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Old 06-08-2018, 04:47 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 6/8: Belmont Park ($127k P6 C/O; $63k NYRA Bets P5 C/O)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: 121st Tremont, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Early New York juvenile event that honors Frank McCabe's Tremont (Virgil), the 13 for 13 Champion of 1886 and one of the greatest 2yo's of early American breeding..

Most Likely: #6 Sir Truebador 2-1: Full to Regally Ready.. 4th
Next Best: #7 Mae No Never 9-5: Ascot the priority? 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Outshine 7-2: $625k debut mud winner; Gets dry/fast.. 5th
Super Add: #3 Social Fan 10-1: Sneaky looking $50k WVa bred.. 7th


6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$127k P6 C/O starts here..

Thoroughly torturous set of 11 including many well meant types that should have graduated by now and 4 premium-bred first time starters toting solid worktabs. P6 C/O players should avail themselves the benefit of the toteboard looking for steamers in this tough heat..

Most Likely: #8 Fallstar 7-2: 2nd start for Chad; Cuts back while turf to dirt.. 8th
Next Best: #6 Illudere 5-1: Jerkens' FTS held own with Rocketry, Sec. At War.. SCR'D
Best Value: #11 Encinitas 8-1: Lynch may be weekend's lightening in bottle.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Orbed 6-1: Buzz Beler's pricey colt has run into toughies.. 4th


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

$63k NYRA Bets P5 C/O starts here..

Another killer as at least 8 of the 12 can win and that's before you figure out if the 2 first time turfers (KMc's Almithmaar & Ward's Battle Station) will take to the green stuff. Raging Bull will be a clear favorite, but if he were the nutz, wouldn't Brandt/Brown find a stake spot for him? Morrison has kept top company and gives locals their first look at Adam Beschizza (who IS the nutz). Have At It gets 1st Lasix for 3yo debut but must work out a trip from the #12. Bravo lands Bond's first out winner Prioritze and you can envision a ground-saving inside-outside rally for him into what may become a heated pace. Worth noting his effort as he beat Steeles Run who looks to be a major player (9-2) in the MSW nightcap..

Most Likely: #9 Morrison 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Raging Bull 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #12 Have At It 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Prioritize 12-1 6th


8th: 40th True North (G2), 4+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Eye-crossing group with murky pace scenario. Can't help but root for Charlie Baker's miracle comeback story with Joking SCR'D, but Peter Miller brought Roy H here last year and won and tractable Bobby Abu Dhabi looks as good here with 3 wins at the in-between 715 yard distance..

Most Likely: #4 Bobby Abu Dhabi 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Westwood 6-1 DNF-Eased
Next Best: #3 Imperial Hint 9-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Always Sunshine 15-1 4th


9th: 75th New York (G2), F&M-4+, 10f-IT (P3, New York/Met Mile DBL, DD)

Hard not to lean heavily on Chad Brown's Jenny Wiley EXA pair..

Most Likely: #8 Fourstar Crook 7-2 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #5 Sistercharlie 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Esquisse 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Mom's On Strike 5-1 4th


10th: 5th Belmont Gold Cup (G2), 4+, 16f-T (Gold Cup/Belmont DBL, DD)

Marathon event brings Euro invasion including the Queen's Call to Mind..

Best Value: #4 Funny Kid 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Call to Mind 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Nessy 5-2 6th
Super Add: #5 Canessar 6-1 2nd


Gold Cup/Belmont DBL:

GC: 4 (A), 1-6 (B), 5-8 (C)
BS: 1 (A), 2-4-8 (B), 5-7-9 (C)


11th: MSW, 3+, 11f-IT

Most Likely: #8 Steeles Run 9-2 6th
Best Value: #6 My Dream 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Into the Breach 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Prompt 5-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

6: 6-8 (A), 5-11 (B), 1-3-10 (C)
7: 7-8 (A), - (B), 12 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), 1 (B), 6 (C)
11: 6-8 (A), - (B), 2-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x2x2x2 = 128 x $2 = $256
All A's: 2x2x2x2x1x2 = 32 x $2 = $64


NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

7: 7-8-12 (A), 2-3-5 (B), 4-6-10 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-3-7-8 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
10: 4 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 6-8 (A), - (B), 2-5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x2x2x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

8: 4-6 (A), 3-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 5-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-7-9 (C)
10: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 5-6-8 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-09-2018 at 12:07 PM.
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Old 06-08-2018, 11:32 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 06-08-2018 at 10:23 PM.
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