3/30: Gulfstream (FL Derby Day; Rainbow 6 Force Out)

[Kasept]

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value ~ Spot Play: #2 Donegal Aces (6-1): Full brother to long-winded $1.2MM earning Hard Aces debuts for Gargan who has won with 3 of his last 5 first time starters. Gives away experience to several that have run well against the likes of Country House, et al, so price could hold..


9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T/60' (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Rainbow 6 Force Out starts here..

Brutally tough start to sequence where coverage of nearly everyone is necessary to guarantee safe passage. Four first time starters (2 Casses for Barber/Oxley & Farmer, a Brown/Klaravich and Motion/Sam-Son) complicate matter. Watch board for clues..

Best Value: #2 Overbold 15-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Machine Learning 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Trashmanscoming 20-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Social Paranoia 3-1 WON ($4.20)
Hi-5 Play: #5 Blameless 30-1 6th


10th: Sand Springs, F&M-4+, 1m-T/0' (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Proctor's Ledge 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Fire Key 10-1 4th
Next Best : #8 Andina Del Sur 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Valedictorian 5-2 WON ($7.40)


11th: Cond. CLM, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

A lot of speed signed on here..

Best Value: #4 Rock Doc 8-1 11th
Next Best: #5 Restoring Hope 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Gleason 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Fast Pass 6-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Green Mansions 20-1 7th


12th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-T/60' (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Squirrely bunch. Along with the 9th, the most inscrutable event in the skein..

Most Likely: #8 Battle of Blenheim 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Tombelaine 9-2 WON ($21.00)
Best Value: #4 Space Mountain 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Second Mate 4-1 2nd


13th: Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T/0' (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Focus Group 4-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #2 Melmich 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Canessar 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Bigger Picture 6-1 7th


14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Hidden Scroll 5-2 6th
Next Best: #9 Code of Honor 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Harvey Wallbanger 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Bourbon War 7-2 4th
Super/Hi-5: #10 Union's Destiny 30-1 7th


P6 Grid:

9: 2-7-8-10 (A), 5-9 (B), 1-4-6-12 (C)
10: 2-9 (A), - (B), 4-5-6-8 (C)
11: 3-4-5 (A), 1-8 (B), 9-10-11 (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 4-11 (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 1-2 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)
14: 1 (A), - (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x5x4x2x1 = 480 x .20 = $96
All A's: 4x2x3x2x2x1 = 96 x .20 = $19.20


P5 Grid:

10: 2-9 (A), - (B), 4-5-6-8 (C)
11: 3-4-5 (A), 1-8 (B), 9-10-11 (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 4-11 (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 1-2-4-9 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
14: 1 (A), - (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x4x1 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x3x2x4x1 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

11: 3-4-5 (A), 1-8 (B), 9-10-11 (C)
12: 2-4-8-11 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-9 (C)
13: 1-2-4-9 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
14: 1 (A), - (B), 3-4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x6x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x4x4x1 = 48 x .50 = $24


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

GP SCR/CHG'S

[fpsoxfan]

Good call in the 12 race Steve. I boxed your four horses for .50
And got back 376 on the tri! Great job!

[tomm5647]

Same here. I boxed the 4 and came back large. I have seen it before when Steve comments that a race has him puzzled he usually comes back with a home run. Thanks big time Steve.

[hi_im_god]

I had inscrutable boxed with skien.

Got beat by squirrely in the stretch.

[philcski]

I can't believe I left out the Brown in R13. What a stupid I am.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

I had inscrutable boxed with skien.

Got beat by squirrely in the stretch.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan

Good call in the 12 race Steve. I boxed your four horses for .50
And got back 376 on the tri! Great job!

Originally Posted by tomm5647

Same here. I boxed the 4 and came back large. I have seen it before when Steve comments that a race has him puzzled he usually comes back with a home run. Thanks big time Steve.

Guys.. Thanks a lot. Really glad you scored in the 12th! That was great. I was focused on the win side with the bizarre 3-2 on Pagliacci and Tombelaine's drifting up to 9-1. Watched the race with Gus and the first thing I said to him was 'Those are my horses and I didn't bet the tri. It's going to be huge'..

Tomm.. It's funny you say that, because I've noticed it too. I spent more time on the 12th than any other race, which kind of disproves the 'study long, study wrong' chestnut. I wish I'd spent more time on the feature. I didn't use Maximum Security on any ticket thinking he could only win with an easy lead and that didn't seem very likely... until the gates opened.

Hope everyone did well. Fun afternoon out at the Hallendale Beach Blvd. Shopping Center and Gambling Arcade.