8/20: Saratoga ($48k C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Canadian Flyer 9-2 5th
Best Value: #2 Mini Miles 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Rappel 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Diodoro entry 5-2 WON ($7.70)/6th


2nd: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Wappinger 2-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Lutenanny 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Stay Good 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Zecha 5-1 2nd


3rd: MSW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Point to Remember 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #6 Domain 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Big Muddy 5-2 3rd


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$48k P6 C/O starts here..

Brutal start to carryover sequence with what looks to be a modest group featuring just one runner with experience, the DQ'd Super Simple (Guacamole up). Watch board for tote action before sending in P6 play..

Best Value: #7 Temperence 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Introduced 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Miss Hanna Jo 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 It's a Shaw Thing 20-1 8th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Messy-looking bottom level event which includes the eyebrow-raising first off the claim drop of King Kranz, taken for $62,500 on 7/7 and is offered for $12,500 here..

Most Likely: #6 Missle Bomb 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Roll Tide Roll 8-1 WON ($9.70)
Next Best: #7 King Kranz 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Rectify 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
2: 1-11 (A), 2-10 (B), 5-9 (C)
3: 5 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
4: 6-7-10 (A), - (B), 1-5-9 (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 5-7 (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2-10-11 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
3: 5 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
4: 6-7-9-10 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
5: 1-6 (A), 5-7 (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x1x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Little Code 7-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Miko 6-1 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #11 Arch of Troy 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 China Rider 8-1 9th


7th: Opt CLM/C, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Quality Time 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Rumble Doll 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Miss Gossip 9-2 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #10 Jumby Bay 4-1 3rd


8th: Evan Shipman-NY, 3+, 9f (DD)

State-bred standard honoring the great mid-century turf writer came up terrific..

Most Likely: #7 Pat On the Back 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Wine Not 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Twisted Tom 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Control Group 9-2 3rd


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f-IT

Most Likely: #1 Riendo 9-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Cuarenta 5-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Millie's Party Boy 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Last Chant 15-1 8th


P6 Grid:

Sequence is far too treacherous to be played for small money.. All A play listed as action bet only..

4: 6-7-10 (A)
5: 6 (A)
6: 6-10-11 (A)
7: 1-6 (A)
8: 7 (A)
9: 1-6 (A)

All A's: 3x1x3x2x1x2 = 36 x $2 = $72


P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), - (B), 1-5-7 (C)
6: 6-10-11 (A), - (B), 1-2-9 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 9-10 (B), 4-8 (C)
8: 3-6-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
9: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

6: 6-10-11 (A), - (B), 1-2-9 (C)
7: 1-6 (A), 9-10 (B), 4-8 (C)
8: 3-6-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
9: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

Monday's #Saratoga Scratches

1st - 7...
4th - 1-11...
5th - 2-3-4...
6th - 7-8-12-13...
7th - 2-7-11...
8th - 4-5-8...
9th - 1a-2b

Fast and Good

[Dawgswin]

5 off in the Evan Shipman. I know there’s really nothing that can be done, and reasonable people disagree on whether or not it’s even a PROBLEM. Still sad to me.

Maybe the experts on the N.Y. horses can give me the likely reasons why the trainers bailed.

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

Originally Posted by Dawgswin

5 off in the Evan Shipman. I know there’s really nothing that can be done, and reasonable people disagree on whether or not it’s even a PROBLEM. Still sad to me.

Maybe the experts on the N.Y. horses can give me the likely reasons why the trainers bailed.

Three were cross-entered in the Finger Lakes stake today, that's why they scratched

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Dawgswin

5 off in the Evan Shipman. I know there’s really nothing that can be done, and reasonable people disagree on whether or not it’s even a PROBLEM. Still sad to me.

Maybe the experts on the N.Y. horses can give me the likely reasons why the trainers bailed.

[Kasept]

$166,666 DBL P6 C/O WEDNESDAY