11/2 (SA): Breeders' Cup Saturday

[Kasept]

Here it is.. The 'Breeders' Cup invocation' ~ These 2 days offer unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking. Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an '0-fer' well into Saturday and get it all back (and more) in the weekend's waning moments.

But no matter how the ledger looks when it's over, appreciate that your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of the 2 days. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

For the 14th year in a row, it's been a pleasure bringing the Cup to everyone listening to At the Races. I hope the 15 hours here and the time leading up offered each of you something you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Breeders' Cup, Santa Anita staff, ATR sponsors, SXM, everyone who contributed so generously to the shows and most importantly, the listeners..

Let's get them all around and home safe and let's get lucky this weekend!


SANTA ANITA ~ BREEDERS' CUP SATURDAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Sen. Ken Maddy (G3), F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Just Grazed Me 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #9 Escapade 4-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Girls Know Best 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Don't Sell 3-1 4th


2nd: Damascus, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Flagstaff 6-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #3 Roadster 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Comical Ghost 8-1 4th


3rd: Twilight Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Succeedandsurpass 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Kingly 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Nolde 7-2 11th
Super Add: #8 Neptune's Storm 4-1 3rd


4th: Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Lady Ninja 10-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Covfefe 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Come Dancing 5-2 6th
Super Add: #9 Spiced Perfection 4-1 4th

$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 1-4-5-6-9 with 2-10 with 2-3-5 (5x2x3 = 30 x .50 = $15)


5th: Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Eddie Haskell 9-2 11th
Next Best: #2 Pure Sensation 5-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Om 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Imprimis 8-1 6th

$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 2-10 with 1-2-3-4-5 with 2-7 (2x5x2 = 20 x .50 = $10)

$100 BUDGET REVERSE TRI KEY (#11 Om, 15-1): 2-10 with ALL with 11 (2x10x1 = 20 x .50 = $10)


P5 Grid:

1: 2-4-8-9 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
2: 4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
3: 3-5-9 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 6-7 (C)
4: 1-5 (A), 4-9 (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 2-10 (A), - (B), 1-3-7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x6x4x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 4x1x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

2: 4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
3: 3-5-8-9 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-7 (C)
4: 1-4-5-9 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)
5: 2-10 (A), - (B), 1-3-7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


6th: Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Spun to Run 6-1 WON ($20.20)
Next Best: #5 Omaha Beach 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Improbable 3-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Mr. Money 6-1 7th

$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 1-2-3-4-5 with 2 with 1-3-4-6-7 (5x1x5 = 25 x .50 = $12.50)


7th: Breeders' Cup F&M Turf, F&M-3+, 10f-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Sistercharlie 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #7 Vasilika 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 Fanny Logan 15-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Billesdon Brook 10-1 8th

$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 2-7 with 1-4-6-7 with 2-3-6-11-13 (2x4x5 = 40 x .50 = $20)

$100 BUDGET REVERSE TRI KEY (#12 Fanny Logan, 15-1): 2-7 with ALL with 12 = 2x9x1 = 18 x .50 = $9)


P4 Grid:

4: 1-4-5-9 (A), 6 (B), 7-8 (C)
5: 2-10 (A), 11 (B), 1-3-7 (C)
6: 1-2-3-4-5 (A), - (B), 7-8-9 (C)
7: 2 (A), 7 (B), 1-4-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 4x2x5x1 = 40 x .50 = $20


8th: Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Mitole 9-5 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #6 Shancelot 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Whitmore 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Catalina Cruiser 4-1 7th

$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 4-6 with 2-6-11 with 1-4-5-11 (2x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12)

$100 BUDGET REVERSE TRI KEY (#7 Whitmore): 1-3-4-6-9 with 1-3-4-6-9 with 7 (5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10) Trifecta (4-6-7) Pays $29.55


9th: Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Got Stormy 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Lucullan 12-1 DH-11th
Next Best: #11 Uni 7-2 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #13 Hey Gaman 12-1 7th
Super/Hi-5: #3 Space Traveler 12-1 8th

$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 2-6-11-13 with 1-3-4-6-7 with 9 (4x5x1 = 20 x .50 = $10)


P4 Grid:

6: 2-3-5 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
7: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-6 (A), 7 (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 2-6-11 (A), 13 (B), 3-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


10th: Breeders' Cup Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Secret Spice 10-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Midnight Bisou 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Paradise Woods 5-1 11th
Super Add: #6 Wow Cat 15-1 7th

$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-9-11 with 9 with 2-4-5-6-7-8-10-11 (9x1x8 = 72 x .50 = $36) $.50 P3 (11-9-10) Pays $94.40

$100 BUDGET REVERSE TRI KEY (#6 Wow Cat, 15-1): 1-3-4-5-7 with 1-3-4-5-7 with 6 (5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10)


11th: Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 BRICKS AND MORTAR 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #10 Old Persian 4-1 11th
Best Value: #1 Zulu Alpha 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Anthony Van Dyck 3-1 3rd

J-Turf/Turf DBL: 2-3-4-5-12-14 with 9: 6x1 = 6 x $8 = $48 2-9 DBL Pays $17.70 x 4 = $70.80


12th: Breeders' Cup Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Vino Rosso 4-1 WON ($11.20)
Best Value: #5 Yoshida 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 McKinzie 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Seeking the Soul 20-1 6th
Super/Hi-5: #4 War of Will 20-1 9th

$100 BUDGET REVERSE TRI KEY (#2 Seeking the Soul, 20-1): 4-5-7-8-10 with 4-5-7-8-10 with 2 (5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10)


P6 Grid:

7: 2 (A), 7 (B), 4-12 (C)
8: 4-6 (A), - (B), 1-3-7 (C)
9: 2-6-11 (A), - (B), 3-9-10-13 (C)
10: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), 3-5-6 (C)
11: 9 (A), - (B), 1-5-10 (C)
12: 5-10 (A), 2-8 (B), 4-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x3x1x4 = $144
All A's: 1x2x3x3x1x2 = $36


P5 Grid:

8: 4-6 (A), 7 (B), 1-3 (C)
9: 2-6-11 (A), - (B), 3-9-10-13 (C)
10: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), 3-5-6 (C)
11: 9 (A), - (B), 1-5-10 (C)
12: 5-10 (A), 2-4-7-8 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x1x6 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

9: 2-6-11-13 (A), - (B), 3-9-10 (C)
10: 1-4-7 (A), 3-5-6 (B), 2-9-11 (C)
11: 9 (A), - (B), 1-5-10 (C)
12: 5-8-10 (A), 2-4-7 (B), 3-6-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (11/11/9/10) Paid $440.80 (A-C-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

Early SCR for the Saturday @BreedersCup card
Here follow the early SCR for the 12-race Breeders' Cup card today at Santa Anita, where we'll be fast and firm all day. First post is 10:07 a.m. Pacific.

R2-(1)

R3-(10, 12)

R5-(13, 14)

R7-(3, 6) (Ryan Moore rides 11-Just Wonderful)

R8-(8, 9)

R9-(1, 15) (16 will run)

Fleeting (insert ‘worst bad trip yet’ quip here), Suedois, Imperial Hint all SCR’d

[ADJMK]

Nice call on Spun to Run. Looks like he is the real deal

[moses]

Great job Steve.