8/12: Saratoga ~ Day 18 (Hall of Fame Day; Tale of the Cat)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Seemingly well-matched group for the price and lots of front end interest involved. Move of #8 Eqho (6-1) to Linda Rice and ideal off pace style will attract lots of attention and drive down her price considerably..

Most Likely: #8 Eqho 6-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Stormin Saratoga 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Sweet Ella 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 PussyWillow 20-1 5th


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

More than half drop from $25k with favorite on steep decline which makes you squirm. Gargan/Midwest broke through yesterday with La Inesperada and seem to be cleaning house in search of W's..

Most Likely: #2 Nuffsaid Nuffsaid 8-5 4th
Next Best: #5 Chickaletta 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #6 Live Love Laugh 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Silver Silence 6-1 3rd


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Paul Pompa has waited for $500k #4 Lyrical Moment to get ready to start career. Displayed talent between setbacks..

Best Value: #4 Lyrical Moment 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Joannie 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Fired Up Sensation 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Athena's Aegis 5-2 WON ($4.70)


4th: OC, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Stormy Sky 4-1 4th
Next Best: #4 My Savannah Belle 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Irish Jasper 9-5 WON ($3.60)


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Jumby Bay 3-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Compelled 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Courtmewithcarats 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Victory to Victory 7-2 5th


P5 Grid:

1: 8 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
2: 2-5 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-6 (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-2-4-5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
5: 5-10 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-7-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 1x2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

2: 2-5 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-6 (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-2-4-5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
5: 5-10 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-7-8-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


6th: CLM, 3yo, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Frozen Hannah 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Back At the Ranch 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Miss Aja Brown 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Kentucky Road 3-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Bombs Away 5-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Pax in Terra 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Adulator 4-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Billion Star 20-1 9th


8th: OC, 3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

In an improbable coincidence given their career arcs, brothers Elnaawi (street Sense) and Billion Star (Bernardini) out of famed Pilfer (Deputy Minister), come together in back to back races.. You can't make it up..

Most Likely: #8 Morandi 9-5 6th
Best Value: #3 Iconic Artist 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Bigger Picture 3-1 WON ($8.70)
Exotics Use: #7 Elnaawi 4-1 4th


9th: Tale of the Cat, 3+, 6f (DD)

Wild scrum and Ian Wilkes and Dave Jacobson have 2 each and all 4 seem highly capable of top honors including 2nd/break Stallwalkin' Dude who annexed this event last year. Respect Dads Caps here as well..

Most Likely: #2 Stallwalkin' Dude 10-1 WON ($18.20)
Best Value: #10 Gorgeous Bird 12-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Dads Caps 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Chief Lion 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Viva Majorca 15-1 4th


10th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #2 Otto 4-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Know Your Customer 8-1 WON ($9.10)
Best Value: #7 Madeyourpoint 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Caldera 5-2 4th


P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-7 (A), 3-9 (B), 6-8 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 4 (B), 1-5-7 (C)
9: 2-10-11 (A), 6-7 (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 2-3 (A), - (B), 7-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/4/2/3) Paid $647.50


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[atolunch]

Great job yet again today Steve!!

Congrats and thanks as always, tremendous call on Stallwalkin Dude!!

Here's to a monster weekend

[Kasept]

Thanks Larry! That was a nice result. Hope you and everyone did well. Weather looking iffy for tomorrow, but let's see how it plays out.

$43k C/O SATURDAY

[Max Caidy]

Steve, you are heating up at Toga! Great job today! Glad I played along. Well done.

[ADJMK]

Nice hit in the late P4. Your ticket structure has been dead on the last week. Keep it rolling.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Max Caidy

Steve, you are heating up at Toga! Great job today! Glad I played along. Well done.

Max.. Thanks. Glad you scored. Have tinkered with ticket structure and it's paid off the past week or so. Still need to nab a couple meet maker hits.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by ADJMK

Nice hit in the late P4. Your ticket structure has been dead on the last week. Keep it rolling.

Thx a lot A.. Expanding on the mention to Max regarding structure, have tried to widen (5-6, even 7-8 runners) in a leg (or two) more often than I normally do. Function of field size and inscrutability. I know there are plenty that can do it, but as a shotgun style player (horizontally and vertically), it's been an especially tough meet to use a rifle approach.