

EX BX: $123 ($103)
TRI BX: $514.50 ($444.50)
SUPER BOX: $2,184 (n/a)

RUNNING: $462.15


10th: Terravigne, $65,000, 3yo fillikes, 8.5f-T (Superfecta)

1. #8 Homerette 5-1: Kelly-Fox Ridge miss a consistant player.. 2nd
2. #5 Now More Than Ever 8-1: Kimmel rolling and filly perfect at BEL..
A. #10 Artistic Express 9-2: Versatile red from Hernandez improving with distance..
B. #1 Rewrite 3-1: Underlaid given need to come from far back.. 4th

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: Sub #7 Whateverwillbwillb 6-1 3rd

EX BX: (-$20.00)
TRI BX: (-$60.00)

RUNNING: $382.15



Keeneland

9th: Raven Run (Gr. II), $300,000, 3yo fillies, 7f (.10 Superfecta)

1. #7 Sabatini 12-1
2. #4 Windy 3-1 4th
A. #5 Vestry Lady 15-1 2nd
B. #10 Morner 8-1

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #13 Chandelle No. Five 20-1

EX: (-$20.00)
TRI: (-$60.00)

RUNNING: $382.15



Laurel

10th: Safely Kept (Gr. III), $200,000, 3yo fillies, 6f

1. #1 Cajun Mistress 9-2
2. #2 Wildcat Bettie B 8-5 2nd
A. #3 Coli Bear 12-1
B. #8 Wild Gams 9-2 WON

EX BX: $16.00 ($4.00)
TRI BX: (-$24.00)

RUNNING: $362.15


Santa Anita

9th: Burke H. (Gr. III), $100,000, 3+, 12f-T

1. #6 Artiste Royal
2. #8 Symphony Sid
A. #1 Mighty Mysterious
B. #5 Runaway Dancer

EX BX: $11.10 (-$.90)
TRI BX: $40.20 ($16.20)
SPR BX: $197.00 (n/a)

WAGERS: $556.00 (5 horse EX/TRI's-5, 4 horse EX/TRI's-5, 1 horse EX/TRI-1)
RETURN: $893.55
RUNNING: +$337.55


Woodbine Stakes Sunday!

Good luck..
Steve

[Scav]

Thanks Mr. Byk for reminding me about that race. JUST NAILED Meadowlands

10/20/06 MED 5 $10 Pick-3 3 / 9 / 10 ------ ------
10/20/06 MED 5 $30 Pick-3 3 / 9 / 10 ------ ------
10/20/06 MED 5 $30 Pick-3 3 / 9 / 10 ------ ------

Can not believe that this ticket above is paying $10.70 per $1

[Scav]

AND MAJOR RHYTHM is in it. OH MAN. Wonder if Messineo is partying it up in Oklahoma

[Scav]

I am SUCH A CHICKEN ****. I wanted to put $100 on MR and I settled at $50, he was 6/5 and drifts up to 7/2....happy but STILL....ARGGHH

[Scav]

What an awesome old school horse, man, knew where the wire was and stuck his head out

[PSH]

Originally Posted by Scav

What an awesome old school horse, man, knew where the wire was and stuck his head out

Just saw your post two minutes before post and was able to fund and get down on the winner....
Looked like he had a lot of horse around the turn but as you said a nose is all we needed....

Thanks,

PSH

[Scav]

Bykster should get more thanks then me, he reminded me that he was running, I knew but I forgot because my head is far up my rear end....

Steve - great call on the 9 and 3 although I;m afraid the 3 is coming down.

[PSH]

Originally Posted by jimdowning

Steve - great call on the 9 and 3 although I;m afraid the 3 is coming down.

I second that Steve. Hope you had a win on the 9. Shame took the 3 down ....Great call

PSH

[Scav]

HILARIOUS...I thought he was talking about Major Rhythm, the 9 horse in the turf race...RIDICULOUS...I should have bet this 9 horse also.....RIDICULOUS

[Bogey]

Steve, you mentioned the 9 and 3 during (ATRAB) the show and I mentioned the 2 and 6 in the Oklahoma Derby at Remington Park. I hope somebody was listening because the Super came back over $11,000 for a buck. Nice call on the 9.

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by Scav

HILARIOUS...I thought he was talking about Major Rhythm, the 9 horse in the turf race...RIDICULOUS...I should have bet this 9 horse also.....RIDICULOUS

That's a classic.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Bogey

That's a classic.

Wait till you see what I am about to post regarding something I just NAILED......

[mclem10011]

Any early double plays at Belmont? Short budget, need a good start to get going today.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by mclem10011

Any early double plays at Belmont? Short budget, need a good start to get going today.

1-2-5-10-11 with 5-7

(Hope it's better than yesterday's double try...)

[mclem10011]

When the 4 scratched out of the first I actually had the 3 with the entry in the second. Didn't work out, but hopefully we'll get em today. Thanks.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Keeneland

9th: Raven Run (Gr. II), $300,000, 3yo fillies, 7f (.10 Superfecta)

1. #7 Sabatini 12-1
2. #4 Windy 3-1
A. #5 Vestry Lady 15-1
B. #10 Morner 8-1

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #13 Chandelle No. Five 20-1

I like a tri of Windy/Morner/All and then cover my backside with an exacta of Morner/Windy.

[Kasept]

Nice EX return of $202 ($2) on the $6 investment in the Maid/Mist..

[Scav]

You couldn't be more right regarding Half Heaven here, will get a great trip, I am playing him with the 1,5,7

[ceejay]

In the KEE feature I think that the 14, Jazzy Okie, could be live at a price. 153-unit late P4 play:
1,4,6 // 5 // 2,8,10 // 12
1,4,6 // 8 // 4,7,14 // 12
1,4,6 // 3 // 2,8,10 // 12,7
1,4,6 // 2,4 // 4,7,14 // 12,7
1,4,6 // 5 // 4,7,14 // 12,7,9
1,4,6 // 3 // 4,7,14 // 12,7,9,10
2,7 // 5 // 4,7,14 // 12
2,7 // 3 // 4,7,14 // 12,7