10/4: Keeneland (Opening Day)

Kasept · #1 10-04-2019, 07:55 AM

KEENELAND

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Including this for notable first time starters including Selleck (Half to Caleb's Posse), J Rob (Half to Ever So Lucky) & Beau Lane's Blip (Half to STK and KEE debut winner Blip N' Th Bye)..

Most Likely: #4 Energizer 9-2 5th
Next Best: #11 Blip 6-1 9th
Best Value: #9 J Rob 12-1 11th
Super Add: #10 Lykan 6-1 WON ($44.20)

6th: OC/N2L, 2yo-F, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

As discussed last week with Saffie Joseph, Sound Machine may be a very nice filly..

Most Likely: #4 Sound Machine 7-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Into Humor 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Understandable 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Evil Lyn 3-1 5th

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

First of split divisions with the 10th and very treacherous..

Most Likely: #6 Craft Woods 2-1: Just missed at KD; Adds hood, J. Ortiz.. WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #7 English Escort 20-1: Out of turf router, stretches & adds Lasix.. 7th
Next Best: #9 Snaffle 6-1: Another via turf dam that stretches and adds Lasix.. 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Regal Passage 15-1: Devaux 1sters firing; Half to JMS's Touchofstarquality.. 3rd
Super Add: #11 Kona Kai 12-1 5th

8th: Phoenix (G2), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Promises Fulfilled is defending champ and stayed home for this, but he's going to face pace pressure and doesn't have to win..

Best Value: #8 Engage 8-1 WON ($21.00)
Next Best: #7 Promises Fulfilled 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Recruiting Ready 4-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Hog Creek Hustle 5-1 5th

9th: Alcibiades (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Alandra 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Perfect Alibi 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Three D Flag 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 British Idiom 4-1 WON ($9.20)
Hi-5 Play: #5 Micheline 8-1 9th

10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Yeesh.. If you make it this far, you could have your heart ripped out here. Note the #14, #15, #16 all drew in and have real chance..

Most Likely: #16 Lucky Polly 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Across 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Best Value: #7 Enthroned 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Osaka Girl 7-2 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #14 Creative Legacy 12-1 10th

P5 Grid:

6: 4 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
7: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), 5-11 (C)
8: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-3-10 (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), 5-6-9 (B), 3-8 (C)
10: 10-16 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (7/6,13,14,15,16/8/6/10) Paid $33.40 ~ (4OF5)

P4 Grid:

7: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), 5-11 (C)
8: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-3-10 (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), 5-6-9 (B), 3-8 (C)
10: 10-16 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (6,13,14,15,16/8/6/10) Paid $264.65