7/11: Belmont Park ($50k C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$50k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #6 Wise Strike 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Majestic Won 3-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #8 Her Latest Film 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 St Edmond's Girl 10-1 5th


5th: CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-T (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Spectacular Plum 5-2 3rdd
Next Best: #7 Congruity 3-1 WON ($7.90)
Exotics Use: #5 Year of the Kitten 4-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Steelerfanforlife 8-1 2nd


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Was going to SCR our Carlisle Belle from this tough spot, but she's been waiting to run for 3 weeks and with nothing available the rest of BEL and in the first book at SAR, are now likely to go. Will try to settle early, come with one run into a potentially collapsing pace and pick up a little something. $40k/N2L at SAR mid meet her appropriate target..

Best Value: #10 Salty Smile 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Pink Twist 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Puffery 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Pas de Deuce 8-1 5th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Blurred Line 2-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Phone Funky Munky 6-1 6th
Next Best #5 Ides of Arch 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Gotham's Storm 6-1 7th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #3 Gucci Factor 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #1 Rapt 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Harlan's Hunch 7-2 7th
Super Add: #4 Morocco 10-1 6th


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f

Half the field are first time starters complicating this picture as 1-2 probably run well. Inclined to lean on those with experience..

Most Likely: #2 Leap to Glory 3-1 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #3 Our American Star 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Shuffling Madness 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Ragnar Lothbrok 8-1 6th


P6 Grid:

4: 6 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
5: 2-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
6: 5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-7 (C)
8: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 2 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x2x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 1x2x2x2x2x1 = 16 x $2 = $32


P5 Grid:

5: 2-7 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-4-6 (C)
6: 5-10 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
7: 4-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-7 (C)
8: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 5 (B), 1-4-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x.50 = $16


P4 Grid:

6: 5-10 (A), 3-7 (B), 1-2-4-8 (C)
7: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-7 (C)
8: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 2-3-5 (A), 1-4-8 (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x.50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

[moses]

Thanks Steve. The one horse I included in my Pick 4 bets not included in the A+B is the 7 Gotham’s Storm in the 7th. But I also went lighter in the 9th so hopefully it doesn’t hurt me.

Good luck to everyone.