Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 02-09-2016, 06:29 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,283
Default 2/12-14 (CD): Kentucky Derby Future Wager ~ Pool 2

2016 Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 2

1 Airoforce 20-1
2 Awesome Banner* 30-1
3 Brody’s Cause 30-1
4 Cherry Wine* 50-1
5 Cocked and Loaded 50-1
6 Collected* 30-1

7 Danzing Candy* 30-1
8 Discreetness* 50-1
9 Exaggerator 20-1
10 Gettysburg* 50-1
11 Gift Box 30-1
12 Greenpointcrusader 20-1

13 Gun Runner 50-1
14 Mo Tom 50-1
15 Mohaymen 8-1
16 Mor Spirit 15-1
17 Nyquist 12-1
18 Shagaf* 30-1

19 Smokey Image * 30-1
20 Tom’s Ready 50-1
21 Vorticity* 50-1
22 Whitmore* 50-1
23 Zulu* 30-1
24 Mutuel Field (All Others) 4-5
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 02-10-2016, 09:36 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,283
Default

BRIS PP'S http://www.brisnet.com/brisnet_promos/Derby16FW2.pdf
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 02-13-2016, 06:22 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Link to live odds:

https://www.kentuckyderby.com/wager/...r/derby-pool-2


(They've forgotten to include info on how much has been bet into the exacta pool.)
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 02-14-2016, 02:42 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Churchill Downs seems to frequently mess up the Future Bet process. They have not updated the odds feed for Pool 2 since midnight. Betting ends in a little more than 3 hours, but there's no good info on what the current odds are.
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 02-14-2016, 05:22 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,283
Default

Airoforce 20/1 16
Awesome Banner 30/1 50
Brody's Cause 30/1 14
Cherry Wine 50/1 30
Cocked and Loaded 50/1 90
Collected 30/1 45

Danzing Candy 30/1 25
Discreetness 50/1 70
Exaggerator 20/1 22
Gettysburg 50/1 60
Gift Box 30/1 50
Greenpointcrusader 20/1 30

Gun Runner 50/1 23
Mo Tom 50/1 30
Mohaymen 8/1 4
Mor Spirit 15/1 12
Nyquist 12/1 7
Shagaf 30/1 30

Smokey Image 30/1 19
Tom's Ready 50/1 80
Vorticity 50/1 90
Whitmore 50/1 80
Zulu 30/1 24
All Other Three Year Olds 4/5 3
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 02-14-2016, 05:32 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Thanks, kasept.

By 5pm the odds were streaming again. There's still no info I can find about how much has been bet into the exacta pool. I'm going to have to guess it'll be on the order of $120,000, based on previous years.
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 02-14-2016, 06:07 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
Thanks, kasept.

By 5pm the odds were streaming again. There's still no info I can find about how much has been bet into the exacta pool. I'm going to have to guess it'll be on the order of $120,000, based on previous years.
119k and change
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 02-14-2016, 06:41 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

The feed from KentuckyDerby.com sputtered to a halt again at 5:36pm, making the homestretch even more guess work.

Final odds on All Others looks to be 2.6-1.
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 02-14-2016, 08:25 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

Wait....Mohaymen went off at 4:1??????

Wow. Imagine what price he would have been if he ran a fast race.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 02-15-2016, 05:45 AM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Wait....Mohaymen went off at 4:1??????

Wow. Imagine what price he would have been if he ran a fast race.
Insane price. Even if he wins out he's like 9/2 day of. Mor Spirit could be 5-1,6-1 day of, I was going to take him at 15-1, 12 was a tad short.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 02-15-2016, 08:43 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
Wait....Mohaymen went off at 4:1??????

Wow. Imagine what price he would have been if he ran a fast race.
Mohaymen closed at 4.3 - 1, and was a good part of the reason the All Others closed at a generous 2.6 - 1, its highest value in 8 years. With so few standout 3-yr-olds so far, I expected much lower All Others odds.
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 02-15-2016, 08:44 AM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

I threw a few shillings on Awesome Banner and Dazing Candy.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 02-15-2016, 09:18 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Here are the will-pays:

https://www.kentuckyderby.com/upload...WOddsPool2.pdf

and the exacta payoff grid:

https://www.kentuckyderby.com/upload...xProbables.pdf
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 02-17-2016, 05:45 AM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
I threw a few shillings on Awesome Banner and Dazing Candy.
Awesome Banner? He should be pointed to the prestigious Bay Shore-Woody Stephens-Amsterdam-Kings Bishop 4 some.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 02-17-2016, 09:14 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
Awesome Banner? He should be pointed to the prestigious Bay Shore-Woody Stephens-Amsterdam-Kings Bishop 4 some.
Hey let's see how fountain of youth goes
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 02-17-2016, 09:21 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Hey let's see how fountain of youth goes
Against the almighty Zulu? He could wire that field.... Just think he will end up being distance challenged.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 02-17-2016, 09:55 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
Against the almighty Zulu? He could wire that field.... Just think he will end up being distance challenged.
Distance challenge is a problem but he is fast and this crop is slow
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 02-17-2016, 11:10 PM
richard burch's Avatar
richard burch richard burch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: new jersey
Posts: 1,751
Default

Awesome Banner is going to be the "wise guy" horse.
__________________
Support your local Re-run or horse rescue organization.
https://www.rerunottb.com/:)
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 02-17-2016, 11:18 PM
richard burch's Avatar
richard burch richard burch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: new jersey
Posts: 1,751
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
That's very interesting. nice link. $2 across the board is $48. 17 of those horses/wagers will give you more than that...
__________________
Support your local Re-run or horse rescue organization.
https://www.rerunottb.com/:)
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 02-18-2016, 08:29 AM
athornton5 athornton5 is offline
Louisiana Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 335
Default

Im a Mo Tom fan, really like the turn of foot on this horse, seems like the more he runs the better he gets. Just missed againts Mor Spirit back in november. Ive got $20 on him at 30-1
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:25 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.